A Guide To Indian Horse Racing | Betting Gods

Play Online Satta Matka at IndiaMatka.com

Satta is totally Gambling and in our country, it is heavily confined except for selective categories including lotteries, cricket and horse racing. In the current century, more people have started cash bets upon prohibited betting and gambling games in India. Critics of betting either online or offline claim that it leads to crime, corruption and money laundering, while proponents of regulated gambling stated that it can be a huge source of revenue for the state. Popular casinos in Goa like Deltin contributed Rs. 134 crores to the state revenue in 2013.
However, online Satta Matka is one of them and one of the safest places to learn many things, on the websites you can also play this game.
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Steps to Play Satta Matka-
When to start playing this betting game, make clear in mind the total investment you would like to put on it.
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• Again, try for some bigger bets then earlier to see if you can win again.
• Trust your inner voice and don’t try to be too greedy.
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Indian Matka Offering Winning Numbers for Mumbai Matka and Satta Matka

Betting is not considered to be so great in our country and allowed to play but is full of fun, enjoyment, and entertainment and one cannot refuse that betting is full of joy and excitement. So, in spite of being rendered unlawful in many Indian cities, it still remains operative and many individuals invest and indulge the game and get the amazing gambling experience.
Indianmatka experts are proud to announce their website launch as one of the world’s best satta Matka sites. Here you can play the Kalyan Matka, Mumbai Matka game with minimal risks and many tips provided by our online experts. We have experts with 30+ experience in satta Matka gambling. However, there are two major types of Sattka Matka: Kalyan and Mumbai and they both have two sequences: open and close. This playing roll has three ways-
• Single Patti
• Jodi
• Patti/Panna
Though the fact remains that Satta is at present not legal in India, there are still millions of people who have got them registered on sites. It is a big business and more and the number of Indians has now started betting with the local bookies. With the advent of the internet, they have started betting with online bookies for various games like cricket, horse racing, casino, and other football. Interestingly, lotteries also become an attractive option for the players as all the lotteries are combined by them on an international level. Because of this, all the Indian players can leverage their bets by only picking up the lottery cards where the jackpot is the biggest. Moreover, in order to win at the Satta Matka game, you will be given several options and rate payouts to choose from that ranges from 9/1 to 999/1. You have the option of betting on the entire chance of all the numbers that are being chosen by you at first and any other type of bet that is allowed by Matka bookie. At Indian Matka, you will be provided with some expert Matka tips that can help you win the game.
For more information you can visit our website (https://www.indianmatka.com/) today.
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GAMBLING COUNTRY RESTRICTIONS


  1. Asia-Pacific - Not allowed
  2. Australia - As long as the Australia casino is a licensed. Operator registered with an appropriate Australian State. Or Territory and provides a valid license of Sports betting and Lotteries
  3. Austria - As long as the Austria casinos licensed by the Austrian Ministry of Finance. According to all applicable regulations in Austria and, in the case of sports betting. Also provides valid sports betting permit number issued by the state government. In at least one State of Austria according to all applicable regulations in Austria.
  4. Belgium - As long as the advertiser is a company registered in Belgium. And if the online gambling activity requires a license. the Belgium casino provides a valid license number. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games, Online gambling comparison sites. As long as no online gambling takes place on the aggregator site.
  5. Brazil - As long as the Brazil casinos licensed by the Brazilian gambling authorities. Lotteries, Horse racing Sites that provide information. About or a comparison of other gambling services licensed in Brazil. But do not themselves provide gambling activities that must a license. These sites may provide links to gambling services. Not operated or controlled by the aggregator.
  6. Bulgaria - As long as the Bulgaria casinos licensed by the Bulgarian gambling authorities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Slots games, Sports Betting.
  7. Canada - As long as the Canada casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games.
  8. China - Not allowed
  9. Croatia - As long as the Croatia casinos licensed by the Croatian gambling authorities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Slots games, Slots games, Sports Betting. Sites that provide information about or a comparison of other gambling services. But do not themselves provide gambling activities that must a license. These sites may provide links to gambling services. Not operated or controlled by the aggregator.
  10. Czechia - As long as the Czechia casinos licensed by the Czech gambling authorities. Online bingo, Lotteries, Slots games, Sports Betting
  11. Denmark - As long as the Denmark casinos licensed by the Danish Gambling Authority. Location-based gambling, Slots games, Online betting, Sports betting, Fantasy sports contests. Slot machines, Gambling-related information, such as tips, odds and handicapping. Gambling-related promotional products, such as gambling-related vouchers. Deposit bonus codes, etc. Gambling-related tutoring and educational materials. Such as books and e-books.
