Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes - Matchup

My Big Ten Week 7 Picks Against the Spread

** NOTE: My pick is to the left. +/- indicates getting/giving points. All CAPS indicates home team. **
Here are my picks against the spread for Week 7 (Last Week: 3-3; Overall: 6-10):
IOWA +3.5 Penn State
Yes, Iowa is coming off a game in which they scored three points, while Penn State cracked the top 10. But I believe these teams are closer than you might think. PSU has been impressive but who have they really beaten? Pitt is considered their toughest opponent to this point and against the Panthers, the Nittany Lions managed just 17 points and Iowa’s defense is better than Pitt’s. I expect the Hawkeyes to win the battle at the line of scrimmage against a Penn State offensive line that remains inconsistent. I also expect quarterback Nate Stanley to bounce back after an abysmal game at Michigan. We told you last week about Stanley’s struggles against ranked teams on the road. How does he do against ranked teams at home? Much better. Two years ago, against No. 4 Penn State and No. 6 Ohio State he threw seven TD passes to no INTs in an upset of OSU and a near upset of PSU (21-19, TD on game’s final play). The senior will play much better this week. Kinnick at night is one of the toughest places to play in the Big Ten and the Hawkeyes have covered 70 percent of their games as a home dog since 2000. Take the points and maybe throw a little on the money line.
Michigan -22 ILLINOIS
After getting embarrassed by Wisconsin, the Michigan defense has responded. They have not allowed a touchdown in nine quarters and just three points in the past two games. Some of their more highly-touted recruits in the past two classes are emerging as key players, one on each level in defensive end Aidan Hutchinson, linebacker Cameron McGrone, and defensive back Daxton Hill. The same can’t be said about the offense, but here’s the thing. They can put up points against a bad defense (see 52 points vs. Rutgers) and the Illini D is bad. Moreover, after getting shutout in the final three quarters against Iowa, you can bet they will look to bounce back and build up their confidence before taking on Penn State next week. Without a running quarterback, Illinois isn’t as effective running the ball. An OK run defense (Minnesota) held them to 91 yards on the ground last week and now they face an even tougher defense to run on. Look for the Maize & Blue to score at least 40 against a poor-tackling defense, which means if the Wolverines hold Illinois to 17, this will be a cover.
Nebraska +7.5 MINNESOTA
After backing Nebraska and losing each of the past two weeks, as well as getting beat by Minnesota in each of the past two weeks, believe me…I’m holding my nose making this selection. The Gophers are undefeated but both of their Big Ten opponents (Illinois, Purdue) are in the bottom four in the conference in yards per play offensively and bottom three in the conference in yards per play defensively. Now, they step up in competition and are laying over a touchdown. These teams are evenly matched and the Gophers may be overvalued as they’re ranked for the first time this season. In the game after a team enters the top 25, they are 7-8 straight up and 2-12-1 against the spread with six outright upsets this season. It could be players getting a little high on themselves or the public overvaluing a team because they now have a number next to their name. I believe that’s the case this week.
Maryland -3.5 PURDUE
Right now, Maryland is a much better team. The Terps are fourth in the B1G at 6.1 yards per play, nearly a full yard better than the Boilermakers (5.2). For comparison’s sake, Wisconsin is third at 6.4, a gap of just 0.3 yards. Defensively, Maryland isn’t great (5.1 YPP) but much better than Purdue (6.2 YPP), who is last in the Big Ten. Again, for comparison’s sake, that gap is bigger than Maryland compared to Michigan (4.3) or Michigan State (4.5). Dig deeper and it’s a bad matchup stylistically. The Terps are 13th nationally in scrimmage plays of 40-plus yards, 11th in plays 50-plus yards, 10th in plays 60-plus yards, and one of four teams to have 80-yard plays rushing, as well as passing. Meanwhile, Purdue is 114th in scrimmage plays allowed of 40-plus yards, while Texas Tech is the only team that has allowed more plays of 70-plus yards this season. The Boilermakers simply lack the speed to keep up with the Terps, especially with several key front-seven defenders out, while Maryland has proven it can bully inferior defenses.
Michigan State +10.5 WISCONSIN
Right off the bat, let me state I am a little concerned about Michigan State going up against big powerful offensive lines like Ohio State’s and Wisconsin’s in back-to-back weeks. College teams simply aren’t used to that. Having said that, this is a proud, veteran group with five seniors and two juniors in their front seven. They’re not just experienced, they’re a talented bunch as well. They will be highly motivated to prove they’re much better than they showed at the Horseshoe. The Badgers are also a better matchup for the Spartans D. Why? The opposing quarterback. Jack Coan is no Justin Fields. He’s not as dangerous as a passer and not even close to being the same threat running, which impacted MSU’s ability to key in on the running back. It’s no surprise that in the one game Wisconsin had trouble running the ball (vs. Northwestern), Coan had his worst performance. Then there are the numbers. The Badgers are a 10.5-point favorite and the total is just 40. That’s bad math. According to Brad Powers of PreGame.com, favorites of seven or more with totals of 43 or less, cover just 43 percent of the time. Throw in the fact high winds are expected and this should be a close, low-scoring game, which favors the underdog.
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NCAA Football - ALGO Sports Betting Picks - from CheatSheetPros!

NCAA Football ALGO Plays from CheatSheetPros.com! << Up arrow if you like the content! >>
Oklahoma State (-10) vs. Texas Tech
This was a top Red Sheet play so I was digging into the game. OSU is #1 in rush yards per game and Texas Tech is 102nd in rush yards allowed. OSU has a SOS of 25 and Texas Tech 65th. The overall ranks are 24th vs. 47th and 20 spots is where our ALGO bump kicks in so it’s just over the cut and we have this game at 43-28 while Red Sheet has it at 44-22.
Iowa (+3.5) vs. Michigan
This was the other top rated Red Sheet play for the week. Looking at the game on our NCAA CheatSheet the overall ranking of the teams are 19th and 20th. We have this game algo projected at Iowa winning 26-14 as a dog. Red Sheet has this game at Iowa winning 41-27. The two standouts in this game are the Iowa offensive live (ranked 10th) vs. the Michigan defensive line (rank 60th) and the Iowa defense which ranks 4th in points allowed, 3rd in yards allowed, 4th in TDs allowed per game, 9th in rush yards allowed per game and 20th in passing yards allowed per game. The YPP Projected line that some sports betting analytics guys use show this line could be as high as Iowa -9. Take the points!
Penn State (-27) vs. Purdue
Red Sheet has this line opening at -20 and moving to -27 and I’m showing -26 to -28.5 so either way a lot of people are looking at a blowout win by PSU. Red Sheet has this at 59-20 and our ALGO has this at 55-15. Quick look at this game gives us Penn State 17th in passing yards per game facing Purdues 112th rated passing defense. Purdue is averaging 69 rushing yards per game vs. Penn State and their 15th rated rush defense. Purdue is 8th in passing yards per game and Penn State is 63rd in passing defense. Purdue has an O-Line ranking of 129th and ranked 115th in stuff rate which means they won’t be able to run and will have to get the ball of quick. If Purdue has success in the air they may hang under the spread but the betting public is hammering PSU.
QUICK HITTERS:
UConn +11 – Slightest of leans here as we have them winning 24-20 and total going under. Both teams are 1-3, horrible offenses and horrible defenses, take the points. D-Lines for each out are 40 ranks higher than the opposing O-Lines.
Army +2.5 vs. Tulane – Stats here are similar with Army 11th in rushing offense vs. Tulane and their 89th rated rushing defense and Tulane has the 9th rated rushing offense vs. Army and their 27th rated rush defense. Neither team can throw the ball 130th and 113th ranked through the air. Army has the much better statistical defense. Tulane has played FIU, Auburn, Mizz State and Houston. Army has played Rice, Michigan, UTSA and Morgan State. Army took Michigan to the wire and loss 24-21. Taking the points as our YPP line could be as high as Army -6.
Maryland -12.5 – Slight lean here. Rutgers average ranking across the board on offense is 109.5 and defense 92.3. This includes points/game, yards/game, TDs/game, RY/G, PY/G. The only edge here is Maryland is 39th in RY/G at 191.7 and Rutgers is 101st in rushing defense giving up 197.5 per game. We have this game 39-19. Neither team is strong by lean Terps!
Wisconsin -35 – We have this ALGO projected score at 59-12, can this be anything else? Wisconsin is 15th in rushing yards per game and Kent State is 125th in rushing defense. Kent State is 37th in rushing yards per game at 195.7 but Wisconsin is the #1 rushing defense allowing only 48.8 yards per game. Kent State is 112th in allowing sacks through the O-Line and Wisconsin is 17th in D-Line sack rate and 11th in stuff rate. Blowout!
Oklahoma / Kansas – I have to hit on this game since it’s local. Line opened at OU -36 and now down to OU -32. OU ranks an average of 4th across the board for all the offensive categories and KU is an average of 76th on defense. The stat here that is key is KU is 48th in rushing yards per game at 179.8 and OU is allowing 181 RY/G (ranked 92nd). Given those were against much tougher opponents and I don’t know if OU can get up for this game since it’s a cake win but covering 32 might be a little closer. Our ALGO has this 60-35 but I can’t recommend a buck of the Sooners dominance.
BayloK-State under 49 – Line opened at 51 and down to 48.5. K-State is going to miss their star WR and kick returner for this game so I expect them to slow things down. K-State is 17th on defense in points allowed and Baylor is 15th. The standout stat is Baylor 32nd in RY/G at 198.7 and K-State is giving up 211.7 RY/G which is ranked at 109th.
Buffalo +3.5 – Both teams rankings, SOS and custom grades are in the same ballpark so we can look at side by side stats. When looking at rushing and passing offense and defense for both teams there are only 2 stats in the top 60. That is Buffalo rushing yards per game (16th) at 229 yards per game facing Ohio and their 119th rated rushing defense and Buffalo rushing defense allowing only 83.2 yards per game vs. Ohio and their 96th rated rushing offense. O:Line/D:Line matchups are advantage Buffalo on both sides. We have Buffalo winning 28-26 on the ALGO projection. Take the hook at +3.5!
UNC -10.5 vs. GaTech – Slight lean here on UNC -10.5. GaTech can’t throw (125th) and can barely run (58th) and UNC should be above to move the ball on the ground here with the 61st rated rushing offense vs. GT and their 114th rated rushing defense. UNC has a SOS of 5th and GT has a SOS sitting at 92. Our algo takes any team with an overall rank 20 spots apart and applies a factor to the projections and this one falls at 24 spots. The normal algo has UNC winning 26-15 covering the spread and after the factor in the algo it jumps to 34-14 easily covering the spread. Curious to see how this game plays out and which algo was closer.
SMU -12.5 – Our algo has this as 34-24 with SMU winning IF the teams were closely rated but they are not. SMU ranks 45th overall while Tulsa is a lowly 79th so the ALGO flips this score over to a 54-14 blowout. Curious to see how this one plays out. SMU is 22nd and 29th in RY/G and PY/G facing the 86th and 35th respective defense from Tulsa. Tulsa is 111th in RY/G and 50th in PY/G while SMU defense is 33th and 73rd. SMU is scoring 44.4 points per game while Tulsa is at 21.5. Lean on SMU.
Ohio State / Michigan State – Everyone is on Ohio State – 20 and they are awesome to watch this year. They rank 2nd in points per game, 5th in yards per game and 1st in TDs per game. If I were going to be this game I’d have to lean Ohio State from the gut but I’m likely going to pass because on paper Michigan State +20 looks like the better bet and I can’t buck the Buckeyes. Michigan State defensively ranks really well as they are 2nd in rush yards per game allowed and 31st in passing yards allowed. They are also only giving up 15 PPG. Our ALGO has this game at 31-14.
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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Bowl Matchups by Mascots

Hello cfb!
It's bowl season!!!
Here is my analysis of each bowl matchup if the teams' mascots/nicknames duked it out instead of the players. With so many abstract/fictional/nonsense team names, I'm going to use my best (or some other type of) judgement. Feel free to fight me over any of these. I'm going to use a solo version of the mascot where appropriate ("Wolf Pack" still get a bunch of wolves, etc)
 

Game 1 - New Mexico Bowl - Aggies vs Mean Green (Utah State vs North Texas)

Winner: Mean Green. Our first bowl game goes to "Mean Green," with the legendary DT crushing an old frail farmer. Even if the Aggie was a young strapping buck, I'm still taking Mean Joe. Mean Joe pounds the farmer 49-14.

Game 2 - Cure Bowl - Green Wave vs Ragin' Cajuns (Tulane vs ULM-Lafayette)

Winner: Ragin' Cajuns. I've seen a few bad storms hit the gulf coast, and those Cajuns always bounce back. They're resilient, and our lone Cajun spend the entire game bracing against the strong water. Eventually the storm subsides, and he walks into the endzone for the win.

Game 3 - Las Vegas Bowl - Bulldog vs Sun Devil (Fresno State vs Arizona State)

Winner: Sun Devils. Devils are sneaky and can like... do magic and shit. The devil turn the bulldog into a field mouse and waves his pitchfork while the ball flies around the field. He gets a bit too cocky in the 2nd quarter and accidentally pops the ball on his pitchfork. He vanishes and times ticks out as the butterfly tries to repeated fly into the new ball and push it. It doesn't work. 35-0 Sun Devil.

Game 4 - Camellia Bowl - Eagles vs Eagles (Eastern Michigan vs Georgia Southern)

Winner: Draw... They sit on opposite goal posts and stare at each other until the game is finally called so the refs can get some sleep.

Our

Game 5 - New Orleans Bowl - Mountaineers vs Blue Raiders (Appalachian State vs Middle Tennessee)

Winner: Mountaineers. The mountain man gets the ball first and scores while the blue raider kind of just stumbles around. A couple minutes after the game started, the raider drops to the field dead. The mountaineer tries to resuscitate him to no avail. Unfortunately, no one noticed the reason the raider was blue was because he was choking. The mountaineer tries to help out and comfort people because he's a good guy, and he still wins 7-0.

