2000 Guineas | Racing Post

A Few Races I Am Betting At Belmont Park For Thursday June 12th.

I have looked over Thursday races at Belmont Park and came up with three races that I will bet. As I have done for years. I bet one horse to WP in every race I bet, 2 horses in an exacta box, three horses in a trifecta box and now 4 horses in a small super box followed by a super key with the one I usually am betting to WP keyed to the ones I like underneath boxed. So basically, I believe the horse I am betting to win will do just that, but in case he has trouble of any kind, including simply getting outrun, I also bet him to place. I do not bet any horse to show at any time and that includes my top choice. But I will also box my exacta, tri and super to leverage against my top choice not quite getting on top but runs good enough to key one of my exotic bets. I can not say this will work for anybody else, but this is the money management system that change my luck at betting the horses and also help me take my life to another level that would have not been possible. Under my old way of handicapping, when I hit a nice paying race, I would often give it back in a matter of weeks and saw my self constantly starting over with my own money. Under the current system that I use, when I hit a nice paying race, it often takes up to six months to lose it back, but by then I have hit another dozen or so races, so I am usually playing with winnings and not my own money that I use to pay every day expenses with. Correct me if I am wrong, but isn't that what everyone is hoping for?

2nd Race: Maiden Special Weight--- 3 YO & Up Fillies--- Restricted To NY Breds--- Purse $62,000--- 1 Mile Turf:

10) Tax Me Naught(30-1) starts from the 11 post if all starts, including those that are entered for the main track only. Realistic, she should start from the 9th post if the race stays on grass. She finished distanced third in her debut behind runaway winning daughter of Bustin Stones, who also finished in fairly good time for Finger Lakes. In her 2nd start at Finger Lakes, she ran second, beaten 1/2 length to the heavy favorite, where she tried in vain to chase down in 5 furlongs, with a good finishing time of 59 4/5 for that track. She has a good work since that effort and ships to Belmont where is she entered on the grass, which her bloodlines suggests she is better bred for. Her sire, Cosmonaut, a multiple G3 stakes winning son of Lemon Drop Kid on grass who ran several solid races against G1 competition, but was not quite good enough to beat them. Her broodmare sire, Freud, is a full brother to Giant's Causeway and like his brother, his foals are known for their front running speed on both grass and dirt. Her trainer, Linda Dixon has spent the last 30 years chasing after everyone's elusive dream and may have luck into a good horse to train.

7)Running On Entry(8-1) is my choice for 2nd. He has started once and ran 2nd while closing with a rush to just miss at 7 furlongs on grass. With four works since his first start, all indicating he came out of that start non the worse for wear and the fact he stretches to a mile, makes him the one to beat. His trainer, James Toner, is a 12 % lifetime trainer whose best runners are known for their grass abilities as most of his graded stakes wins has been on grass. His sire, Point Of Entry was a multiple G1 stakes winner who won 6 of 8 of his graded stakes starts on that surface with both defeats coming in the G1 BC Turf when 2nd & 4th in back to back years.

11) Corey Scores(6-1) starts just outside my top choice and is trained by Chad Brown. He has ran third twice in three starts, one an off the turf effort and one on the grass effort. His first start this year, also on the grass, saw him have trouble at the start and then went wide in his only unplaced effort in the same race as my 2nd choice. However, he, too, has four works since that effort, all good for Brown trainees, suggest he can win with a better trip. His bloodlines suggests a mile may be slightly longer than he wants to go, but Brown knows his grass runners and he believes he can get the job done. Post position is not ideal for him but Brown has proven he can overcome most unfavorable obstacles, especially on grass.

9)Sterling Beauty(10-1) has started 5 times in her career, with 3 thirds in her last 3 starts, the last two her only starts on grass. Her sire Central Banker, is a G2 stakes winning son of Speightstown who also won one non graded sprint on grass, both from slightly off the pace. Her dam, Them There Eyes, won 2 stakes on grass in her career, one a NY Bred and one a listed stakes, while coming from well off the pace, much like this daughter has so far. Sterling Beauty's broodmare sire, Holy Bull, was an all or nothing front runner who won 13 of 16 starts, while finishing unplaced in all three starts when he did not get the lead. Donk, her trainer, also wins at 12% and his graded stakes performers are much better on grass than dirt.