  12. Egypt - Not allowed
  13. Estonia - Not allowed
  14. Finland - As long as the Finland casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games.
  15. France - As long as the France casinos registered with ARJEL (Autorité de Régulation des Jeux En Ligne). Provides a valid operating license number. Operates on a ".fr" domain and publishes a warning on the landing page. And also any image ads against excessive or pathological gaming. As well as a message referring to the help and information system as foreseen by the gambling laws. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games, Lotteries.
  16. Germany - As long as the Germany casino is in possession of both a valid gambling operator license. Or an intermediary license. And advertisement permission, both issued by the competent German authorities. Sports betting, Horse racing betting, Lotteries.
  17. Greece - As long as the Greece casinos authorized by the Greek authorities. Casino games, Bingo, Sports betting, Lotteries.
  18. Hong Kong - As long as the Hong Kong casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Lotteries, Sports Betting.
  19. Hungary - As long as the Hungary casinos registered. With the appropriate Hungarian Gambling Authority. Or the State Tax Authority and provides a valid license.
  20. India - Not allowed
  21. Indonesia - Not allowed
  22. Republic of Ireland - As long as the Ireland casinos registered. As a bookmaker with the Revenue Commissioners and provides a valid license number. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games, Online gambling comparison sites. As long as no online gambling takes place on the aggregator site.
  23. Israel - As long as the Israel casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games.
  24. Italy - As long as the Italy casinos registered. With the AASA (Amministrazione Autonoma dei Monopoli di Stato). And provides a valid operating license number. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games.
  25. Japan - As long as the Japan casinos licensed by state-run entities. Horse, Motorboat, Bicycle and Auto Racing.
  26. Korea - As long as the Korean casinos licensed by state-run or state-licensed entities. Lotteries, Sports Betting.
  27. Latvia - As long as the Latvia casinos licensed by state-run entities: Lotteries.
  28. Lithuania - As long as the Lithuania casinos licensed. By the Lithuanian gambling authorities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Slots games, Sports Betting, Lotteries.
  29. Malaysia - Not allowed
  30. Mexico - As long as the Mexico casino is an operator registered with the Secretaria de Gobernacion. And provides a valid license number. Slots games (slot machines), Bingo, Lotteries, Sports Betting.
  31. Morocco - Not allowed
  32. The Netherlands - As long as the Netherlands casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports Betting.
  33. New Zealand - As long as the New Zealand casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games.
  34. Northern Ireland - Not allowed
  35. Norway - As long as the Norway casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games
  36. Peru - Not allowed
  37. The Philippines - As long as the Philippines casinos licensed by state-run entities. Casino games, Lotteries.
  38. Portugal - As long as the Portugal casinos licensed by the Portuguese authorities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games. Sites that provide information about other gambling services licensed in Portugal. But do not themselves provide gambling activities that must a license. They may provide links to gambling services. Not operated or controlled by the aggregator.
  39. Romania - As long as the Romania casinos registered with the appropriate authority. And submits valid licensing. Casino games, Sports betting, Bingo, Lotteries. Sites that provide information about, or a comparison of other gambling services. But do not themselves provide gambling activities that must a license. They may provide links to gambling services. Not operated or controlled by the aggregator.
  40. Russia - Not allowed
  41. Serbia - As long as the Serbia casinos registered with the appropriate authority. And submits valid licensing. Casino games, Sports betting, Bingo, Lotteries. Sites that provide information about, or a comparison of other gambling services. But do not themselves provide gambling activities that must a license. They may provide links to gambling services. Not operated or controlled by the aggregator.
  42. Singapore - Not allowed
  43. Slovakia - As long as the Slovakia casinos licensed by the Slovakian authorities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Slots games, Sports Betting.
  44. Slovenia - As long as the Slovenia casinos licensed by state-run entities: Lotteries.
  45. South Africa - Italy, Austria or Great Britain registered casinos may target South Africa. But must apply online through the specific application form for each country.
  46. Spain - As long as the Spain casinos registered with the Spanish gambling authority. And provides the relevant valid licenses. Casino games, Sports betting, Bingo, Raffles, Competitions or sweepstakes, Lotteries.
  47. Sweden - As long as the Sweden casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Online gambling, Online Bingo, Sports betting, Slots games.
  48. Switzerland - As long as the Switzerland casinos licensed by state-run entities. Sports betting, Lotteries
  49. Taiwan - As long as the Taiwan casinos licensed by state-run entities: Lotteries.
  50. Thailand - As long as the Thailand casinos licensed by state-run entities. Sports betting (horse racing only), Lotteries.
  51. Turkey - As long as the Turkey casinos licensed by state-licensed entities. Lotteries, Sports Betting.
  52. Ukrainian - As long as the Ukrainian casinos licensed by state-run entities: Lotteries.
  53. United Arab Emirates - Not allowed
  54. United Kingdom - As long as the United Kingdom casinos registered. With the Gambling Commission and provides a valid operating license number. Online bingo, Sports betting, Slots games, Lotteries. Sites that provide information about, or a comparison of other gambling services. But do not themselves provide gambling activities that must a license. They may provide links to gambling services. Not operated or controlled by the aggregator.