Game 6 - Boca Raton Bowl - Huskies vs Blazers (Northern Illinois vs UAB)

Winner: Huskies. The husky seems a bit nervous before the game, thinking he's about to face a scary dragon. When the representatives are called to the field, the husky notices some guy toss a jacket on the field. The husky easily scores a few TDs before the game is over. 21-0 huskies.

Game 7 - Frisco Bowl - Bobcats vs Aztecs (Ohio vs San Diego State)

Winner: In our first recreation of a traditional Roman gladiator match, we get a really exciting game. Bobcats are small, but they can burst out for 25-30 mph runs. It's tied at half 14-14. The Aztec is using the "kill your opponent" strategy, but finding the bobcat to be a bit elusive. Finally, in the 4th quarter, the bobcat scores to go down 34-35. While celebrating, the Aztec takes a cheap shot with his macuahuitl, injuring the cat. Unable to continue, the bobcat forfeits.

Game 8 - Gasparilla Bowl - Bulls vs Thundering Herd (South Florida vs Marshall)

Winner: Thundering Herd. A single bull vs. a herd of just about any animal would be a tough task. I'll stay true to Marshall's mascot and assume this is a herd of buffalo. The heard of buffalo easily distract and confuse the lone bull, dominating it 45-0 (don't ask how they got a field goal.)

Game 9 - Bahamas Bowl - Rockets vs Panthers (Toledo vs Florida International)

Winner: Panthers. In a stunning upset, the panther shocks the world! Rockets take quite a while to prep and launch, so the panther uses this time to score a couple touchdowns. Shortly into the 2nd quarter, the rocket finally takes off and everyone realizes what's about to happen. The panther and fans scramble to escape the stadium. Because I'm not mean, we'll let everyone live. The rocket crashes into the stadium and destroys everything, including itself. Unfortunately, that's not how you score in football. The game is over before halftime, the panther winning 14-0.

Game 10 - Potato Bowl - Cougars vs Broncos (BYU vs Western Michigan)

Winner: Cougars. In our first single mammal vs single mammal matchup, and one of the most highly anticipated bowl games thus far, the fans were in for a treat. Cougars are fairly small compared to broncos, but neither are good handling the ball. There's a bunch of gnashing of teeth and kicking of hooves. Both teams fight to end, but the cougar finally pulls away toward the end, as the bronco wasn't trained for the endurance battle. Cougars wins 35-28.

Game 11 - Birmingham Bowl - Tigers vs Demon Deacons (Memphis vs Wake Forest)

Winner: Demon Deacons. Even though he's dressed as a holy man, it's still a demon. He teases the tiger for the majority game, but never lets it get close. He's still a gentleman though, so he's not as rude as the previous demons in our list. 24-7 final.

Game 12 - Armed Forces Bowl - Cougars vs Black Knights (Houston vs Army)

Winner: Black Knights. . This game ends much close than many expected. The black knight attempts to play fair, and it almost costs him. His heavy armour leads to the cougar having the advantage on speed. It's still pretty easy for him to carry the ball though and swing his sword to scare off the cougar as needed. The black knights plays the TOP game, and squeaks out the win 21-14.

Game 13 - Dollar General Bowl - Bulls vs Trojans (Buffalo vs Troy)

Winner: Trojan. For the most part, warriofighter type humans will typically beat animals, and, and this game is no exception. The trojan is viscous and brutal and slays the bull in the first quarter. Taking no chances, he runs up the score 77-0.

Game 14 - Hawaii Bowl - Rainbow Warriors vs Bulldogs (Hawaii vs Louisiana Tech)

Winner: Hawaiian Warrior. I'm getting a bit drunk, and I'm not even halfway through. This game pretty much goes as expected. The rainbow warrior has a good heart and wouldn't kill a dog for no reason. He even lets the little puppy score a garbage time TD. 35-7.

Game 15 - First Responder Bowl - Broncos vs Eagles (Boise State vs Boston College)

Winner: Eagles. In our first mammal vs. bird (dubbed the Battle of the Classes), we see some unique techniques. Although smaller, the eagle is much more agile and aggressive. It executes its plan masterfully as it taunts and out-maneuvers the bronco. It forces multiple turnovers zigging and zagging through the slower bronco's thick body, proving that birds > mammals. 27-7.

Game 16 - Quick Lane Bowl - Yellow Jackets vs Golden Gophers (Georgia Tech vs Minnesota)

Winner: Gopher. The yellow jacket got off to a promising start, landing a couple stings on the gopher. The gopher realized it needed to better utilize its (under) ground attack better, and the ball wasn't seen again until there were 10 seconds left in the game. The gopher popped up from under the wasps's endzone and scored the game's only TD. 7-0.

Game 17 - Cheez-It Bowl - Horned Frogs vs Golden Bears (TCU vs California)

Winner: Golden Bears. This one isn't even close. The frog's only defensive mechanism was no match at all the bear's superior strength. Ignoring the blood, it squashes the poor frog on the first play. The bear marches into the endzone, then moves toward the crowd. No one saw the end of the game, but it was 7-0 and the frog was dead, so... 7-0.

Game 18 - Independence Bowl - Owls vs Blue Devils (Temple vs Duke)

Winner: Blue Devils. Wasting no time, the blue devil zaps the owl, turning it into a butterfly. A gust of wind blows the butterfly away from the stadium, and it spends the rest of the time trying to fly back to the field. The blue devil scores a single touchdown, then heads to the bleachers to hit on sorority girls. He's quite the devil ;) 7-0

Game 19 - Pinstripe Bowl - Hurricanes vs Badgers (Miami vs Wisconsin)

Winner: Hurricanes. Hurricanes are brutal and unforgiving. It demolishes the stadium at the very beginning, throwing the badger and fans in all directions. Fortunately it won the coin toss, so the ball crossing the goal line still counts. 7-0

Game 20 - Texas Bowl - Commodores vs Bears (Vanderbilt vs Baylor)

Winner: Bears. In a shocking upset, the bear wins this one. Unfortunately the commodore is pretty ineffective off his ship. Despite being in Houston, he couldn't find a way to bring the game to the sea. Despite the commodore's best attempts, the uncoordinated bear manages to win 28-21.

Game 21 - Music City Bowl - Tigers vs Boilermakers (Auburn vs Purdue)

Winner: Tigers. In another rare upset of animal over human, the tiger showed why it's the king of the jungle (lions don't live in jungles. Idk who came up with that). Despite being smart and probably good at... building boilers... this is (a version of) football. The boilermaker has no weapons and hid on the bench the entire game. Tiger managed to nudge a few balls over the goal-line for a 21-0 win.

Game 22 - Camping World Bowl - Mountaineers vs Orange (West Virginia vs Syracuse)

Winner: Mountaineers. In probably the most boring game thus far, the mountaineer walks out to shake the opponents hand and decides to just eat it. This mountaineer wasn't quite as nice as the last one, and he decides to run up the score a bit. He's also a bit clumsier than the last one and somehow gives up a safety. 49-2.

Game 23 - Alamo Bowl - Coyotes vs Cyclones (Washington State vs Iowa State)

Winner: Coyotes. This game plays out basically the exact same as the Hurricanes vs Badgers (minus some water.) Unfortunately for the cyclone, the coyote started with the ball. The cyclone scores the only goal on itself and loses 7-0.

Game 24 - Belk Bowl - Gamecocks vs Cavaliers (South Carolina vs Virginia)

Winner: Cavaliers. The cavalier is pissed because he heard "football" and assumed it was soccer. He chases down the bird and slaughters. He builds a fire and starts roasting it while discussing with the refs the rules of the of the game. The refs try to just convince the cavalier to pick up the ball and walk into the endzone, but he's scared to use his hands. It takes 4 overtimes for the bird to be done cooking and for the cavalier to finally agree to pick the ball up. He still dribbles the ball into the endzone with his feet, and reaches down to touch it. The refs call the game, and the 10 fans that stayed for some grilled pheasant cheer. 7-0

Game 25 - Arizona Bowl - Red Wolves vs Wolf Pack (Arkansas State vs Nevada)

Winner: Wolf Pack (but really everyone won this one). Wolves are super cool. The game starts and the wolf pack begins testing the red wolf. Even though he has no chance, the red wolf fights tooth and nail and the pack is impressed. At halftime, the pack invites the lone wolf to join its pack. He agrees and announces his mid-game transfer. With no opponent, the pack wins even though they were already winning 24-0.

Game 26 - Military Bowl - Wildcats vs Hokies (Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech)

Winner: Wildcats. There was a feeling of sick nostalgia (i'd imagine this is the same feeling I get when I smell Patron Citron?) in the stadium, but no one actually showed up for VT. The wildcat played with the ball a bit and managed to get a couple TDs. 14-0

Game 27 - Sun Bowl - Cardinal vs Panthers (Stanford vs Pittsburgh)

Winner: Panther. It's a color. Vegas didn't even accept bets on this game. The field was a deep shade of red, but for the second game in a row, the single player managed to "run unopposed." He was a bit better than the lynx though. 28-0.

Game 28 - Redbox Bowl - Ducks vs Spartans (Oregon vs Michigan State)

Winner: Spartans. Again, not even close. The spartan is focused and takes the game very seriously. The duck wanders around with no clue what's going on. Somewhere in the middle of the 3rd period, the duke accidentally got in the way of the spartan, who proceeded to slow-motion flip over the duck while slicing its beak off. Poor duck :(. Btw if you're actually reading this, pm me and I'll give you silver. Spartan wins 300-0.

Game 29 - Liberty Bowl - Tigers vs Cowboys (Missouri vs Oklahoma State)

Winner: Cowboys. Thankfully for OSU, they sent their best sharp-shooter. The tiger tried running straight for the cowboy before the game even started. The cowboy got off a perfect shot right between the eyes, dropping the wild cat from 30 yards out. The cowboy had work to do, so he scored a single TD and left the field. 7-0

Game 30 - Holiday Bowl - Utes vs Wildcats (Utah vs Northwestern)

Winner: Wildcats. A young boy wanders onto the field and the Leopard smacks his lips. He makes a bee-line straight for the kid and ferociously devours the little kid, avenging his previously slain brethren. The fans are in shock, and the leopard scores a touchdown before getting chased out of the stadium by fans of both teams. The NCAA holds an emergency meeting about the future of the sport, but decide the games are more important. No one knew who the kid was anyway. 7-0 Wildcats. You're kind of mean Northwestern.

Game 31 - Gator Bowl - Aggies vs Wolf Pack (Texas A&M vs NC State)

Winner: Wolf Pack. Leading the wolf packs to a 3-0 post-season record, the wolves make short work of the pitchfork-wielding farmer. Everyone already seems to have forgotten the previous week, and the wolves punch in a couple rushing tds. 14-0

Game 32 - Outback Bowl - Bulldogs vs Hawkeyes (Mississippi State vs Iowa)

Winner: Hawkeyes. He snipes the bulldog with ease and it's a super boring game. 21-0.

Game 33 - Citrus Bowl - Nittany Lions vs Wildcats (Penn State vs Kentucky)

Winner: Nittany Lions. The small basically housecat was super intimidated by the real wild cat. The Nittany Lion scored quick, and decided to take the full-grown wildcat back to her pride, thinking she was a baby "real lion." 7-0.

Game 34 - Peach Bowl - Gators vs Wolverines (Florida vs Michigan)

Winner: Gators. Despite being a miniature bear, gators are insanely powerful. On the first drive, the gator popped the ball. It still wandered into the endzone and laid down in the sunny Georgia weather. The wolverines and the refs were too scared to retrieve the ball from the gator, and time expired. 7-0.

Game 35 - Orange Bowl - Crimson Tide vs Sooners (Alabama vs Oklahoma)

Winner: Sooners. The sooner is completely unphased by a bit of red water, and proceeds to scored a few touchdowns before realizing this is a waste of time. He cuts out a little piece of sod and runs off the field. 21-0.

Game 36 - Cotton Bowl - Tigers vs Fighting Irish (Clemson vs Notre Dame)

Winner: Fighting Irish. In no surprise to anyone, the soldier with the gun manages to kill the cat early in the game. Most of these games are really just about the first 5 minutes. People just attend these events to see the initial bloodshed. 56-0.

Game 37 - Fiesta Bowl - Tigers vs Golden Knights (LSU vs UCF)

Winner: Golden Knights. This game literally plays out the exact same as the Army game. Literally every play is identical, every drive is identical. The media and fans throw out a ton of conspiracy theories, but it eventually dies down to a weird historical fact. 21-14

Game 38 - Rose Bowl - Buckeyes vs Huskies (Ohio State vs Washington)

Winner: Huskies. The husky doesn't even notice the lone little nut on the field. He plays with the ball for an hour. 21-0.

Game 39 - Sugar Bowl - Bulldogs vs Longhorns (Georgia vs Texas)

Winner: Bulldogs. Because Tuck Fexas. Just kidding, I'm not that petty. They actually lost because the bulldog (despite being a terrible breed of dog), was much quicker and agile than the huge cow. It was able to force several take-aways and ran laps around the out-of-shape massive horny boi. 28-7.

Game 40 - CFB Championship - Sooners vs Fighting Irish (Oklahoma vs Notre Dame)

Winner: Sooners. Our first and ONLY human vs human game. The sooner has a massive advantage with their wagon being a part of their identity. They're able to hide inside, and pop out for shots against the Irish soldier. Also, many soldiers in WWI were vastly under-trained, while the land-grabbers were survivalists and pioneers. Both men ignore the football, knowing the only way to win the game is knocking out their opponent. Both humans had agreed on no kill-shots, and the sooner manages to tag the arm of the Irish soldier in the arm in the 4th quarter. He waits until there's a few seconds left on the clock and walks the ball into the endzone. 7-0.