While all three of my underneath picks could run 1,2,3, I will bet that my top choice gets somewhere in the mix, if she does not win this race. There are several others that I did not mention who also would be no surprise, but I have decided to use these four.

Bets: WP 10, Ex Box 7-10, Tri Box 7-10-11, .10 Super Box 7-9-10-11, Super Key 10 with 7-9-11 with 7-9-11 with 7-9-11.

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Race 4: Maiden Special Weight--- 3 YO & Up Fillies--- Purse $80,000--- 1 1/16M Turf:

2)Funny Flowers(8-1) is my choice to win. She broke poorly in her first and only start and ran an even race, passing only tiring horses. But she has 4 very good works since and should be much closer to the early pace. He sire is Distorted Humor and broodmare sire is Stormy Atlantic, sire of multiple G1 winner Get Stormy. However, Funny Flowers's female line is one to be alert of if you value bloodlines as much as I do and I will put this here to let you see for your self: https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/137259/north-of-eden-28-dies.

5)San Saria(8-1) is my choice to finish 2nd. She has 2 starts and finished unplaced in both. She broke slowly in her first start and did not pick up her feet. In her second start, she broke better but ran an even race while picking up a couple in the stretch to finish just ahead of my top choice. her sire, a son of Galileo & Ouija Board(won BC F & M Turf Twice with one second in that race), won 5 of 8 lifetime starts, including the Epsom & Irish Derbies. San Saria's broodmare sire, Daggers Drawn, won a pair of 2 YOs G2 stakes in England. San Saria also has a pair of good works since her last, signaling she and my top choice may be exiting a key race, which would also include the 1A.

8)Charreada(4-1) is my choice for third. She has made 4 starts in her career, finishing 3rd twice, all last year. She is one of 2 4 YOs entered in this race and is working forward for her first start this year. However, her trainer, McGaughey, has picked an extremely tough spot for her to graduate. Her sire is Kitten's Joy, top grass sire for a number of years and her broodmare sire is Giant's Causeway, a solid sire on both dirt and grass. Charreada's 2nd dam is La Reina, who is another who hails from a blue hen female family.

3)Style Icon(7-2) has started 7 times, running unplaced in her first start, followed by three thirds and then 3 seconds, including two this year while just missing the win in her last two. She has three AWT works at Fair Hill, a tactic usually used by her trainer, to prepare for this start, all not too fast or slow that would eliminate her in this start. Her sire, Artie Schiller, won the G1 BC Mile and her broodmare sire, Trempolino, finished 2nd in The BC Turf in his only U.S. appearance and final start of his career. While Style Icon's dam line is also impressive, it pales in comparison to my top choice. 2nd dam, Fabuleux Jane, is also 2nd dam of Arazi, winner of the G1 BC Juvenile on dirt in a romp and Europe & U.S. Champion 2 YO Colt of 1991.
Bets: WP 2, Ex Box 2-5, Tri Box 2-5-8, .10 Super Box 2-3-5-8, Super Key 2 with 3-5-8 with 3-5-8 with 3-5-8.

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7th Race: Allowance----3 YO & Up Fillies---- Purse $84,000--- 1 Mile Turf:

3)Panther Hit(5-1) will be my choice to win. She has started 3 times with a win and a second. Two starts back, she broke on top and set a steady pace and won while still clear in a good time for maiden fillies at 1 mile on grass. She returned in her next start in the non restricted Honey Fox S at 1 1/16M on grass where she ran an even race after steadying into the first turn on a good turf course, which most struggles to make up any ground on that type of going. In this start, she returns to 1 mile on grass and drops back in with condition allowance foes. While she has two slow works since her last start, they came on dirt and she has never worked very fast on that surface in over 20 lifetime works, indicating she does not like that surface at all. Plenty of front running speed in here but she should be able to handle them. Luis Saez picks up the mount on the only 3 YO in the field.