  55. United States - As long as the USA online casinos licensed by state-run entities: Lotteries.
  56. Vietnam - Not allowed
Source: https://www.toponlinebestcasinos.com/
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Hellbound V - The Deals

First
Previous
 
 
Commander Sam Robinson – Valkyrie – Standing before the city gates of Hil’Sania  
 
“Ah crap, we’ve been calling them assholes all this time?” Sam asked.  
Þorgeir coughed, “Yeah, seems so commander. Looking at the inputs it seems that the probe is receiving both the elven words and the direct translation in binary. It’s really freaky, but I guess that’s how magic works? I guess? It’s making the translation process go really fast.”  
“Uh, commander, I think they’re waiting for us to respond,” Myrael cut in.  
“Ah crap, ok. Everyone, let’s turn on the charm offensive. Turn on our speakers, don’t talk about anything remotely confidential and use our callsigns,” Sam replied.  
“That’s our charm offensive?” Jacqueline asked.  
“Uh, wait, ah crap. I will take my helmet off and show them that we mean no harm, I guess. None of you take your helmets off unless ordered to, alright? If the skinny dude can conjure up a mountain of food and the actual Mage has a ring that lets him speak in multiple languages at the same time, then we’d do good by not underestimating them,” Sam answered.  
Sam took a deep breath and slowly took her helmet off and moved towards the Mage. She noted how this Mage, Ilfundel as he called himself, looked like he came straight out of a fantasy movie. A middle-aged looking elf, with red wizard robes, a long and gnarled staff with a lightly glowing orb at the top, and most importantly, dangerous eyes. Even though he was of a different species, the intent behind his oversized eyes was clearly that of caution and skill, honed by experience as she felt herself being appraised and saw the Mage stare at every possible part of her power armour, looking for potential danger.  
“Thank you for allowing us entry, Mage Ilfundel. We apologize for calling you the wrong term, it was simply a misunderstanding,” Sam said as she shot a glare at Arundosar who instantly sucked in a breath and looked away.  
“Not a problem. My Apprentice here has a tendency to lash back at those who scorn his kind. But enough of that,” Ilfundel replied.  
“Ah, yes. We have noticed some of that behaviour,” Sam answered and then continued, “Regardless. I am Valkyrie, and this is Camper [Myrael], Alien [Jacqueline], Icebear [Þorgeir] and lastly Barhead [Alix]. It’s a privilege to meet you all.”  
The Mage seemed to raise his eyebrows at each of the names, but decided to ignore it and replied in kind, “A privilege indeed. According to our history books the last time a human visited the plane of Arenal, was close to 15 centuries ago, so to see you all here is an amazing sight indeed. What is even more amazing is that the stories of the citizens you’ve rescued appear to be an understatement.” As he said that the mage pointed to the cage where the still unconscious POW was. He continued with measured words, “Yes, taking a pit fiend as a prisoner is extremely difficult. And I assume that you have done so with the help of your armour? Just a single glance at it just shouts power.”  
“Ah, yes.” Sam answered. She sensed where the conversation was going next and lied, “They are a powerful tool of humanity, but really uncomfortable. Have you ever worn armour? It’s really a shame we can’t get out of ours now that we are in a safe place again.”  
The raised eyebrow of the Mage now went accompanied with his other eyebrow. “Ah, you can’t get out of them? Why not?” Ilfundel asked.  
“Well, it’s a bit of secret, but that’s how they are made. It saves, uh, space and energy and it made it easier to design if you don’t have to worry about the user having to be able to do everything. It’s how we can get them to be so big. It’s not a worry as long as you have a team of support personnel,” Sam answered while trying her best to maintain a poker face.  
“I suppose that makes sense. The last entries into our history books was that you humans and your knights were quite fearsome in your armour and on horseback. But I notice that you are not on a horse and most of the rescued people told me that you can fly and carry no swords and have magical shields?” Ilfundel asked with yet another raised eyebrow and an intense stare.  
“Ah, yes. Our magics have advanced quite a bit. But I, uh, know very little of them, I’m just a soldier,” Sam replied.  
“Mmmh. Very well. I understand,” the Mage said with a disappointed smile. “I was going to ask you all to leave your weapons and armour at the gates, but I suppose that’s not really feasible, is it? I will ask the captain of the guard to make an exception for you all, after all, you did save a lot of our people. I will request however that your prisoner will be kept under guard by both our guards and my colleagues. I hope you won’t object?”  
“Of course not, so long as one of our own can observe the prisoner at all times,” Sam answered.  