 
 

Summary

There really isn't any. It was fun and I definitely took some leisure in my interpretations of the team representatives, but if you actually read this, then thanks for the time. I really should get a girlfriend.
submitted by Laurim to CFB [link] [comments]

Official /r/TheB1G Week 10 Power Rankings

Week 10 Power Rankings:
Okay, Nebraska, we get it. You can brigade any internet poll. Congratulations. We had a record number of voters this week, as well as a record number of obvious troll votes that had to be thrown out (almost exclusively Nebraska fans, many of whom voted their team #1 and/or Iowa #14). This is a reminder that I remove those votes, so your blatant trolling was for naught.
Rank Team Points Average Rank Prev. Change Variance
1 Michigan 145(145) 1.00 1 0 0.00
2 Ohio State 311 2.14 2 0 0.39
3 Northwestern 669 4.61 5 +2 3.67
4 Penn State 680 4.69 3 -1 2.26
5 Michigan State 740 5.10 6 +1 3.34
6 Purdue 837 5.77 8 +2 2.51
7 Wisconsin 897 6.19 7 0 2.58
8 Iowa 1044 7.20 4 -4 3.65
9 Nebraska 1382 9.53 12 +3 3.49
10 Maryland 1471 10.14 9 -1 1.79
11 Indiana 1602 11.05 10 -1 1.50
12 Illinois 1707 11.77 13 +1 0.98
13 Minnesota 1723 11.88 11 -2 1.69
14 Rutgers 2017 13.91 14 0 0.12
For team standings and records, visit the /TheB1G sidebar.
Schedules and Results
Spreadsheet
Team Rankings By Week
Team Average Rankings By Week
Rank Commentary
1. That’s three-straight dominant wins (42-7) over a ranked team as the revenge tour rolls on. Michigan won the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and set the tone early. They sacked Trace McSorley twice on the opening drive, which established the kind of day it was going to be for the PSU offense (186 total yards). They bottled up Miles Sanders (14 yards on 7 carries), McSorley was just 5 of 13 passing, there were five sacks, and two interceptions (one each for Tommy Stevens). Once again Josh Uche led the pass rush with two sacks…he’s now second in the B1G with seven, all coming in the past five games. His quickness, speed, and athleticism are tough for O-linemen to handle. Brandon Watson returned an INT for a TD and Michigan cornerbacks now have scored four touchdowns, twice the amount they’ve allowed. Crazy. A PSU touchdown with 1:59 remaining prevented the shutout. Don Brown IS the king of DCs. The offense established the running game early as the Wolverines went 76 yards on eight plays on their first drive, all runs, to take a 7-0 lead. That was a statement in itself. Michigan outran PSU 259 yards to 68 with Karan Higdon going for 132 yards to give him seven-straight with 100-plus yards. Shea Patterson ran for 42 yards and accounted for three scores, one rushing and two through the air, including a pretty scoring strike while rolling to his right to Donovan Peoples-Jones, who now has seven TD grabs. Most importantly, the offensive line is developing into a strength. They not only opened holes for the running game but limited PSU to just one sack (3.5 per game coming in). Sitting at No. 4 in the CFB Playoff Rankings, the Wolverines are in a good place ten weeks in. B1GLove
2. Good news: our running game finally showed up again and Brendon White actually looked like a competent safety when he got the chance to play. Bad news: The defense still can't stop the run and LB play is still just as bad as always. Michigan is going to score at will against this defense. Up next: A road trip up to East Lansing where our defense will do their best to make Sparty look like an offensive juggernaut. Strangely enough considering how hotly contested OSU/MSU games have been lately, but Sparty hasn't actually beaten the Buckeyes in East Lansing since 1999. I wouldn't be surprised if that streak ends this week. topher3003
3. LeinadSpoon
4. Well, that wasn't what I expected. Michigan absolutely trounced Penn State in a game where the offense could do absolutely nothing to get going. If not for a Tommy Stevens garbage time TD, the Lions would have been shutout. I have to give the defense some credit for keeping the game within two scores up until the half. I don't even fully fault them for the second half collapse because they were tired from being on the field for ⅔ of the game - the offense did little other help. Hot take: at this point, I don't think the Lions should be ranked. Even our best wins are unconvincing, looking back. My confidence in Rahne is shaken as any chance we have have left for a second tier bowl game hinges on this weekend against Wisconsin. 2ndHalfTeam
5. A solid win over a program in turmoil and it seems MSU is getting this season back on track. The defense is coming around nicely as players return from injury. The offense is still shaky as neith QB looked good this week. The wind was certainly a factor, but the Lewerke injury and Lombardi's inexperience make things tough moving forward, despite the plan to stick with Brian for the moment. Next week is a big game against an OSU team that has struggled as of late. Getting a win here puts MSU in line for a NY6 bowl if cards begin to fall in the right way. FoxMcbowser42
6. Purdue knocked off another Top 25 team at Ross-Ade to improve to 3-0 on the season. It's incredible how different this team looks now vs. the first three weeks. David Bloug had two killer interceptions, but he also had three long touchdown passes and another short one to help Purdue secure the game. The end of the game was a thriller; after allowing Iowa to take a one point lead, Purdue's final drive started from midfield and included a 4th and 2 conversion. Spencer Evans converted a chip shot field goal for the game winner. Next weekend, the Boilermakers go on the road to Minnesota, witha good chance to become bowl eligible before the last game of the season for the first time since...who can remember that long ago. dgahimer
7. Woo, we beat Rutgers! Hornibrook did not have a good day in his return from his concussion. He went 7/16 with 2 INTs, but the worst was that right before halftime he was tackled, landing on the back of his helmet and had to leave the game. On the bright side, coming out of halftime the Badgers said, "You know what? We really don't need to pass the ball." Wisconsin did not throw a pass in the 3rd quarter and unlike last week, Jonathan Taylor was able to carry the offense in Hornibrook's absence (with a little help from the O-line of course) to the tune of 208 yds and 3 TDs. Although Rutgers was able to score some points in the 4th quarter, the game was effectively over after the 3rd. pianobadger
8. Missed the game. Got married. Pretty sure I got the better end of that deal. Heard there was some suspect officiating and some terrible secondary play by Iowa. trumpet_23
9. In a season like this, the best medicine is to find the good things to build on. Well I’ll take the bitter pill and talk special teams. How is it possible to be so grotesquely terrible at every single facet of special teams? We get punts blocked, but even clean punts don’t go very far. We always lose the field position game. We miss field goals and PATs. We kick off out of bounds. When we manage to keep the kickoff in play, we can’t stop long returns. We are terrible at our own kick returns. We do this? On the bright side, the rest of the season really looks winnable. But also losable. This week is Illinois, Nebraska holds the all-time lead 11-3-1. Nebraska_Actually
10. Guess I'll start out with the happenings of last week... The BoR's decision to retain Durkin, Evans, and Loh was unfathomable. Even if you didn't care about the optics, the two reports outline so many failings and infighting at all levels of the university that there is no way to continue with the status quo. And the media is so caught up in their narrative that the culture killed a player that no one has even bothered to talk about the fact that the trainers who failed to properly treat McNair are still employed. The very students that organized protest at the decision to retain Durkin failed to show up and support the student-athletes even after he was fired. Then we have a backup punter tried to use the situation to air his own personal grievances by running media and the Murphy law firm to slander a teammate. As someone who loves my university, it's painful to witness this whole situation. I have so much respect for the players and their handling of this because their resilience through this challenging time is one of the few bright spots of the last few months. Anyways, onto our previously scheduled programming. It's gotten kinda bland writing this blurb because I probably could have gotten away with only writing two of them this whole season. Last week Maryland's run game was unstoppable and the pass game got involved against a bad opponent. This week we faced a tough run defense and the Maryland offense looked completely inept from start to finish. Stop me if you've heard this before. Maryland has not played a game that was within 21 points since Week 1. Down 17-3 in the 4th quarter, Maryland very nearly flipped the script. With MSU backed up in their own redzone, Byron Cowart corralled a deflected pass and was going to take it to the house for a pick-6. However a MSU player snuck up on his blindside and punched the ball out short of the goal line. Michigan State recovered the ball in the endzone, gaining them 4 yards on the play and would score an 80yd rushing touchdown on the next. So it goes. Next week is basically the last chance for Maryland to reach a bowl. They hit the road to play Indiana before facing Ohio State and Penn State. Pray that the trend continues. Wicked_UMD
11. BYE manofruber
12. There really was nothing to say about the Illini game 2 weeks ago against Maryland. Last week was a whole new game and we would have won 55-17 if the second team didn't allow 2 garbage time TDs. Nonetheless, this was probably the most complete game I have seen from the Illini. Our offense exploded for 646 yards with Reggie Corbin and AJ Bush contributing all but 92 of the yards. On defense however, we allowed 436 yards which really isn't an improvement with Lovie as the play caller. Yes there were blitzes and packages other than a boring Cover 2, but our linebackers and DTs are too inexperienced and continuously missed tackles, mis read the offense and failed to adjust to the playcall. This defense is not ready for prime time play and will need to grow and mature to compete at a high level week after week. Nebraska next week scares me, especially with the way their offense has been playing. But in the end, all hope is not lost, at least until Saturday. the_reddit_intern
13. No offense to the Illini but that was embarrassing on so many levels. I feel like a broken record with these losses, giving up huge plays repeatedly is killing us. There is not much to highlight on the Minnesota side of the ball in this one, the one optimistic point is the firing of defensive coordinator Robb Smith. I've been calling for it for a couple of weeks now, however I assumed due to the friendship between Fleck and Smith that it wouldn't happen until the end of the season. Nice to see Fleck make the hard decisions. Our schedule does not get any easier, so interim DC Joe Rossi and Fleck have some scheming to do if they want to at least match years win total. kShnarsty
14. Good teams win, great teams cover. And this past Saturday, Rutgers was a great team (at least for bettors who took them to cover the -29 spread). Screw that shark making tons of money betting against Rutgers in Vegas earlier in the season. Blink for a second, and what do you know, Rutgers is now a decent 4-5 on covering the spread this season. Anyway, enough of my NJ self-loathing. This Rutgers performance was what fans were expecting all year. Solid and competitive against top teams, that's all we were asking for. Sure, Wisconsin isn't the playoff hopeful they were at season start, but this is still a really good football team, though "One Horni Boi" played poorly. And sure, the 14 point margin occurred only with 1 minute left in the game, but I'll take it. It was a breakout performance for RB Raheen Blackshear, who caught 8 passes for 152 yards and a TD. QB Art Sitkowski actually played "Lit-kowski" with a 261 yards and 1 TD, and importantly, no turnovers for the second straight game. Hopefully we play a solid game against Michigan, who beat us a by a super embarrassing 78-0 score the last time they played us in Piscataway. MRC1986
Points are the summation of every voter's ranking for that team, therefore lower scores are better. This works because unlike the AP, Coaches, or /cfb polls, every team is ranked in every vote. If x votes were counted, the best possible score is x and the worst possible score is 14x. #1 votes are in parentheses.
Average Rank is the points divided by the number of votes. This will allow for comparison from one week to the next.
Prev. is the Rank from the previous week.
Change is the change in average rank from the previous week.
Variance is a measure of how much agreement there was between voters. A zero means all voters ranked a team the same, and a higher number means a team's ranking was more controversial.
I will always remove obvious spam votes from the poll. I also remove votes that were obviously unfair to one or more teams in a negative way. I chose to leave homer votes that were otherwise fair alone. The "Pretty Graphs" include the votes that were excluded from the poll. Voters may have ties in their rankings.
Previous Results
submitted by trumpet_23 to TheB1G [link] [comments]