7)Go Rose(4-1) is the biggest threat to my top choice. She made her U.S. debut in her first start this year in the same conditions as this race, sitting just off the early slow pace and being unable to make up any ground as the pace quicken, but also not giving up in an even effort while finishing 4th. She also has a little back class as she ran 3rd in the G2 German 1000 Guineas last year. Like my top choice, she has worked 5 times since her last, all in times that will usually not catch your eyes, but fast enough to indicate she is moving forward for this test. Irad Ortiz picks up the mount.

5)Dream Passage(7-2) last two wins has came in conditions restricted to NY Bred. However, she has some bloodlines showing that she will be able to rate if the pace gets too hot, which is expected in this test. If she can not settle and make a late run, she will not factor in the outcome of this race.

6) Bath And Tennis(15-1) is sort of interesting in here. She started her career in England and found the graded competition more than she can handled, at that time. Sent to the U.S. late last year, she has a lot of works since arriving, including several that indicates she has some ability. She has made two starts, including a stakes race, both at 5 furlongs on grass and she did not run a lick in either. However, her bloodlines suggests she would probably enjoy a grassy mile most and that is where she has been entered. Her sire, Footstepsinthesand, won his only 3 starts, including 2 stakes, one which included the G1 2000 Guineas in England. Likewise, her broodmare sire, Fasliyev, won all 5 of his starts as a 2 YO In England to earn Europe's Champion 2 YO Colt, but broke a leg while on the shelf waiting for his 3 YO season to begin and was retired. Bath And Tennis's third dam, Born Gold is dam of 3 time U.S. Champion Turf Mile(and Europe's 4 time champion female) And 3 time BC Turf Mile winner, Goldikova. If she had one more start this year or if one start was at a mile, she would be my top choice in this race. However, since she does not, I will still toss her in my super box and key.

Bets: WP 3, Ex Box 3-7, Tri Box 3-5-7, .10 Super 3-5-6-7, Super Key 3 with 5-6-7 with 5-6-7 with 5-6-7.

However, if this race is taken off the grass, it is a pass for me, as none of my choices has shown they can handle the surface switch.

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1,000 Guineas at Newmarket & Haydock with Racing Post Live Irish 2000 Guineas  Weekend Betting Tips What's The Word? 2000 Guineas Racing Ante-Postcast: 2000 and 1000 Guineas Stakes 2019 Qipco 2000 Guineas - 2019 Preview by Neil Morrice

That Group 1, 1m race has produced several 2000 Guineas hopefuls but between the race’s inauguration in 1961 it has only produced five 2000 Guineas winners. That said, with Camelot, Saxon Warrior, Magna Grecia and Kameko, 4 out of the last 9 Futurity Stakes winners have gone on to win both races, a strike rate of 44%. PERSIAN KING HAS FIRST TURF CANTER AS STELLAR QIPCO 2000 GUINEAS ENTRIES ARE REVEALED. Andre Fabre, the legendary 29-time French Champion Trainer, this morning stepped up preparations for his QIPCO 2000 Guineas candidate, Persian King, when overseeing his first turf canter of the year, less than two months before the big race takes place at Newmarket’s Rowley Mile Racecourse on Saturday, 4th 2000 Guineas betting tip. There is a major moral in this story for punters looking to profit from the 2000 Guineas. Beware short priced favourites. The Bolger trained two year old star, New Approach, also failed to deliver the goods on his debut as a three year old when starting the 11-8 favourite in the 2008 running of the race having enjoyed Saturday’s 2000 Guineas betting preview: Latest runners, trainer quotes, riders and odds for the final field at Newmarket Don't miss all the latest on the first Classic of the season as we guide Racing Post, the home of 2000 Guineas news, cards and results. Get all the 2000 Guineas, form and analysis.

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1,000 Guineas at Newmarket & Haydock with Racing Post Live

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