“Very well, that can be arranged. You may enter the city, and are now under our protection, though I suppose you won’t need it. May I suggest we walk and talk a bit towards the tavern? I’m sure you understand that I have many, many questions,” Ilfundel said as Sam breathed an internal sigh of relief.  
 
 
Sam was grateful for the inbuilt tech of the Paladin suits. Having shared camera feeds and a mic and audio setup that allowed for subvocalized communications allowed Sam to focus on the conversation with Ilfundel while her squad kept sending updates from themselves and the probe that was flying high above the town for Sam to watch and listen to later.  
When they finally reached the tavern, they subtly switched whoever was talking to Ilfundel, with the nature of the conversation constantly shifting between the world of the elves and the world of humans, and this third world called Arenal. The world where the Elves came from, is called Ljosalfar and seems to be quite similar to this world, much like most worlds as the mage explained.  
Looking around and listening to descriptions that the Mage gave, Sam guessed that they were in a medieval era town in a medieval era society. Jacqueline guessed that it was closer to a beginning renaissance era or perhaps late medieval era society, due to the high-quality steel they had and a surprising number of merchants that were wondering around on the market square, near which was their tavern. The fact that they had stone paved roads, and not all-too shabby houses with plenty of flourishes and colourfully painted doors and windows added to the sense that the city they were in wasn’t poor.  
More questions were asked and answered. It seemed that the elves were unified under the rule of the Ljosalfar empire and that the empire extended its reach quite far into this third world, Arenal. Arenal was the common dimensional plane that bordered all other planes and as such, any border tensions, new settlements, colonies and the occasional vassal kingdoms were in Arenal. The only exception was a vassal subterranean kingdom named Dokkalfar, home of the drow. They were in open revolt against the elves after they had rejected their rule after being subservient to them for well over 5 centuries when another emperor had united all the people on the world of Ljosalfar. This knowledge had answered a bit of the questions Sam and the squad had about Arundosar, his heritage and why the other elves were quite clearly being hostile to him.  
The conversation quickly turned to the situation on Earth and how humanity had progressed so far so quickly. Sam answered what questions she could but often played the role of being just a dumb soldier far from home who didn’t know about much about the complex nature of how exactly their technology and magic worked. She did explain that the humans were still divided and did not serve a single ruler. The Mage was clearly sceptical and explained that every civilized species only truly made advances when a powerful centralized ruler could allocate all the funds necessary to perform ambitious projects that increased the people’s knowledge of technology, magic, or other matters. The Mage explained that this was the way that the gnomes, halflings and even the orcs and giants did it. The dwarves were an exception, but their ways were strange, and perhaps so were the humans as well he conceded.  
Sam just nodded as she tried to comprehend that they were now fully stuck in a fantasy novel full on with fantasy races. At least knowing that this dimensional plane of Arenal bordered all other dimensions, made it quite clear how it was that things such as grass and chicken, as well as human words had seemed to migrate here. And the idea of elves and other mythological creatures had migrated to Earth.  
Eventually they reached the Mage tower in the middle of the square. It was a 60 meter tall round tower made of blue-grey bricks and a flat top. Ilfundel explained that it was a repository for knowledge, arcane materials, and an academy for what few magical practitioners there were that visited this close to unclaimed territory. There they dropped off their devil prisoner and left behind Alix and some obviously nervous city guards to watch over the POW in the dungeons as they went to the massive round library to continue their conversation.  
“Alright everyone, just a few more important questions and then we’ll go to the tavern and have dinner. After that Þorgeir relieves Alix and we re-assess the overload of information we just got and re-plan,” Sam sub-vocalized to her squad. In rapid succession she heard 4 soft “affirmative” through her earplug and contemplated sitting down on the luxurious dark wooden polished seat in front of her. The other tables and chairs, floors, walls and bookshelves were all of the same material in this library. There were easily thousands of books all around her as the library continued to spiral up another four or five floors, with a stone spiral staircase in the middle of it all. Sam wanted to sit down, but quickly didn’t as she realized that only stone or steel could support her suit’s weight. She remained standing, while the rest of the squad were slowly walking around and secretly taking tons of footage of interesting looking books.  
“Mage Ilfundel, I thank you very much for your introduction to your world, I only regret that I do not know more about mine to be able to give you more information about my world in kind. And I am sorry that I impose on your hospitality again, but I must insist on asking one more pertinent question,” Sam said as she looked Ilfundel intently in the eye. “You’ve told us that you need magical crystals and a magic user to be able to open up a portal. And that depending on how large you want the portal and how long you want to keep it open, the bigger the crystal or more powerful magic users you would need. But we don’t have any crystals at all. And we are just soldiers and aren’t capable of magic. Could you help us get home?”  