Week 1 Betting Lines

So a few weeks ago I compiled all the early week one betting lines and was asked to do this weekly so here it is.
I will choose 5 games against the spread each week and keep track of my record. This week my choices are as follows: 1. Troy +11 @ Boise St. 2. Nevada +24 @ Nortwestern. 3. FIU +17 @ UCF 4. FAU +9.5 vs Navy (all aboard the joey freshwater hype train) 5. CSU +5 @ Colorado
Teams Bovada V1 Consensus Westgate Superbook MGM Mirage William Hill Wynn LV CG Tech. Stations BetOnline
FIU @ UCF UCF -17 UCF -17 UCF -17 Locked UCF -17 UCF -16.5 UCF -17 UCF -17 UCF -16.5
Buffalo @ Minnesota UM -24 UM -24 UM -24.5 UM -25 UM -25 UM -24.5 UM -25 Locked UM -24
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State OKST -18.5 OKST -17.5 OKST -18 OKST -18 OKST -18 OKST -19 Locked OKST -18.5 OKST -17.5
Ohio State @ Indiana tOSU -21.5 tOSU -21 tOSU -20.5 tOSU -20.5 tOSU -21 tOSU -20.5 tOSU -21 tOSU -21 tOSU -21.5
ULM @ Memphis MEM -26 MEM -26 MEM -26 MEM -26 MEM -26.5 MEM -26.5 MEM -26.5 MEM -26 MEM -25.5
New Mexico State @ Arizona State ASU -23 ASU -22.5 ASU -22.5 ASU -23 ASU -23 ASU -23 ASU -23.5 ASU -22.5 ASU -22
Charlotte @ Eastern Michigan EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 Locked EMU -14
Navy @ FAU Navy -9.0 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -10 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.0
Washington @ Rutgers UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -28 UW -28 UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -27.5
Utah State @ Wisconsin Wisc -27.0 Wisc -28 Wisc -28 Wisc -27.5 Wisc -28 Locked Wisc -27.5 Wisc -28 Wisc -28.5
Boston College @ Northern Illinois BC -4.0 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -4.0 BC -4.0
Colorado State @ Colorado Colorado -5.0 Colorado -4.5 Colorado -4.5 Colorado -5.5 Colorado -5.0 Colorado -5.5 Colorado -5.0 Colorado -4.5 Colorado -5.0
Maryland @ Texas UT -19 UT -18.5 UT -18.5 UT -18 UT -18 UT -18 UT -18 UT -19 UT -18.5
Bowling Green @ Michigan State MSU -17.5 MSU -17.5 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17.5
Wyoming @ Iowa Iowa -11.5 Iowa -11.5 Iowa -11.5 Iowa -12.5 Iowa -12 Iowa -12.5 Iowa -12 Locked Iowa -11.5
Akron @ Penn State PSU -31 PSU -30.5 PSU -30.5 PSU -31 PSU -31 PSU -30.5 PSU -31 PSU -31 PSU -30
Kent State @ Clemson Clem -39.5 Clem -39.5 Clem -39.5 Clem -40 Clem -39 Clem -39.5 Clem -39.5 Clem -40 Clem -39.5
Ball State @ Illinois Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -6.5 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -6.5
California @ North Carolina UNC -12 UNC -12 UNC -11.5 UNC -12 Locked UNC -12 UNC -12 Locked UNC -12
NC State @ South Carolina NCST -5.0 NCST -5.0 NCST -5.5 NCST -5.5 NCST -5.0 NCST -5.5 NCST -5.5 Locked
Michigan @ Florida UM -4.0 UM -3.5 UM -3.5 UM -3.5 Locked UM -4.0 UM -3.5 UM -3.5 UM -3.5
UTEP @ Oklahoma OU -42 OU -42 OU -43 OU -43.5 OU -44 OU -44 OU -44 OU -42 OU -42.5
Temple @ Notre Dame ND -18 ND -18.5 ND -18.5 ND -17.5 ND -18 ND -17.5 ND -17.5 ND -18.5 ND -18.5
Nevada @ Northwestern NW -24 NW -24 NW -24 NW -23.5 Locked NW -24 Locked Locked Locked
Troy @ Boise State BSU -11 BSU -10.5 BSU -10.5 BSU -11 Locked BSU -11.5 BSU -11 BSU -11 BSU -11
Kentucky @ Southern Miss UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 Locked UK -10 UK -10 Locked UK -10
Western Michigan @ USC USC -27.5 USC -26.5 USC -26.5 USC -27.5 USC -27.5 USC -27.5 Locked USC -27 USC -27.5
Appalachian State @ Georgia UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14 UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 Locked UGA -14 UGA -14
Miami (OH) @ Marshall Marshall -2.0 Marshall -2.5 Marshall -2.5 Marshall -1.5 Marshall -1.5 Marshall -1.5 Mmarshall -1.5 Marshall -2.0 Marshall -2.0
UMass @ Coastal Carolina Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.0 Umass -2.0 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5
Houston @ UTSA PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD
Georgia Southern @ Auburn AU -34 AU -34.5 AU -34.5 AU -34.5 AU -34.5 AU -34 AU -34.5 AU -33.5 AU -34.5
Purdue vs Louisville UL -24.5 UL -24.5 UL -24.5 UL -25 UL -25 UL -25 UL -25 UL -25 UL -24.5
South Alabama @ Ole Miss Miss -24 Miss -23.5 Miss -24 Miss -24 Miss -24 Miss -24 Miss -24 Locked Miss -24
Florida State @ Alabama Bama -7.5 Bama -7.0 Locked Bama -7.0 Locked Bama -7.0 Bama -7.0 Locked Bama -7.0
Arkansas State @ Nebraska Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15.5 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -16
Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.0 Vandy -4.0 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5
BYU vs LSU N/A LSU -16.5 LSU -16.5 LSU -14.5 LSU -16.5 LSU -14 LSU -16 LSU -16 LSU -16
West Virginia @ Virginia Tech VT -4.0 VT -4.0 VT -4.0 VT -4.5 VT -4.5 VT -4.0 VT -4.5 Locked VT -4.0
Texas A&M @ UCLA UCLA -3.5 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -3.5 UCLA -3.5 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -3.5
Tennessee @ Georgia Tech UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.5 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0
submitted by rhuguenel to CFB [link] [comments]

Week 2 betting lines

Here are the week 2 betting lines. Last week I went 1-3-1 which is why I have a day job. My picks ATS this week are: 1. UNC +10 vs Louisville 2. Arkansas +3 vs TCU 3. South Carolina +2.5 @ Mizzou 4. UTSA +16 @ Baylor 5. Duke +3.0 vs NU.
Teams Bovada V1 Consensus Westgate Superbook MGM Mirage William Hill Wynn LV CG Tech. Stations BetOnline
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama OKST -29 OKST -28 OKST -28 OKST -28.5 OKST -28.5 OKST -28 OKST -28 OKST -28.5 OKST -28
Ohio @ Purdue PUR -4.0 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -4.0 PUR -4.0 PUR -3.5
FAU @ Wisconsin WIS -32 WIS -31.5 WIS -32 WIS -31.5 WIS -31.5 WIS -33 WIS -32 WIS -33 WIS -32
Charlotte @ Kansas State KSU -36.5 KSU -36.5 KSU -36.5 KSU -36 KSU -36 KSU -35.5 KSU -36 KSU -36 KSU -36
Cincinnati @ Michigan UM -35 UM -34.5 UM -34.5 UM -34.5 UM -34 UM -35 UM -34 UM -34.5 UM -34
ECU @ West Virginia WVU -24.5 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24.5 WVU -24 WVU -24
Iowa @ Iowa State Iowa -3.0 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5
Louisville @ North Carolina UL -10 UL -9.5 UL -10 UL -9.5 UL -9.5 UL -9.5 UL -10 UL -10 UL -9.5
ULM @ Florida State FSU -34.5 FSU -34.5 FSU -34.5 FSU -33.5 FSU -34 FSU -34.5 FSU -34.5 FSU -33.5 FSU -34
Northwestern @ Duke NW -3.0 NW -3.0 NW -4.0 NW -3.0 NW -3.0 NW -3.5 NW -3.0 NW -3.0 NW -3.0
USF @ Connecticut USF -17 USF -17 USF -17 USF -17 USF -17.5 USF -17 USF -17 USF -17.5 USF -17
Buffalo @ Army Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16 Army -16.5 Army -16.5
Wake Forest @ Boston College PK PK PK BC -1.0 BC -1.0 PK BC -1.5 BC -1.0 PK
Texas State @ Colorado COLO –35.5 COLO -35.5 COLO -35.5 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36
UAB @ Ball State BSU -14 BSU -14.5 BSU -14.5 BSU -14 BSU -14 BSU -14 BSU -14 BSU -13.5 BSU -14
Indiana @ Virginia IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0
Middle Tennessee @ Syracuse SYR -10 SYR -10 SYR -9.5 SYR -10 SYR -9.5 SYR -9.5 SYR -10 SYR -9.5 SYR -10
TCU @ Arkansas TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.5 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.5
Fresno State @ Alabama BAMA -43 BAMA -44 BAMA -43.5 BAMA -43.5 BAMA -44 BAMA -43 BAMA -43.5 BAMA -44 BAMA -44
Old Dominion @ UMass ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5
Pittsburgh @ Penn State PSU -21.5 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -22 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -21
Western Michigan @ Michigan State MSU -7.0 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5
Eastern Michigan @ Rutgers RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.0 RUTG -5.0 RUTG -5.0 RUTG -6.0 RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.5
San José State @ Texas Locked UT -26 UT -26 UT -26.5 UT -26 UT -27.5 UT -27 UT -26 UT -26.5
Tulane @ Navy NAVY -13.5 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -12 NAVY -13 NAVY -13
Louisiana @ Tulsa TULSA -14 TULSA -14 TULSA -14.5 TULSA -14.5 TULSA -15 TULSA -15 TULSA -14 TULSA -16 TULSA -14
Central Michigan @ Kansas KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.0 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.0 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5
Nebraska @ Oregon UO -13.5 UO -13.5 UO -13.5 UO -13 UO -13.5 UO -13.5 UO -13 UO -14 UO -14
Hawai'i @ UCLA UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23 UCLA -23.5
Marshall @ NC State NCST -24.5 NCST -24 NCST -24 NCST -24 NCST -24.5 NCST -24.5 NCST -24 NCST -24.5 NCST -24
Auburn @ Clemson CLEM -6.0 CLEM -5.0 CLEM -5.0 CLEM -5.5 CLEM -5.5 CLEM -6.0 CLEM -6.0 CLEM -6.0 CLEM -5.5
South Carolina @ Missouri MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5
North Texas @ SMU SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13 SMU -13 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5
Toledo @ Nevada TOL -10 TOL -10 TOL -10 TOL -10 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5
UNLV @ Idaho IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5
Georgia @ Notre Dame ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -4.5 ND -4.5 ND -4.5
Oklahoma @ Ohio State tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.0 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.0 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5
Mississippi State @ Louisiana Tech MSST -9.0 MSST -9.5 MSST -9.5 MSST -9.0 MSST -9.0 MSST -8.5 MSST -9.0 MSST -8.5 MSST -8.5
UTSA @ Baylor BAY -16 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -16.5 BAY -17 BAY -17
New Mexico State @ New Mexico UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.5 UNM -7.5 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0
Rice @ UTEP UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.0 UTEP -1.0 UTEP -1.0 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.0
WKU @ Illinois WKU -7.0 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.0 WKU -7.0 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.0 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.5
Stanford @ USC USC -5.5 USC -6.0 USC -6.0 USC -6.5 USC -5.5 USC -6.0 USC -6.0 USC -6.0 USC -5.5
Minnesota @ Oregon State ORST -2.0 ORST -2.5 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.5 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.5 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.0
Utah @ BYU UTAH -3.0 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -3.0 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -3.0 UTAH -2.0 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -2.5
Boise State @ Washington State WSU -10.5 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10.5
Houston @ Arizona UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.5 UH -1.0 UH -1.0
San Diego State @ Arizona State ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -4.0 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5
submitted by rhuguenel to CFB [link] [comments]

Predicting the Final Score of Every Bowl Game

If you have seen any of my previous posts, I will be predicting the final score of every bowl game this year using a method that I made up based on S&P+. I will be logging all of my predictions, as well as the result of those predictions, here. Click the link of each bowl to see the detailed breakdown of how I got to my prediction.
Disclaimer: All odds are the opening odds according to OddsShark. I will not be using the updated odds. My reason for this is that I will be using information that was freely available when the betting lines opened, and therefore any prediction I make today, tomorrow, next week, etc. would be the same as if I had made the prediction the day the odds opened. I am simply spreading out my predictions because it will take me 10+ hours to do all of them, and I am not going to sit down and do them all at once. I will post each prediction the day before each bowl.
Date Bowl Teams Spread OU Projection Spread Pick OU Pick Final Score Picked Winner? Beat Spread? Beat OU?
Dec. 16th New Orleans Bowl Troy vs. North Texas Troy -5 60.5 37-25 Troy Troy Over 50-30 Troy Yes Yes Yes
Dec. 16th Cure Bowl Georgia State vs. Western Kentucky WKU -6.5 54.5 29-23 WKU Georgia St. Under 27-17 Georgia St. No Yes Yes
Dec. 16th Las Vegas Bowl Boise State vs. Oregon Oregon -7 62.5 33-28 Boise St. Boise St. Under 38-28 Boise St. Yes Yes No
Dec. 16th New Mexico Bowl Marshall vs. Colorado State CSU -3 58.5 36-24 CSU CSU Over 31-28 Marshall No No Yes
Dec. 16th Camellia Bowl Middle Tennessee vs. Arkansas State Ark St. -3.5 60.5 28-22 Ark. St. Ark St. Under 35-30 Middle Tennessee No No No
Dec. 19th Boca Raton Bowl Akron vs. Florida Atlantic FAU -17 64.5 43-22 FAU FAU Over 50-3 FAU Yes Yes No
Dec. 20th Frisco Bowl SMU vs. Louisianna Tech SMU -5 70 40-37 SMU Louisiana Tech Over 51-10 Louisiana Tech No Yes No
Dec. 21st Gasparilla Bowl Temple vs. Florida International Temple -8 56 26-25 Temple FIU Under 28-3 Temple Yes No Yes
Dec. 22nd Bahamas Bowl UAB vs. Ohio Ohio -7 56 31-25 Ohio UAB Technically a push, I flipped a coin and took Under 41-6 Ohio Yes No Yes
Dec. 22nd Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Wyoming vs. Central Michigan EV 45 20-16 Wyoming Wyoming Under 37-14 Wyoming Yes Yes No
Dec. 23rd Brimingham Bowl Texas Tech vs. South Florida USF -2.5 67.5 36-22 USF USF Under 38-34 USF Yes Yes No
Dec. 23rd Armed Forces Bowl Army vs. San Diego State SDS -6 46.5 27-22 San Diego State Army Over 42-35 Army No Yes Yes
Dec. 23rd Dollar General Bowl Appalachian State vs. Toledo Toledo -7 62 33-30 Toledo App State Over 34-0 App State No Yes No
Dec. 24th Hawai'i Bowl Fresno State vs. Houston Houston -1.5 50 25-22 Houston Houston Under 33-27 Fresno State No No No
Dec. 26th Heart of Dallas Bowl Utah vs. West Virginia Utah -4.5 57 33-29 Utah West Virginia Over 30-14 Utah Yes No No
Dec. 26th Quick Lane Bowl Duke vs. Northern Illinois Duke -2.5 47.5 22-18 Northern Illinois Northern Illinois Under 36-14 Duke No No No
Dec. 26th Cactus Bowl Kansas State vs. UCLA KS -3 63.5 38-33 Kansas State Kansas State Over 35-17 Kansas State Yes Yes No
Dec. 27th Independence Bowl Florida State vs. Southern Miss FSU -14 49 24-20 Southern Miss Southern Miss Under 42-13 Florida State No No No
Dec. 27th Pinstripe Bowl Boston College vs. Iowa Iowa -3 45 19-18 Boston College Boston College Under 27-20 Iowa No No No
Dec. 27th Foster Farms Bowl Arizona vs. Purdue Arizona -4.5 65 34-29 Purdue Purdue Under 38-35 Purdue Yes Yes No
Dec. 27th Texas Bowl Texas vs. Missouri Missouri -1 60.5 29-27 Texas Texas Under 33-16 Texas Yes Yes Yes
Dec. 28th Military Bowl Virginia vs. Navy Ev 55 30-26 Virginia Virginia Over 49-7 Navy No No Yes
Dec. 28th Camping World Bowl Oklahoma State vs. Virginia Tech OSU -6.5 63 33-26 OSU OSU Under 30-21 OSU Yes Yes Yes
Dec. 28th Alamo Bowl Stanford vs. TCU TCU -2 49 22-20 TCU Technically a push, I flipped a coin and took TCU (TCU was heads, because Hornfrogs have heads) Under 39-37 TCU Yes Push No
Dec. 28th Holiday Bowl Michigan State vs. Washington State WSU -4.5 45.5 21-18 Washington State Michigan State Under 42-17 MSU No Yes No
Dec. 29th Belk Bowl Wake Forest vs. Texas A&M WF -2.5 64.5 36-30 Wake Forest Wake Forest Over
Dec. 29th Sun Bowl NC State vs. Arizona State NCSU -5 59.5 32-29 NC State Arizona State Over
Dec. 29th Music City Bowl Kentucky vs. Northwestern NW -6.5 51 30-20 Northwestern Northwestern Under
Dec. 29th Arizona Bowl Utah State vs. New Mexico State USU -3 61.5 33-27 Utah State Utah State Under
Dec. 29th Cotton Bowl USC vs. Ohio State OSU -6 64.5 40-25 OSU OSU Over
Dec. 30th Taxslayer Bowl Louisville vs. Mississippi State Louisville -5.5 62 34-33 Miss St. Miss St. Over
Dec. 30th Liberty Bowl Iowa State vs. Memphis Memphis -3 66 33-25 Memphis Memphis Under
Dec. 30th Fiesta Bowl Washington vs. Penn State PSU -4.5 55 31-25 Washington Washington Over
Dec. 30th Orange Bowl Wisconsin vs. Miami Wisconsin -5.5 45.5 26-17 Wisconsin Wisconsin Under
Jan. 1st Outback Bowl Michigan vs. South Carolina Michigan -7.5 43 27-16 Michigan Michigan Technically a push, I flipped a coin and took Over
Jan. 1st Peach Bowl Auburn vs. UCF Auburn -8 66.5 35-28 Auburn UCF Under
Jan. 1st Citrus Bowl Notre Dame vs. LSU LSU -1 51 26-23 Notre Dame Notre Dame Under
Jan. 1st Rose Bowl Oklahoma vs. Georgia Oklahoma -1.5 60 37-31 UGA UGA Over
Jan. 1st Sugar Bowl Clemson vs. Alabama Ev 47 21-16 Clemson Clemson Under
Jan. 8th CFP National Championship TBD TBD
Final Results 52% 58% 36%
submitted by 23coconuts to CFB [link] [comments]