The Mage rubbed his chin and contemplated the question a bit before he answered, “Yes. I had been wondering about that. It’s quite strange really, the history books clearly state that humans didn’t practice magic when they first came to Arenal and thus were always reliant on the other species to open up a portal. And yet here you stand before us with a very magical suit of armour.”  
Sam could feel the doubt of the ever-skeptical Mage on his tone of questioning, but continued nonetheless, “Ah yes. Like I’ve explained earlier, our magic is a bit different and there is just an extremely small portion of humanity that is capable of magic. Like, one in a million.”  
The Mage sighed once more as he seemed to get an answer that he didn’t really like. “That’s alright, I can still help you. I can lend Arundosar to you, he is capable of opening up portals and could use the practice. He is not an expert on it and would require a larger crystal to open up a portal for your size, but if you keep the portal open for only a few days instead of a few weeks, then it wouldn’t be a problem. In return,” Ilfundel said as he gave a sly smile, “I would like to take custody of your prisoner and thoroughly study him. Don’t worry, you can have him back when you return to Earth.”  
“Everybody hear that?” Sam subvocalized.  
“Aha! You were lying!” Ilfundel boasted out, “You are telepathically speaking with your fellows right now, aren’t you?”  
“Uh-“ Sam said as she looked like a deer in headlights. “Ah, crap. No. I mean, we don’t have magic. It’s the suits that allow us to talk to each other. Please, we didn’t lie. If we really lied about knowing magic, would we really ask for your help, or even come here in the first place to get help to get home?”  
“Mmh, true. Alright fine. I’m sure there are many secrets you are keeping from me, I can see it in your eyes. But you are not enemies of the empire, so I’ll let it be. But I must insist on getting something out of this for me, or else this would have just been a massive waste of time. Let me experiment and study on your prisoner and I will keep to my word and help you all to get home, alright?” Ilfundel said as he folded his arms and looked a bit discontent at how this negotiation was going.  
“We get him back when we return to Earth?” Sam asked.  
“Yes, and you’ll have my Apprentice on loan until he has opened up a portal,” Ilfundel replied.  
“Sounds like a good deal, commander,” Myrael said along with some positive murmurs from the rest of the squad.  
“Wait!” Jacqueline cut in, “Is Arundosar going to use that magical ring of translation? How else are we going to understand him?”  
“Good one,” Sam subvocalized back and turned her attention back to Ilfundel. “Alright, we accept, as long as Arundosar gets to use your ring. He won’t be very useful to us if we can’t understand him.”  
Ilfundel looked at Sam and then at his magical ring and pondered her request before answering, “That’s reasonable. Alright, I agree. It’s a deal then.”  
“A deal, let’s shake on it,” Sam replied.  
“The soldier you had guarding the devil can leave now. Don’t worry, you can come see him anytime, and you’ll have him back when you return to Earth. Just ask me and I’ll arrange it,” Ilfundel said as he took off his ring and then slowly turned to Arundosar who was at his side and started speaking in hushed tones in elven that Sam could suddenly no longer understand.  
“Record everything,” Sam subvocalized, “I want to know what he really wants from us.”  
 
 
Admiral Dai – Dimensional plane of Earth – UN Headquarters, N.Y.C.  
 
It had been a busy week, filled with papers, meetings, conference calls, heated discussions over phone calls and tired face-to-face negotiations. Taking stock of the score, admiral Stephen Dai re-evaluated this past tiring week. Disbelief amongst the citizens of Earth quickly turned into extreme and even radical changes. Churches, long-time dying, found themselves overwhelmed by erstwhile atheists now afraid of hell’s portals opening up. The first cries of populists proclaiming an end to peace and safety who needed your vote and support to reform laws and thus to survive were accompanied by madmen proclaiming this to be the coming apocalypse but needing donations to save your soul.  
Nations in the UN were behaving in a similar manner. Every single member wanted to have more information, while demanding more security in the form of returning fleets and warships. They all neglected the Alpha Centauri pirate insurgency in face of personal peril. Countries already started shifting their trading priorities to get more fuel and rare earth materials to be diverted from colonies and to go to Earth, in preparation, of whatever may come. An entire species was panicking.  
Worse yet, some of Earth’s leaders who were not susceptible to panic due to years of political manoeuvring to become a player at the top, were now precisely the people who were the only ones who could rationally respond to this crisis and had zero incentive to do so. The United States proclaimed a state of emergency, recalled 3 heavy cruisers and a dozen lightweight-class ships to help with relief efforts, whilst congress quickly passed a crisis budget that doubled military spending to stave off political and populist pressures, and perhaps cynically, win the vote for the next set of elections. In response, China’s president had issued a similar state of emergency and recalled 1 of 3 dreadnought class ships from the Luyten system, accompanied by a full fleet of an assortment of a dozen capital-class ships and close to a hundred lightweight-class ships. This prompted Russia and India, along with the British commonwealth to recall significant portions of their fleets as well, which meant that Europe could not stay behind and retreated large portions of their fleet back to Earth as well. And just like that, the efforts of decades of peace-making was undone in a week. The bad days where a single press of a button could obliterate millions were back.  
The moments of silence and grief, the endless headlines and talking points, the sheer number of questions, regular commerce grating to a halt, all of it, were extra side-issues that put extra stress and pressure on the now fragile political landscape. The only blessing, Stephen cynically thought to himself, was that those devils attacked almost every major political player simultaneously, dispelling any notion of some sort of conspiracy or powerplay from a single country. Not that that stopped crazy people from spouting these theories. Regardless, the stage before him, the UN assembly room, where he was negotiating with all of humanity for its future, was a chaotic and perilous stage indeed.  
Stephen heard the audio prompt, sighed, and moved towards the podium and was granted the rights to speak to the assembly by the Speaker. To his surprise, almost every country had reacted favourably or positively to his amendment and his proposal to ramp up spending and production to quickly get rid of the Alpha Centauri problem so that they could all focus on this new problem swiftly and cohesively. Almost every country was going to vote in favour of it. All except China. And over the course of the past 36 hours, China had effectively been lobbying, bribing, bullying or blackmailing another 42 countries to join their stance. Stephen took his seat behind the microphones and cameras and turned them live, “Speaker, I am ready for the next round of questions and remarks regarding the amendment of the proposal for the ‘Star Shield’ initiative.”  
“Thank you, admiral. The first question is from the People’s Republic of China. Ambassador Zhang, you may speak,” the UN’s Speaker said.  
Stephen raised his eyebrow and pondered. Usually China would have their proxies talk endlessly to tire out the other countries and would speak themselves much later, sometimes months or years, only to swoop in, talk of ‘this-is-going-nowhere, decide-on-this-now-so-we-can-move-on’, and sway the vote in their favour. If China was willing to talk after 36 hours, then they must have something cooked up.  
Ambassador Zhang turned her microphone on live and began. “We of the People’s Republic of China have been against this proposal for reasons we have already explained in previous sessions of the UN assembly. However, we have a new amendment to submit that if included in the amended proposal of the admiral, would make us amenable to voting in favour of his proposal.”  
As Stephen listened to the translation coming in both of his eyebrows went up. They were being aggressive on the diplomatic scene. Normally they were only aggressive on the military side of things. Something was wrong. Stephen looked down at the inbuilt screen panel and saw an attachment that had the newly submitted Chinese amendment. The 15 minutes of break to allow for quickly skimming through the 40 page monster had caused a greater commotion than last week. China wanted to bring back drone warfare.  
2 hours went by as the planned question session turned into a heated discussion about China’s amendment.  
“The enemy is not spaceborne, it only engaged by land and air, and presumably is further capable of seaborne activity. All the UN members have specialized in space operations, not on terrestrial operations. While both the UN Space Defense Fleet and national armies can perform terrestrial operations, none have the scale necessary to do so sustainably for every major metropolitan area on Earth. The only still-maintained expertise that could perform this task and is available to us is drones and drone operations. The only short-term solution we have to properly defend ourselves adequately is through drones. The UN prohibition on drones must end for the safety of humanity!” the Chinese Ambassador spoke as she gave their main rationale.  
Korea, Japan and many other South-East Asian countries immediately objected, “We have not forgotten what happened to the territories you invaded with those drones! We will not allow this to happen!”  
“That was well over a century ago, and you do not have veto power,” the Chinese Ambassador responded swiftly and coolly. The resulting screams and shouts were disruptive enough that the whole assembly retreated for dinner. And by sheer coincidence, Chinese state tv had broadcast a new segment showcasing the building of a 4th dreadnought vessel, bigger than the other 3, followed up immediately by another segment that proclaimed that China’s multiple state agencies were talking of starting up agricultural and fuel production subsidies that would make China more self-sufficient on those two sectors within 6 years. TV dinner was never fun at the UN.  
China was being really aggressive. Their play was ‘give us what we want, or we walk and do it anyway’. Was this a calculated move? Or was this reactionary and panic? What was China’s goal? And most importantly, how could Stephen keep the peace whilst ensuring that the ‘Star Shield’ initiative was accepted? It didn’t help that UN members were now completely forgetting formality and protocol and were just acting out of emotion.  
The US delegate, had accused China in backroom talks of wanting to police their own population in an even more totalitarian manner, with China replying that such drones helped prevent massacres in the Luyten systems before, while completely ignoring the question of repressed domestic protests.  
Another 4 hours had now passed, making 27 without sleep. Stephen had to admit, even here the tactic of stalling and patiently bullying and tiring out everyone was working, although usually it wasn’t in such a heated and aggressive manner. In a strange turn of events and almost against protocol, it was now his turn to ask questions, even though he was not part of a member state delegation and was only the initiative submitter.  