Week 1 Betting Lines

So a few weeks ago I compiled all the early week one betting lines and was asked to do this weekly so here it is.
I will choose 5 games against the spread each week and keep track of my record. This week my choices are as follows: 1. Troy +11 @ Boise St. 2. Nevada +24 @ Nortwestern. 3. FIU +17 @ UCF 4. FAU +9.5 vs Navy 5. CSU +5 @ Colorado
Teams Bovada V1 Consensus Westgate Superbook MGM Mirage William Hill Wynn LV CG Tech. Stations BetOnline
FIU @ UCF UCF -17 UCF -17 UCF -17 Locked UCF -17 UCF -16.5 UCF -17 UCF -17 UCF -16.5
Buffalo @ Minnesota UM -24 UM -24 UM -24.5 UM -25 UM -25 UM -24.5 UM -25 Locked UM -24
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State OKST -18.5 OKST -17.5 OKST -18 OKST -18 OKST -18 OKST -19 Locked OKST -18.5 OKST -17.5
Ohio State @ Indiana tOSU -21.5 tOSU -21 tOSU -20.5 tOSU -20.5 tOSU -21 tOSU -20.5 tOSU -21 tOSU -21 tOSU -21.5
ULM @ Memphis MEM -26 MEM -26 MEM -26 MEM -26 MEM -26.5 MEM -26.5 MEM -26.5 MEM -26 MEM -25.5
New Mexico State @ Arizona State ASU -23 ASU -22.5 ASU -22.5 ASU -23 ASU -23 ASU -23 ASU -23.5 ASU -22.5 ASU -22
Charlotte @ Eastern Michigan EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 EMU -14 Locked EMU -14
Navy @ FAU Navy -9.0 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -10 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.5 Navy -9.0
Washington @ Rutgers UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -28 UW -28 UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -27.5 UW -27.5
Utah State @ Wisconsin Wisc -27.0 Wisc -28 Wisc -28 Wisc -27.5 Wisc -28 Locked Wisc -27.5 Wisc -28 Wisc -28.5
Boston College @ Northern Illinois BC -4.0 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -3.5 BC -4.0 BC -4.0
Colorado State @ Colorado Colorado -5.0 Colorado -4.5 Colorado -4.5 Colorado -5.5 Colorado -5.0 Colorado -5.5 Colorado -5.0 Colorado -4.5 Colorado -5.0
Maryland @ Texas UT -19 UT -18.5 UT -18.5 UT -18 UT -18 UT -18 UT -18 UT -19 UT -18.5
Bowling Green @ Michigan State MSU -17.5 MSU -17.5 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17 MSU -17.5
Wyoming @ Iowa Iowa -11.5 Iowa -11.5 Iowa -11.5 Iowa -12.5 Iowa -12 Iowa -12.5 Iowa -12 Locked Iowa -11.5
Akron @ Penn State PSU -31 PSU -30.5 PSU -30.5 PSU -31 PSU -31 PSU -30.5 PSU -31 PSU -31 PSU -30
Kent State @ Clemson Clem -39.5 Clem -39.5 Clem -39.5 Clem -40 Clem -39 Clem -39.5 Clem -39.5 Clem -40 Clem -39.5
Ball State @ Illinois Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -6.5 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -7.0 Illinois -6.5
California @ North Carolina UNC -12 UNC -12 UNC -11.5 UNC -12 Locked UNC -12 UNC -12 Locked UNC -12
NC State @ South Carolina NCST -5.0 NCST -5.0 NCST -5.5 NCST -5.5 NCST -5.0 NCST -5.5 NCST -5.5 Locked
Michigan @ Florida UM -4.0 UM -3.5 UM -3.5 UM -3.5 Locked UM -4.0 UM -3.5 UM -3.5 UM -3.5
UTEP @ Oklahoma OU -42 OU -42 OU -43 OU -43.5 OU -44 OU -44 OU -44 OU -42 OU -42.5
Temple @ Notre Dame ND -18 ND -18.5 ND -18.5 ND -17.5 ND -18 ND -17.5 ND -17.5 ND -18.5 ND -18.5
Nevada @ Northwestern NW -24 NW -24 NW -24 NW -23.5 Locked NW -24 Locked Locked Locked
Troy @ Boise State BSU -11 BSU -10.5 BSU -10.5 BSU -11 Locked BSU -11.5 BSU -11 BSU -11 BSU -11
Kentucky @ Southern Miss UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 Locked UK -10 UK -10 Locked UK -10
Western Michigan @ USC USC -27.5 USC -26.5 USC -26.5 USC -27.5 USC -27.5 USC -27.5 Locked USC -27 USC -27.5
Appalachian State @ Georgia UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14 UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 Locked UGA -14 UGA -14
Miami (OH) @ Marshall Marshall -2.0 Marshall -2.5 Marshall -2.5 Marshall -1.5 Marshall -1.5 Marshall -1.5 Mmarshall -1.5 Marshall -2.0 Marshall -2.0
UMass @ Coastal Carolina Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.0 Umass -2.0 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5 Umass -2.5
Houston @ UTSA PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD PPD
Georgia Southern @ Auburn AU -34 AU -34.5 AU -34.5 AU -34.5 AU -34.5 AU -34 AU -34.5 AU -33.5 AU -34.5
Purdue vs Louisville UL -24.5 UL -24.5 UL -24.5 UL -25 UL -25 UL -25 UL -25 UL -25 UL -24.5
South Alabama @ Ole Miss Miss -24 Miss -23.5 Miss -24 Miss -24 Miss -24 Miss -24 Miss -24 Locked Miss -24
Florida State @ Alabama Bama -7.5 Bama -7.0 Locked Bama -7.0 Locked Bama -7.0 Bama -7.0 Locked Bama -7.0
Arkansas State @ Nebraska Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15.5 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -15 Neb -16
Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.0 Vandy -4.0 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5 Vandy -3.5
BYU vs LSU N/A LSU -16.5 LSU -16.5 LSU -14.5 LSU -16.5 LSU -14 LSU -16 LSU -16 LSU -16
West Virginia @ Virginia Tech VT -4.0 VT -4.0 VT -4.0 VT -4.5 VT -4.5 VT -4.0 VT -4.5 Locked VT -4.0
Texas A&M @ UCLA UCLA -3.5 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -3.5 UCLA -3.5 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -4.0 UCLA -3.5
Tennessee @ Georgia Tech UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.5 UT -3.0 UT -3.0 UT -3.0
submitted by rhuguenel to CFBVegas [link] [comments]

List of all the early week 1 betting lines.

So I decided instead of comparing AP#1s and movies/TV shows I should make a post that could actually have a function. Since I'm a fan of making money off of CFB I figured I there were others that enjoyed the same. So I went and compiled all the early week 1 lines from the major sportsbooks. And since these are still not the final lines I will update the table and repost it the day before games start. List of Bovada lines. List of remaining sportsbook's lines
A few lines against the spread (Bovada lines) that jump out at me currently: Florida +4, Maryland +17, Utep +44, WMU +26, Georgia Southern -35, Troy +12.5, A&M +3 (super iffy ab this one tho).
Quick side note: It is a travesty that I couldn’t use Sparky as the flair for Arizona State. Win that alternate flair ASU fans.
Teams Bovada Westgate Superbook MGM Mirage William Hill CG Tech. Stations BetOnline
Oregon State @ Colorado State CSU -3.5 CSU -3.5 CSU -3.5 CSU -3.5 CSU -3.5 CSU -3.5 CSU -3.5
Hawai'i @ UMass UH -1.0 UH -1.5 Umass -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0
USF @ San José State USF -20 USF -20 USF -19 USF -20 USF -21 USF -20 USF-20
Rice @ Stanford SU-31.5 SU -31.5 SU -31.5 SU -31.5 SU -32 SU -32 SU -31.5
Ohio State @ Indiana OSU -20.5 OSU -21 OSU -21 OSU -21 OSU -20.5 OSU -21 OSU -21.5
Buffalo @ Minnesota UM -26.5 UM -26.5 UM -26.5 UM -27 UM -27 UM -27 UM -26.5
ULM @ Memphis Memphis -27 Memphis -27.5 Memphis -27 Memphis –27 Memphis -27 Memphis -27 Memphis -27
New Mexico State @ Arizona State ASU -25 ASU-25.5 ASU -25 ASU -25.5 ASU -25.5 ASU -25.5 ASU -25
Charlotte @ Eastern Michigan EMU -12.5 EMU -12 EMU -12.5 EMU -12.5 EMU -12.5 EMU -12.5 EMU -12
Washington @ Rutgers UW -30.5 UW -30.5 UW -31 UW -30.5 UW -30.5 UW -30.5 UW -30.5
Navy @ FAU Navy -14 Navy -13.5 Navy -14.5 Navy -14 Navy -13.5 Navy -13.5 Navy -13.5
Boston College @ Northern Illinois BC -3.0 BC -2.5 BC -2.0 BC -3.0 BC -3.0 BC -3.0 BC -2.5
Utah State @ Wisconsin UW –29 UW -29 UW -29 UW -29 UW -29 UW -29 UW -29
Bowling Green @ Michigan State MSU -19.5 MSU -20 MSU -20 MSU -20 MSU -20 MSU -20 MSU -20
Arkansas State @ Nebraska UN -16.5 UN -16 UN -16.5 UN -16.5 UN -16.5 UN -16.5 UN -17
Wyoming @ Iowa Iowa -13 Iowa -13 Iowa -13.5 Iowa -13.5 Iowa -13 Iowa -13 Iowa -13
Louisville @ Purdue UL -26.5 UL -26 UL -26.5 UL -26.5 UL -26 UL -26.5 UL -26.5
Akron @ Penn State PSU -33 PSU-33 PSU -33 PSU -33 PSU -33 PSU -33 PSU -33
Kent State @ Clemson CU -38.5 CU -38 CU -38 CU -39 CU -39 CU -39 CU -38.5
Ball State @ Illinois UI -8.5 UI -7.5 UI -8.5 UI -8.5 UI -9 UI -9 UI -9
Miami (OH) @ Marshall Marshall -1.0 PK Marshall -1.0 PK PK PK PK
Nevada @ Northwestern NW -24.5 NW -25 NW -23.5 NW -24.5 NW -24 NW -24.5 NW -24
South Carolina @ NC State NCS -5.0 NCS -5.5 NCS -4.5 NCS -5.5 NCS -5.0 NCS -5.0 NCS -5.0
Michigan vs Florida UM -4.0 UM -4.0 UM -4.5 UM -4.0 UM -4.0 UM -4.5 UM -4.0
Maryland @ Texas UT -17 UT -16.5 UT -16.5 UT -17 UT -17 UT -17 UT -17.5
UTEP @ Oklahoma OU -44 OU –44 OU -45 OU -44 OU -44.5 OU -44 OU -44.5
Temple @ Notre Dame ND -15 ND -15.5 ND -15 ND -15 ND -15 ND -15 ND -15
Western Michigan @ USC USC -26 USC -27 USC -25.5 USC -26 USC -26 USC -26 USC -26
California @ North Carolina UNC -12.5 UNC -13 UNC -12.5 UNC -13 UNC -13 UNC -13 UNC -12.5
Georgia Southern @ Auburn AU -35 AU -35 AU -35 AU -35 AU -35 AU -35 AU -35
Troy @ Boise State BSU -12.5 BSU -12.5 BSU -12.5 BSU -12.5 BSU -12.5 BSU -12.5 BSU -12.5
Kentucky @ Southern Miss UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 UK -10 UK -10
Appalachian State @ Georgia UGA -14 UGA -14.5 UGA -13.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14.5 UGA -14
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State OSU -17 OSU -17 OSU -16.5 OSU -17 OSU -16 OSU -17.5 OSU -16.5
Houston @ UTSA UH -13.5 UH -13 UH -14 UH -13.5 UH -13.5 UH -13.5 UH -13.5
South Alabama @ Ole Miss Locked Miss -25 Miss -25.5 Miss -24.5 Miss -24.5 Miss -25 Miss -25.5
Alabama vs Florida State Bama -7.0 Bama -7.0 Bama -7.5 Bama -7.5 Bama -7.0 Bama -7.0 Bama -7.0
Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee Vandy -5.5 Vandy -4.5 Vandy -5.5 Vandy -6.0 Vandy -6.0 Vandy -6.0 Vandy -6.5
BYU vs LSU LSU -13 LSU -13.5 LSU -12.5 LSU -13.5 LSU -13 LSU -13.5 LSU -13.5
West Virginia vs Virginia Tech VT -4.5 VT -4.5 VT -4.5 VT -4.5 VT -4.0 VT -4.5 VT -4.5
Texas A&M @ UCLA UCLA -3.5 UCLA 3.5 UCLA 3.0 UCLA -3.5 UCLA -3.5 UCLA -3 UCLA -3
Georgia Tech vs Tennessee UT -3.5 UT -3.5 UT -3.0 UT -3.5 UT -3.5 UT -3.5 UT -3.5
FIU @ UCF N/A UCF -17.5 UCF -17 UCF -17.5 UCF -17.5 UCF -17.5 UCF -17
Colorado State vs Colorado N/A Colorado -7.0 Colorado -7.0 Colorado -7.0 Colorado -7.0 Colorado -7.0 Colorado -7.0
UMass @ Coastal Carolina N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
submitted by rhuguenel to CFB [link] [comments]