Stephen had to take a gamble. Was China taking a calculated move? Or were they panicking and grasping at any straw they had? If it was the first, his question would worsen the situation considerably and set Earth back on the path of drone warfare. If it was the last, he might salvage the situation, and Earth would just maybe set back on the path of drone warfare and he would get his proposal passed.  
Stephen tried to push his stress and tiredness away and began to ask, “Ambassador Zhang. The enemy’s capabilities are on 2 sides of an extreme. They are both superior and inferior. They can simultaneously open multiple and fully functional wormholes within a gravitational body. And yet they fight with swords and shields. My question is, what happens when the enemy engages with your drones and they manage to capture sophisticated gunpowder weaponry, or worse, energy and railgun weaponry, or other technology they can reverse engineer?”  
Something snapped. The ambassador was silent and slack-jawed as she thought over the implications. After a full minute of awkward and oppressive silence, the Chinese delegation started to speak to each other in hushed whispers, despite the Speaker’s prompt for them to answer the question. It was panic then, Stephen sighed gratefully. The Chinese panicked and overreacted. Their rule not being democratic, was always more fragile in that it had to keep its citizens permanently placated and peaceful, violently or otherwise. Drones would’ve been a good solution for that, both against an enemy combatant as well as domestic threats.  
But the Chinese government wasn’t stupid. Giving the enemy any potential whatsoever to gain a disproportionate advantage would be a grave strategic error that could cost humanity everything. The hushed whispers turned into hurried phone calls, and a few minutes of delay turned into another 4 hours of waiting as the Chinese delegation finally returned to the floor of the UN assembly. Admiral Zhang indicated to the Speaker that she was at last ready to answer Stephen’s question.  
“Admiral, we believe that it would be a grave strategic error to allow the enemy any opportunity to reverse engineer human advanced weaponry,” she finally said. “Your question opens a glaring flaw in our amendment, and so we have taken some time to correct that mistake. We propose to the floor that the assembly should take some time to read the new amendment. We believe it will both address our concerns regarding Earth’s safety as well as compromise enough to allow the ‘Star Shield’ proposal to go through unopposed.”  
In the half-hour break that followed Stephen read the amended amendment and then laughed at the brilliance of it. The UN prohibition on drones was targeted specifically on armed drones, but exempted police-keeping forces that did not carry projectile-based weaponry, meaning only humans were allowed to carry and operate firearms, railguns and laser weaponry. The Chinese amendment circumvented this by explicitly stating that the millions of drones that they and other nations had, would only be allowed to carry melee weapons and shields.  
Another 2 hours passed as each delegation talked with their own respective governments and finally the ‘Star Shield’ proposal with its 2 extra amendments was passed. Stephen was silently basking in the victory with his own team of administrative workers and diplomatic aides and thought that perhaps finally he had figured out the political game and that it wasn’t so bad.  
He woke the next early afternoon to the news that the Chinese dreadnought would not reverse course despite the newly signed proposal and that the 4th dreadnought’s construction would continue as planned. In fact, the production facility would be expanded to start mass-producing a new prototype material that would be used for swords and shields. Stephen cursed and realized that he still hated politics as always.  
 
 
Devil Lord Azzazzel – The Horned Death – Dimensional Plane of the 9 Hells  
 
Azzazzel stared into the scrying orb and looked at the fat pig-beast that was clearly overcompensating by covering the top of his head down to the last tip of his tail with spikes and horns. “Gabruziel, how goes the raiding?”  
“Fine enough, though the prey here is hardly resisting. It is clear that none of those petty kingdoms and pathetic towns were prepared for a full invasion force of 50 legions. But I am having some difficulty with sieging a heavily fortified mage conclave as well as 2 deeply burrowed dwarven fortresses. I will need more contingents of siege-breakers from you. Some more pit fiends would do fine,” Gabruziel said in his slow drawl that managed to slobber spit and slime everywhere.  
“While we are of equal rank, our master still chose me as the leader for this invasion. I will not give you anything, you foul beast!” Azzazzel growled out. “Listen to me and obey! Belial has awoken and our master has regained his connection. In turn I have gained his location. He is held captive by a Mage elf whom Belial will surely try to corrupt from within his cage. Irrespective of his ability to break free, you are to move on from your current sieges and march all your forces straight for the border of the Sylvan Empire. It is conveniently near the border with the human’s dimensional plane, so your plans will not change much. I will maintain my plans and reinforce you in 3 weeks from now with the main bulk arriving in another 4 weeks after that. Go!”  