Revised season predictions following week 1

Though we didn't get to see our own team play, I feel after seeing all of our opponents play I have a much better grasp of realistic expectations for this season. Curious to hear how yours have changed
  1. Akron (cancelled)- Assuming this is made up, I'll call it a blowout (1-0)
  2. Colorado- Coming off a big win over a (mediocre) in state rival, Colorado definitely has the momentum. We were blue balled hard however and I think our offense comes out firing. Martinez has some freshman struggles but I think we have too many play makers to contain. Their offense has some success but cannot keep up. 38-24 (2-0)
  3. Troy- They just got waxed by Boise State, I wasn't ever worried about this game because I still think LSU was a fluke. Our defense picks up a little momentum. 45-14 (3-0)
  4. @Michigan- I always held the notion that we would lose the game, but it would be closer than I thought. I currently have a Gold bet against Isms in favor of Michigan but their O-line play against ND has to be worrying for wolverine fans. I still hope we win this, I just don't think we do albeit I'm much less afraid of their defense after seeing their response to a dual threat QB. 28-20 Mich (3-1)
  5. Purdue- Overrated. Undisciplined. @Home. I think we take this pretty easily imo. Our defense wears down a bit at the end and the result is closer than the reality. 28-14 (4-1)
  6. @Wisconsin- I'll be honest. I expected a blowout coming into this season. Their performance against Western kentucky however was mediocre at best. Their offense took forever to get going and their defense won't be lights out like last season. I think there's a good chance we beat one of Michigan/Wisconsin this season, but if im putting money on it- I like our odds next season more. Close loss in which both sides of the ball show up, but we just can't quite make up an early deficit. 24-20 Wisc (4-2)
  7. @Northwestern- Seems theres some voodoo going on that makes one of us squeak out a bullshit win one way or another. It's our turn to win this season. I am worried about this game. They looked good against what I expect to be a 7-5 purdue. 27-20 (5-2)
  8. Minnesota- They killed NMSU in their opener... okay? True Freshman Walk-on QB starting for Minn, I expect the big lights to be too much. 35-14 (6-2)
  9. @Ohio State- We aren't ready for them yet. But the gap is narrowing. It may have just been Urban's suspension talking but they gave up 30 points to Oregon State. That has to be worrying for buckeye fans. IF this was at home, I may have picked us. But its not. 27-17 OSU (6-3)
  10. Illinois- Its illinois. I'll be attending my first home game in my life. 63-10 (7-3)
  11. Michigan State- They squeaked out a home win vs Utah State. I thought they were overrated this season and expect them to be a fringe top 25 team going into our game. I think we beat this team at home or on the road this season. not as close as people expect. 42-20 (8-3)
  12. @Iowa- They looked like trash against NIU. It took until the second half for them to put any meaningful points on the board and they were honestly on upset alert at the half. The ASSICO may alter some opinions but I think we finally shutup that inferior state to the East. 31-17 (9-3)
Bowl game against 3rd/4th best team in SEC. Hello South Carolina. What are your thoughts? I came into this season expecting 7-5. I'm now predicting 9-3.
submitted by PM_ME_OVERT_SIDEBOOB to Huskers [link] [comments]

Week 2 betting lines

Here are the week 2 betting lines. Last week I went 1-3-1 which is why I have a day job. My picks ATS this week are: 1. UNC +10 vs Louisville 2. Arkansas +3 vs TCU 3. South Caroline +2.5 @ Mizzou 4. UTSA +16 @ Baylor 5. Duke +3.0 vs NW.
Teams Bovada V1 Consensus Westgate Superbook MGM Mirage William Hill Wynn LV CG Tech. Stations BetOnline
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama OKST -29 OKST -28 OKST -28 OKST -28.5 OKST -28.5 OKST -28 OKST -28 OKST -28.5 OKST -28
Ohio @ Purdue PUR -4.0 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -3.5 PUR -4.0 PUR -4.0 PUR -3.5
FAU @ Wisconsin WIS -32 WIS -31.5 WIS -32 WIS -31.5 WIS -31.5 WIS -33 WIS -32 WIS -33 WIS -32
Charlotte @ Kansas State KSU -36.5 KSU -36.5 KSU -36.5 KSU -36 KSU -36 KSU -35.5 KSU -36 KSU -36 KSU -36
Cincinnati @ Michigan UM -35 UM -34.5 UM -34.5 UM -34.5 UM -34 UM -35 UM -34 UM -34.5 UM -34
ECU @ West Virginia WVU -24.5 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24 WVU -24.5 WVU -24 WVU -24
Iowa @ Iowa State Iowa -3.0 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5 Iowa -2.5
Louisville @ North Carolina UL -10 UL -9.5 UL -10 UL -9.5 UL -9.5 UL -9.5 UL -10 UL -10 UL -9.5
ULM @ Florida State FSU -34.5 FSU -34.5 FSU -34.5 FSU -33.5 FSU -34 FSU -34.5 FSU -34.5 FSU -33.5 FSU -34
Northwestern @ Duke NW -3.0 NW -3.0 NW -4.0 NW -3.0 NW -3.0 NW -3.5 NW -3.0 NW -3.0 NW -3.0
USF @ Connecticut USF -17 USF -17 USF -17 USF -17 USF -17.5 USF -17 USF -17 USF -17.5 USF -17
Buffalo @ Army Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16.5 Army -16 Army -16.5 Army -16.5
Wake Forest @ Boston College PK PK PK BC -1.0 BC -1.0 PK BC -1.5 BC -1.0 PK
Texas State @ Colorado COLO –35.5 COLO -35.5 COLO -35.5 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36 COLO -36
UAB @ Ball State BSU -14 BSU -14.5 BSU -14.5 BSU -14 BSU -14 BSU -14 BSU -14 BSU -13.5 BSU -14
Indiana @ Virginia IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0 IND -3.0
Middle Tennessee @ Syracuse SYR -10 SYR -10 SYR -9.5 SYR -10 SYR -9.5 SYR -9.5 SYR -10 SYR -9.5 SYR -10
TCU @ Arkansas TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.5 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.0 TCU -3.5
Fresno State @ Alabama BAMA -43 BAMA -44 BAMA -43.5 BAMA -43.5 BAMA -44 BAMA -43 BAMA -43.5 BAMA -44 BAMA -44
Old Dominion @ UMass ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5 ODU -3.5
Pittsburgh @ Penn State PSU -21.5 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -22 PSU -21 PSU -21 PSU -21
Western Michigan @ Michigan State MSU -7.0 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.5 MSU -7.0 MSU -7.0
Eastern Michigan @ Rutgers RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.0 RUTG -5.0 RUTG -5.0 RUTG -6.0 RUTG -5.5 RUTG -5.5
San José State @ Texas Locked UT -26 UT -26 UT -26.5 UT -26 UT -27.5 UT -27 UT -26 UT -26.5
Tulane @ Navy NAVY -13.5 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -13 NAVY -12 NAVY -13 NAVY -13
Louisiana @ Tulsa TULSA -14 TULSA -14 TULSA -14.5 TULSA -14.5 TULSA -15 TULSA -15 TULSA -14 TULSA -16 TULSA -14
Central Michigan @ Kansas KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.0 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.0 KAN -5.5 KAN -5.5
Nebraska @ Oregon UO -13.5 UO -13.5 UO -13.5 UO -13 UO -13.5 UO -13.5 UO -13 UO -14 UO -14
Hawai'i @ UCLA UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23.5 UCLA -23 UCLA -23.5
Marshall @ NC State NCST -24.5 NCST -24 NCST -24 NCST -24 NCST -24.5 NCST -24.5 NCST -24 NCST -24.5 NCST -24
Auburn @ Clemson CLEM -6.0 CLEM -5.0 CLEM -5.0 CLEM -5.5 CLEM -5.5 CLEM -6.0 CLEM -6.0 CLEM -6.0 CLEM -5.5
South Carolina @ Missouri MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5 MIZZ -2.5
North Texas @ SMU SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5 SMU -13 SMU -13 SMU -13.5 SMU -13.5
Toledo @ Nevada TOL -10 TOL -10 TOL -10 TOL -10 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5 TOL -9.5
UNLV @ Idaho IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5 IDAHO -6.5
Georgia @ Notre Dame ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -5.0 ND -4.5 ND -4.5 ND -4.5
Oklahoma @ Ohio State tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.0 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.0 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5 tOSU -7.5
Mississippi State @ Louisiana Tech MSST -9.0 MSST -9.5 MSST -9.5 MSST -9.0 MSST -9.0 MSST -8.5 MSST -9.0 MSST -8.5 MSST -8.5
UTSA @ Baylor BAY -16 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -17 BAY -16.5 BAY -17 BAY -17
New Mexico State @ New Mexico UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.5 UNM -7.5 UNM -7.0 UNM -7.0
Rice @ UTEP UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.0 UTEP -1.0 UTEP -1.0 UTEP -1.5 UTEP -1.0
WKU @ Illinois WKU -7.0 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.0 WKU -7.0 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.0 WKU -7.5 WKU -7.5
Stanford @ USC USC -5.5 USC -6.0 USC -6.0 USC -6.5 USC -5.5 USC -6.0 USC -6.0 USC -6.0 USC -5.5
Minnesota @ Oregon State ORST -2.0 ORST -2.5 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.5 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.0 ORST -2.5 ORST -2.0
Utah @ BYU UTAH -3.0 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -3.0 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -3.0 UTAH -2.0 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -2.5 UTAH -2.5
Boise State @ Washington State WSU -10.5 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10 WSU -10.5
Houston @ Arizona UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.0 UH -1.5 UH -1.0 UH -1.0
San Diego State @ Arizona State ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -4.0 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5 ASU -3.5
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Offseason Review Series: Day 8: The Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

Division: NFC East
Record: 4-12
One might say that 2015 was a rough season for the Cowboys and their fans, and one would be right. What started as a season full of hope after 2014's 12-4 season quickly crashed and burned. I think the best way to characterize 2015 is to say it never really got going for the Cowboys.
The multiple injuries to Romo and Dez hampered the Passing side of the Offense, and with little to no movement through the air Defenses were better able to key on stopping the run.
That said it wasn't all bad, the Offensive Line still looked solid, and Rookie La'el Collins started to come into his own during the season to help solidify arguably the best line in football. Also despite the lack of Passing help the Running game wasn't half bad all things considered. After the loss of the 2014 Rushing Champ DeMarco Murray several fans speculated we'd see a massive drop in output on the ground. And while he didn't quite capture the same numbers as DeMarco did Darren McFadden still finished the year with a respectable stat line of 1089 Rush Yards on 289 carries.
Now we move on to 2016, a land full of unknown potential, a place where feet always stay healthy and collar bones are impervious to 300lb men falling on them.

Coaching Changes:

As far as coaching is concerned it has been a reletivly quiet off season in Dallas. The main changes are internal moves which I've detailed below.
New Hires:
Lateral Moves:
Departures:

Free Agency

Free Agent Losses
Player Position New Team
Mackenzy Bernadeau OL Jaguars
Matt Cassel QB Titans
Robert Turbin RB Colts
Tyler Clutts FB None
Greg Hardy DE None
Nick Hayden DT None
Danny McCray S None
Jeremy Mincey DE None
Rodney Smith WR None
Casey Walker DL None
As far as Free Agent losses go this wasn't too bad of a Free Agency Period for Dallas actually. The key losses here being Greg Hardy and Jeremy Mincey in my mind due to the Defensive Line being a big weak point for the Cowboys heading into 2016.
Greg Hardy
Hardy had to go, the fans knew it, the front office knew it, and I am sure he knew he wasn't coming back. What he did was awful, but to then show no sliver of remorse for it and to act as if he did nothing wrong was just disgusting. If I had my way he'd have never been signed in the first place. He also failed to produce on the field, but thankfully he had a very team friendly and incentive based contract so he wasn't too much of a financial hit.
Jeremy Mincey
Mincey on the other hand seems to be a casualty of his age more than anything. At 32 years old he just doesn't seem to fit into the trend of young blood that Dallas wants on Defense. By all accounts he was a great teammate and while not world-shattering he was a pretty decent player while here.
Free Agent Signings
Player Position Last Team Length Total Value Average
Cedric Thornton DE Eagles 4 Years $17 Million $4.25 Million
Alfred Morris RB Redskins 2 Years $3.5 Million $1.75 Million
Joe Looney G Titans 2 Years $1.675 Million $837,500
Alfred Morris
The biggest name Dallas signed this off-season is Alfred Morris. While his production has declined year over year since his break-out rookie season with Washington he still has the potential to be a solid #2 or #3 back on this team because of the system he is coming into.
Before the Draft Jerry Jones had said that McFadden was going to be the starter for the season. However the addition of Rookie Ezekiel Elliot looks to move McFadden to the #2 spot. This could change throughout the offseason though as Morris gets comfortable with the Cowboys playbook given his familiarity and past success in a Zone Block based run game.
Free Agents Returning
Player Position Last Team Length Salary
James Hanna TE Dallas 3 years $8.25 Million
Kyle Wilber OLB Dallas 2 years $3.25 Million
Morris Claiborne CB Dallas 1 year $3 Million
Lance Dunbar RB Dallas 1 year $1.25 Million
Jack Crawford DE Dallas 1 year $1.1 Million
Charles Brown LT Dallas 1 year $760,000
Joshua Thomas CB Dallas 1 year $760,000
Dallas has re-signed 7 players so far this off season, including former first round pick Morris Claiborne. Other key players returning include James Hanna and Lance Dunbar, Hanna appears to currently be set to be the main TE when Jason Witten retires and Dunbar has served as a poor mans Darren Sproles for Dallas the last couple seasons, though he was injured for the better part of 2015.
Morris Claiborne Claiborne is intriguing, he has essentially signed a prove it deal after majorly under-performing in the first part of his career. Mo was drafted 6th overall in the 2012 draft by the Cowboys and at the time was thought to be the answer to the less than stellar secondary play the team had seen in recent years.
However like so often happens he was unable to live up to his hype and while he hasn't been the worst CB in the league, he has at times looked outclassed by his competition. That said he looked better in 2015 and looks to prove he can live up to his draft position this coming season.
No matter how he plays, he should at least be part of an improved Secondary that sees Orlando Scandrick come back from injury and the second year for fellow first rounder Byron Jones.
James Hanna
By all accounts James Hanna flies under the radar, he is a versatile and solid player who has been with Dallas since 2012 when he was taken with a 6th round pick. While Hanna doesn't have the miraculous 3rd and Long catches that Jason Witten does, he does contribute in a large way to the running game through his blocking.
As we saw in 2014 solid blocking helps the entire team, making the resigning of Hanna a very positive move in what has been by all accounts a rather quiet off season for Dallas thus far.
Lance Dunbar
Dunbar has been with Dallas since 2012, and while he has never been the featured back he has found a niche role with the team as a hybrid RB/Pass Catcher in the same vein as a Darren Sproles type player.
Dunbar started off 2015 very hot, in 2014 he ended the year with 29 carries for 99 yards and 18 receptions for 217 yards. In the first 4 games of 2015 he had already amassed 67 yards on 5 carries and 215 recieving yards with 21 receptions.
Unfortunately, in week 5 Lance suffered a torn ACL and MCL which sidelined him for the rest of the season. However he looks to return in 2016 with his 1 year deal and with any luck pick back up with the kind of production he started 2015 with.

Draft

Round Number Player Position School
1 4 Ezekiel Elliott RB Ohio State
2 34 Jaylon Smith LB Notre Dame
3 67 Maliek Collins DT Nebraska
4 101 Charles Tapper DE Oklahoma
4 135 Dak Prescott QB Mississippi State
6 189 Anthony Brown CB Purdue
6 212 Kavon Frazier FS Central Michigan
6 216 Darius Jackson RB Eastern Michigan
6 217 Rico Gathers TE Baylor
Ezekiel Elliott
Elliott is one of the more divisive picks the Cowboys have made in recent years. A large part of the fan base felt Jalen Ramsey would have been the better pick, serving to shore up the secondary which a lot of people see as one of the weakest part of the team.
However in my opinion Elliott was the right pick to make not only because of his rushing ability but also because of his blocking ability. Given the age of Tony it is important to keep him as protected as possible, as we saw last season if he goes down the Offense as a whole very well may crumble.
In addition to being a fantastic blocker, Elliott is also an accomplished Running Back. He ran for over 1800 yards in each of his last two years at Ohio State and 41 touchdowns.
Jaylon Smith
Smith is what I'd call a "Build for the Future" type pick. Near the end of the last College Football season Smith's draft stock was through the roof, he was being lauded as a top talent in the country and it's likely he would have gone very early in the draft.
However due to the ACL/MCL injury he suffered against Ohio State in the Fiesta bowl and the unsure future of his recovery his stock fell quite a bit and Dallas was able to snag him in the early second round. Due to varying reports it's hard to say when we will get to see him on the field, but we do know for sure it will be later in the season at the earliest with some saying he will be out for the entirety of 2016
So far Smith has spent the off season participating in light workouts with the team and working to recover from the injury. If he can come back from it fully he looks to be a strong prospect on a defense that is continually getting younger.
Maliek Collins
Collins is a former State Champion wrestler at Kansas City Central High, he was a huge breakout success his first two years at Nebraska, and he looks to be a potentially outstanding addition to a less than stellar defensive unit.
While he can at times become a one dimensional player he does have a high level of athleticism which is a great tool for a Defensive Tackle. Him being a third round pick is probably due in part to his drop in production in his third year at Nebraska where he had only 29 tackles and 2.5 sacks in 13 games.
Unfortunately Collins has been sidelined with a Broken foot that he received during the first week of OTA's. He has undergone surgery and is expected to miss 10 to 12 weeks which may hamper his development. Collins was intended to help bolster the Defensive Line, but with missing at least 10 weeks he may be behind the ball when the season starts.
Charles Tapper
Tapper, like Collins, is a much needed piece for the Defensive Line going into 2016. In his senior season at Oklahoma he put up 50 total tackles and 7 sacks, production he looks to carry into the NFL where he joins a Cowboys Defensive unit that posted 738 total tackles and 31 sacks in 2015.
By all accounts Tapper brings needed size, speed, and power to the Cowboys Defense, while he can and does hit hard, which can be a valuable weapon when you want to convince a Running Back to go down a little earlier than he'd like to, he is also fast as we can see in this video HERE. (Credit to verossiraptors for the video link)
Tapper is still a little loose though, he has the potential to be a very good player but he needs a strong coach to guide him there. Marinelli seems to like getting guys like this in the middle rounds and then molding them to what he needs. With any luck he will shine in the Cowboys system and bolster the d-line.
Dak Prescott
Prescott may not be the Quarterback of the future, but he will at least be a stop gap on the way to that player. With the laughably bad back-up situation in Dallas last year at QB taking Prescott seems like a solid move. He holds a laundry list of school records at Mississippi State along with several individual awards for his performances his last two years in school.
Dak as a player is built more like a tall Running Back than like a traditional Quarterback. He has good arm strength with a tight delivery on his passes and he seemed to take better care of the ball in his last year at school. Avoiding some of the bad decisions he had made in years past. While not a top tier passer he shows signs of good development, and sitting on the bench as QB3 for a couple years could really help him grow.
While Dak had a habit of running the ball quite a bit in 2014, he seemed to slow a little in 2015. While he is a big guy he didn't have great Offensive Line play and it seemed like some of the hits started to get to him. If he is forced to step into a game this season he at least should be safe behind a stellar offensive line.
Anthony Brown
Brown was a bright spot in an otherwise anemic Purdue secondary. He recorded 4 Interceptions and 6 pass break-ups in his last year. In each of his last two college seasons he also recorded 10 pass defenses, a solid stat for a 6th round pick.
At this point in the draft you see a lot of guys who may be Diamonds in the rough, and I see Brown as being just that. He was a top performer in both the 40 Yard Dash(4.35) and Bench Press(19 Reps) at the Draft Combine. While it isn't always wise to take to much stock in combine performances I feel this at least shows he has some potential when looked at with his college stats.
I don't see Brown as a standout player this season, but could see him sliding up the depth chart depending how guys like Morris Claiborne and Brandon Carr play this season.
Kavon Frazier
Frazier played for Central Michigan in the MAC in college, however his size is right in line with what you'd expect from an NFL level player. He stands 6'0" tall and weighs in at 217 pounds.
His Draft Profile qualifies him as a special teams demon as well, which could serve to bolster the Dallas return game after the loss of Dwayne Harris in the 2014/2015 offseason.
To me he seems like another one of those guys who could either end up bagging groceries a year from now, or could develop into a solid depth player. He has the size to play in the NFL, it just remains to be seen if he can transition to the speed and complexity of the pro game.
Darius Jackson
Darius is a big body with excellent speed, running a sub 4.4 40 yard dash, and pretty good explosiveness, with a vertical jump of 41 inches. The downside to Jackson seems to be in his actual ability as a Running Back.
For a guy with his measurable stats you'd expect him to run hard and slice through gaps, but he seems to often get his and go down rather easily. If he can develop some finesse with his movement and learn some of the finer points of being a Running Back he may end up being a third string guy somewhere someday.
Realistically though he probably ends up on the Practice Squad, or best case scenario he makes it to Special Teams because of his experience there in college.
Rico Gathers
One of the more odd picks of the Draft, Gathers has never actually played Football at the High School or College level. Due to that this pick seems to be primarily based on his size and his speed.
Gathers stands 6'6" tall, ran a 4.75 40 yard dash, and was described by nfl.com as "Body beautiful. Absolutely shredded with plenty of beef on the bone." A lot of his value to the team will depend on how quickly he can pick the game up. He has said he is becoming comfortable with the playbook, but it remains to be seen if he will be the next Jimmy Graham.

Offseason News

The biggest news this offseason, aside from the teams divorce from Hardy, has been about Romo and his Collarbone.
As you may know last season Tony broke the bone when he landed awkwardly during a sack in a game against the Eagles. He was out for 7 weeks, and then in an effort to salvage a Division win he came back to play against the Dolphins and then the Panthers where he unfortunately re-injured the bone.
As Tony goes, the team goes, and unfortunately when Tony broke so did the team. However he has now undergone a procedure known as Mumford Surgery which shaves down a portion of the damaged bone to help alleviate stress and irritation. There had been talk of his getting a steel plate put in place, however this can create tension points on the bone which can lead to more stress and potential breakage.
Tony has said he is recovering well and is expected to take part in all OTA activity this offseason. At one point he even mentioned the time off last season helped him get over some nagging issues with his back that he had never quite recovered from, so it appears as if the team as a whole is going into the 2016 season in very good shape.

Projected Starting Lineup

Position Player Name Years in NFL Age College
QB Tony Romo 14 36 E. Illinois
RB Ezekial Elliott R 20 Ohio State
TE Jason Witten 14 34 Tennessee
TE James Hanna 5 26 Oklahoma
WR Dez Bryant 7 27 Oklahoma State
WR Terrance Williams 4 26 Baylor
WR Cole Beasley 5 27 SMU
WR Devin Street 3 25 Pitt
LT Tyron Smith 6 25 USC
LG La'el Collins 1 22 LSU
C Travis Frederick 4 25 Wisconsin
RG Zack Martin 2 25 Notre Dame
RT Doug Free 10 32 N. Illinois
RDT Tyrone Crawford 4 26 Coise State
LDT Cedric Thornton 5 27 Northern Arkansas
RDE Demarcus Lawrence 2 24 Boise State
LDE Ryan Russell 2 24 Purdue
MLB Rolando McClain 5 26 Alabama
WLB Sean Lee 7 29 Penn State
SLB Anthony Hitchens 2 24 Iowa
NB Orlando Scandrick 9 29 Boise State
LCB Brandon Carr 9 30 Grand Valley State
RCB Morris Claiborne 5 26 LSU
FS Byron Jones 1 23 Conneticut
SS Barry Church 7 28 Toledo
P Chris Jones 5 26 Carson-Newman
K Dan Bailey 6 28 Oklahoma State
KPR Lucky Whitehead 1 24 Florida Atlantic
QB - Tony Romo
  • While he probably only has two or three full seasons left in the tank, for now Tony Romo is still a top 10 QB and potentially Top 5 depending how the rest of the team plays around him. Romo has built a reputation as a tough guy who isn't afraid to take a hit. I started watching football seriously again the season before Tony took over as the starter, so it's been fun watching him develop into a great QB as my love for the game has grown. Tony is one of those guys who always seems calm and collected, and no matter how desperate the situation seems he's always out there smiling at guys and he always looks like he is having fun.
RB - Ezekiel Elliott/Darren McFadden/Alfred Morris
  • This will be the position to watch not only through training camp but into next season. McFadden alone managed over 1000 yards last season while only starting 10 games and having almost no passing support. With a proverbial three headed monster and a rejuvenated passing attack we should fully expect to see a very prolific run game next season. Based on Draft position as well as comments by Jerry Jones I am thinking the season will start with Elliot as the main guy with McFadden serving as a change of pace type player. Morris will work into the line up as the season progresses, he has the advantage of having played in a similar system early in his career in Washington so it shouldn't be too hard of a transition for him.
TE - Jason Witten/James Hanna
  • If there is one position you can call reliable on the Cowboys Roster it is Tight End. Jason Witten has been a hallmark of the offense since he came into the league. Despite his age starting to show with his decreased speed he still has an uncanny ability to get himself open when he needs to be open. When he finally does hang his cleats up Witten will go down as a top 5 all time Tight End and will probably end up in the Hall of Fame, I consider myself lucky to have been able to watch him play.
  • As I mentioned earlier James Hanna is a reliable blocking Tight End who is good at what he does and doesn't make a fuss about it. He doesn't get the same catch or TD rates as Witten does but he plays an equally important part in the offense with his blocking ability. With Tony coming off of injury he looks to be ab even bigger part of the offense and protecting Romo this coming season.
WR - Dez Bryant/Terrance Williams/Cole Beasley
  • While Dallas doesn't have the best Wide Receiving corp in the league I do think it has one of the most well balanced. Between Dez, T-Will, Beasley, and Witten they seem to hit all the bases. Dez serves as the big play reciever who can make the absurd catches and bust the big play. Terrance Williams has some of that same potential for big plays, but he works best when he isn't the main focus of the offense as we saw last season. Beasley is the underneath guy who acts with Witten as a kind of safety valve. I think the 4 of them have unique skill sets that makes them very suited to playing together.
LT - Tyron Smith
  • Tyron being drafted began what I think you can call the beginning of the New Cowboys. Starting with him the draft and free agency mentality the Cowboys had had under Jerry seemed to begin to change from being focused on drafting flashy and controversial guys to picking players who would form a foundation that you could build a team on. Since entering the League Tyron has been a force and now serves as the lynch pin for the best offensive line in football.
LG - La'el Collins
  • The steal of the 2015 Draft, La'el started last year as a back-up Guard behind Ronald Leary. When Leary went down in Week 2 Collins stepped in and by Week 6 he had cemented himself as our starting Left Guard. With a full offseason as the starter we can expect to see Collins improve even more and become a bigger force on an already great offensive line unit. Collins played Tackle in College but seems to fit quite well at Guard given his slightly slower footwork.
C - Travis Frederick
  • Frederick was the second piece of the Offensive Line brought in through the draft, coming out of Wisconsin he was seen as a Second or Third round pick and was ultimately taken by Dallas with the 31st overall pick and some saw it as a massive reach at the time. Since joining the team Frederick has proven time and again to have the ability and the intelligence to be a successful Center in the NFL. Last year saw him play with four different Starting QBs, something that can be difficult to do given the closer relationship a Center and QB develop as they work together, and he still made the Pro-Bowl.
RG - Zack Martin
  • Martin, who was once seen as a bit of a odd pick by several media members has become a valuable part of the Offensive Line. Like his fellow Offensive Line players Tyron Smith and Travis Frederick, Martin has earned a Pro Bowl nomination in both of the last two seasons as well as First and Second Team all Pro Honors. Although from a passing perspective last season was less than stellar, Martin was still part of an Offensive line that led the 9th best rushing attack in the league which is pretty good all things considered. 2016 should be an improvement on last year as well with some new faces in the backfield and a further year of development for Martin.
RT - Doug Free
  • Free is a bit of a black sheep on the Offensive Line given how long he has been with the team since being taken in the 4th round of the 2007 Draft. Free was almost waived by the team in 2013, his play had regressed and he wasn't playing up to his contract. However since then Free has become a very serviceable player, he still led the team in penalties last season with 9 but he gives the team some needed experience on the right side of the line. Free currently has 2 seasons left on his contract and it remains to be seen weather he will return again when the contract is up.
DT - Tyrone Crawford(R)/Cedric Thornton(L)
  • After signing a 5 year $45 Million deal last off-season Crawford was injured in Week 2 last year, tearing his rotator cuff in his right shoulder and requiring surgery. Despite this Crawford still finished the year with 44 tackles, 5 sacks, and 27 QB pressures. Going into the 2016 season he looks to be the bright spot on the Defensive Line given the suspension of Crawford. Cedric Thornton played for the Eagles for 5 years, amassing 171 Total Tackles and 4 sacks, before signing with the Cowboys this offseason. Thornton doesn't seem like a stand out flashy player, but he has had solid stats in his last 4 years and should help hold things together on the Defensive Front.
DE - Demarcus Lawrence(R)/Ryan Russell(L)
  • Unfortunately Demarcus Lawrence will start the season suspended, he is out for the first four games of the year which is bad news for an already suspect Defensive Line. There is hope that some of the Free Agent signings can help shore up the position in his absence, however losing him for those four games could have a hugely negative impact on how effective the defense as a whole is. Russell on the other hand is a bit of an unknown quantity, after falling in last years draft he only appeared in 1 game before being placed on IR in week 11. I have nothing against Russell as a player, however him being a presumptive starter serves to reinforce how thin the Cowboys are at Defensive Line.
LB - Rolando McClain(M)/Sean Lee(W)/Anthony Hitchens(S)
  • As a unit I think our Linebackers are a good unit, all three starters have had great games with us and if all three are healthy they are a key part of the defense. Sean Lee seems to have trouble staying healthy, though when he is on the field he has shown he can be a Pro Bowl level player. McClain saw a career revival in 2014 but was slowed a bit in 2015 after missing most of the offseason due to knee surgery. McClain signed another 1 year deal with Dallas with past Spring worth $5 Million. Hitchens is a very versatile player, as a Rookie in 2014 he learned all three LB positions to be able to cover for an injured Sean Lee, as a third year player we should expect to see him really contribute this season.
NB - Orlando Scandrick
  • Scandrick became somewhat of a team leader in 2014, his high energy and solid play helped him become one of the key members of the defense. Unfortunately Scandrick was sidelined last season with a torn ACL/MCL that he suffered when attempting to tackle Lucky Whitehead in practice. Scandrick was placed on IR on September 1st.
CB - Brandon Carr(L)/Morris Claiborne(R)
  • Arguably the worst or second worst part of the defense is the Cornerbacks. Both Carr and Claiborne have underperformed since joining Dallas, and while they both looked a little better in 2015 this continues to be an area of concern for the Cowboys.
FS/SS - Byron Jones(FS/Barry Church(SS)
  • Byron Jones looked good in his Rookie Season, finishing the year with 66 Total Tackles and 9 Pass Defenses, he appears to be at least a partial answer to the Cowboys secondary issues and is on pace to have a stand-out second season. Barry Church on the other hand is a serviceable player who will likely be helped by having someone like Jones on the field with him, since he won't be asked to do too much.
P - Chris Jones
  • Jones was tops in the League in most statistical categories for Punters last season, he averaged 42.5 net yards per punt and he Recovered a Fumble, making him the only Punter in Franchise history to recover a Fumble on one of their own punts.
K - Dan Bailey
  • Dan Bailey is disgustingly accurate, making 144/159 Field Goals in his career for a 90.4% accuracy rating and he is a perfect 204/204 on Extra Points. Bailey is King, Bailey is Love, Bailey is Life.
KPR - Lucky Whitehead
  • Whitehead was signed primarily to take over Kick and Punt return duties last season after Dwayne Harris left in Free Agency, he had 562 total return yards and he also saw a few snaps at WR.

Position Group Strengths and Weaknesses

QB
  • Obviously Romo is a force on offense, he has an almost magical ability to escape sacks with his patented spin move. In addition he has shown time an again to be unflappable at the end of games with 30 total fourth quarter comebacks or game winning drives in his career.
  • The downside here being his age and his potential for injury. While I don't see Romo as a guy who is always hurt, his play style of extending the play outside the pocket and trying to spin out of a tackle instead of safely going down doesn't lend itself to a long and healthy career.
  • I think the real Weakness at the QB position for Dallas is who we replace Romo with if he does go down. Kellen Moore hasn't shown much in the way of positive development since he has been with the team and Dak is still a year or two away from being NFL ready in my mind, so if Tony does go down again it could mean the end of the Cowboys season like we saw last year.
Backfield
  • While Ezekiel Elliot may end up being an amazing back right now he is just a Rookie. With him projected to be the started the biggest issue with the backfield could come from inexperience. Darren McFadden and Alfred Morris are both serviceable back-ups however which could help ease Elliot into the game at the start of the season.
  • My biggest fear here is McFadden going down and having to rely on Elliot alone too early, thankfully Alfred Morris played in a similar system to what Dallas Runs when he was under Mike Shanahan in Washington.
  • We also have Lance Dunbar coming back as a bit of a wild card, he was showing good signs last year before his injury and if he is back healthy he adds another wrinkle to the offense in the form of a pass catching back.
Offensive Line
  • By far the biggest strength of the team is the offensive line. Built through the draft 3 of the current starters were 1st round picks, and a fourth member was projected to be taken in the 1st but dropped due to non-football related circumstances. The only weakness on the line is Doug Free at Right Tackle, but with the unit having another offseason together to gel even more I can't see anyone else in the league topping the Cowboys O-Line this season.
Pass catchers
  • With Dez, Terrance Williams, Jason Witten, and Cole Beasley I think the Cowboys have a very solid group of pass catchers. However aside from Witten and Dez there doesn't seem to be anyone with a big ability to step up and take over a game if Dez were to go down.
Defensive Line
  • Crawford and Lawrence are the biggest assets we have on the Defensive Line, though with Crawford coming off of injury and Lawrence being suspended to start to season Dallas will have to rely on a few depth guys to step up. Obviously this isn't an ideal situation and I think the D-Line will be the weakest part of the team to start to season.
Linebackers
  • I believe the strongest part of our Linebacking core is the versatility that Hitchens brings to the table with his ability to play all three positions. However that also brings up what I see as the biggest weakness, Sean Lee's health, when he has been on the field he has been fantastic but he seems to be hurt quite a lot which makes it hard to establish consistency on the defense with him in and out of the line up. He did play in 14 games last year though, his most sine 2011, so if he can maintain that in 2016 he could really help our defense take the next step.
Secondary
  • Our biggest strengths here are Byron Jones and Orlando Scandrick, they look to be the standout secondary players on the team going into 2016. While Carr and Claiborne did improve last season compared to what they had done in the past they still stick out at the weak point of the secondary to me. If they can live up to even a little of their hype they had when joining the team I think the seconday as a whole could wind up being a great unit. Certainly with Scandrick returning to the team and Jones going through another full off season there should be a little more help and hopefully Carr and Claiborne will be able to more easily deal with their coverage duties.
Special Teams
  • I don't really see their being a weakness on special teams for us, Chris Jones is a pretty good punter who can directionally punt and still maintain decent yardage and Dan Bailey is and has been money since he came into the league. I think the only position we are a little lacking in is the return game, however going into his second season in the role Lucky Whitehead should show some improvement over his 2015 effort.
  • The biggest Special Teams asset for Dallas though is Long Snapper L. P. Ladouceur, he has been a consistent force with the team since 2005 and even made the Pro-Bowl in 2014. I know it is odd to talk about a Long Snapper as a key piece of a team, but this guy is just as talented as Bailey and has been a proverbial rock since joining the team, never missing a game and as of July 2014 he had made clean snaps on 639 punts, 275 field goals and 388 PATs, including the playoffs.

Training Camp Battles

The biggest one here for me in seeing how Elliott fits into the team and if he does end up being the starter. As a Rookie I wouldn't mind seeing him be eased into the league and not becoming the starter until the Bye Week because I think McFadden can be a lead back. However I think since he was a 3 down back at OSU he will end up as the starter by the end of training camp and be taking hand offs when they open against New York.
That then turns the RB battle into a contest to be the #2 guy, between Alfred Morris and McFadden. Of the two I think the nod will end up going to McFadden as he seems to be a different style of Runner compared to Zeke which could serve as a useful change of pace when he comes into the games. However I think the #2 guy won't honestly see that much more play time than the #3 guy, or even the #4. With Elliott, McFadden, Morris, and Dunbar all on the team the Cowboys have a very good backfield and I think it's likely we see all of them in some capacity every game.
Other positions to watch would be the Defensive Line and the Secondary, while I think Jones and Scandrick are safe bets to be starters there is a chance someone could come out of no where to replace Carr or Claiborne at CB. Same goes for the Defensive Line with Lawrence and Crawford, they're both probably safe barring any unforeseen occurrence, but with the lack of talent behind them it's very likely we see a shift in the other two starters before Week 1 of the season.
A minor battle could be on the Kick/Punt return side of the ball, currently Lucky Whitehead is the go to guy for both of those but Darius Jackson showed some skill at those positions in college and he has size and speed so he may take over one or both of the return jobs this season if Whitehead fails to produce.

Schedule Breakdown and Predictions

Please see the Schedule Analysis HERE

Offensive and Defensive Schemes

For the below section please bear with me, while I love the game and played it for 5 years in Grade/High School I never grasped the technical side of the game as much as I would have liked too. In addition to my own analysis I have linked two really good articles that go way more in depth into the schemes and styles of the Offense and Defense than I have the knowledge too.
Offensive Scheme
Shoutout to Gang Green Nation who did a fantastic article on the Cowboys Offensive Philosophy
Dallas has reached the point of being somewhat of a balanced offense compared to how they were pre-2014. The emergence of the offensive line as a dominate force has allowed a run game to develop which has taken pressure off of the passing game to be the only source of offensive production, We saw the fruits of this in 2014 when Tony Romo threw for 34 TDs and only 9 INTS, which is his personal lowest INT total for a full season of games.
While last season saw the Offense struggle in part due to injury and the departure of DeMarco Murray I don't think that is cause for concern. The bright spot was Darren McFadden rushing for over 1000 yards despite having little to no help from the passing game and only starting for 10 games. I see that as a sign that the core of the offense is strong, and with the starting pieces back in place we should see great offensive production again this season.
The Cowboys Offense is similar to what was run in the 90s when Jason Garrett was the back-up QB, which itself was a derivative of older air focused style offenses. The offense likes to stretch the field with deep receiving routes to open up the underneath routes while also having a pound it running game to take advantage of a Defense keying on guys going deep and remaining soft on the front line.
Defensive Scheme
Shoutout to Blogging the Boys for this excellent write up on the Cowboys defense
The Cowboys defense has been the weak spot of the team for years, even back to the 13-3 campaign of 2007 they were in the bottom half in the League in overall defensive ranking. Their have been improvements made in the last few years with the addition of Rod Marinelli and Defensive Coordinator as well as the addition of young talent at a few positions. However the biggest boon for the defense was the change in offensive play calling.
When the offense moved the a more run focused game it not only took pressure off the passing side of things, but it helped keep the defense off the field. With a pass heavy offense your defense will see the field more often as offensive series don't take as long, this leads to guys getting worn out quicker which leads to giving up big plays more often.
Scheme wise the Cowboys have stuck with a loose 4-3 defense, Marinelli doesn't over-complicate the scheme or have a lot of tricks like you may see from a Rex Ryan, but I think that is part of what helps it work. The simplified system allows guys to be more easily moved in, out, and around as required. This is shown quite well in Anthony Hitchens who was able to learn all three Linebacker roles his rookie season, letting him be a versatile piece for the defense.
Shoutouts to those who helped:
Big thanks to skepticismissurvival for letting me do this, I love football and doing this write up was a huge learning experience for me
I'd also like to give a general thanks to /nfl , I post here semi-frequently and have had a lot of nice discussions with some of you guys in my time here
Lastly, thanks to /cowboys as well as NFL.com, PFF, Wikipedia, Google, and the other writers in this series for help with stats, info, and ideas for how to layout my post.
Link to hub
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