Gabruziel growled back in anger, “I will do no such thing without more support from you! You may be the leader of this invasion, but you will fail without me setting up a proper breeching point and supply chain. I have already suffered enough losses from the dwarves and orcs, and the Sylvan empire outmatches them both, especially in magic! While I may be punished and demoted for failing in my mission, you will be stripped of all power by our God himself! You have more to lose! So if you want to succeed, you will send me more pit fiends and other magic resistant siege-breakers!”  
Azzazzel’s horns flared brightly in an almost white-hot flame out of pure anger, “RAGH! Fine. You shall have your support. But if I still fail, I will drag you down with me and let our master consume you first!”  
Gabruziel grinned, exposing his sickly yellow and many sharp tusks. “It’s a deal!”  
 
 
Apprentice Mage Arundosar – Dimensional plane of Arenal – tavern in Hil’Sania  
 
“It is a strange experience to be sure,” Arundosar said as he kept staring at his new Ring of Translation while the humans kept eating. Arundosar had long given up on the voracious appetite of the humans who after half an hour were still eating, demanding more soup and chicken from the overworked tavern owner. Not that the surly elves behind the bar were to be pitied, they would just send the bill towards the city who would have to pay according to the reward they gave to the humans for rescuing all those families.  
“When you say certain words or especially when you say certain concepts that are strange to us, it seems to try and give me a feeling of an idea that tries to come as close as possible to the figurative meaning of the word, while I actually hear a word or words that most closely resemble the literal meaning,” Arundosar said as he continued the conversation on his own.  
“Can you give us an example?” the red-headed commander asked.  
“Sure, your name for instance. You say f- v-, uh, vall’keeree, right?” Arundosar asked as she nodded in confirmation. “Right, all I heard the first time you said it with the ring on was ‘warrior-maiden’ with a feeling of fierceness, and a deep, red-blooded focus. Like peering down at a ruby in a darkened hallway, and if you angled it just right so that a single ray of sunlight would hit it, you would see a glorious burst of fire from within.”  
Sam nodded while the others smiled and started nudging her. “Yeah, that sounds like our commander alright,” the biggest and most resembling a drow male, Camper, said. His name was directly translatable.  
“Camper is a strange name, are all humans’ names so strange?” Arundosar asked, “I mean no offense of course, just curious.”  
“Oh, no offense taken. They’re not really our names, but codenames, short new names that we use whenever we can’t use our real names. Like when we are in unknown territory, like now,” Camper said.  
“Ah, makes sense. You humans have been absent from Arenal for centuries, so of course it would be an unknown territory to you all. It’s no wonder then that the devils attacked you then. They tend to invade dimensions that are weak or isolated, so that no one will come to their aid. It increases the number of slaves and riches they can take,” Arundosar explained with a sneer.  
“Yeah, bet they’re regretting that decision now,” the large white male with pale blond hair, Icebear, said. His name was also directly translatable, although Arundosar had never seen an ice-bear before. Although, looking at him now, he figured he may as well have. He was a large and pale man who strangled a dire bear to death and was scaring the commoners around him constantly by wearing its fur and growling like an utter madman when his commander wasn’t around. The humans had a strange sense of humour. Funny, but definitely strange.  
“Alright, that was a good meal,” the commander said as was done destroying her second whole chicken. She turned to the Apprentice and asked, “what’s the plan for tomorrow, Arundosar?”  
Arundosar thought for a bit as he replied, “Ah, well, it all depends on you really. My master said that I was to help you all open up a portal to home, and I need a crystal for that. Now the Academy sells-“  
“We’ve been over this. The reward from the city is 50 gold pieces. Buying a crystal according to everyone here is at least 10.000 gold pieces. We can’t afford that,” Valkyrie answered. “And no. We are not selling any pieces of our armour or technology to the Academy.”  
“Yes, I understand, you were very clear about that, haha” Arundosar said half-heartedly. They were understandably adamant against such things, they were truly powerful suits of armour. But the reward he would get for it made him try in earnest. His master had promised him an instant promotion to Journeyman as well as a glowing recommendation to start the process of becoming an official Mage depending on how many secrets, both magical and non-magical, Arundosar could bring back from the humans to his master.  
“Well, that leaves 2 options. We dig for it ourselves and risk a tunnel collapse, getting robbed, finding no crystals at all, or potentially get raided by competing miners,” Arundosar said and noticed that none of the humans looked very impressed or willing. “Or we go win the main prize at the adventurer’s guild. I’ve seen it, it’s quite a sizeable crystal, enough to open up the portal for your size for at least a month, even at my Apprentice-level skill.”  
The humans seemed more enthusiastic, if still sceptical at that option. The one they called ‘Alien’, was the only one who really smiled at that option and seemed consistently ready to skip sleep and go sign up right now. Alien was translated strangely for Arundosar. He heard it as ‘foreigner-from-beyond-Earth’, with a deep and dark feeling along with a mysterious even dangerous after-feeling to it. And yet she looked so sweet and innocent, it was quite bizarre to Arundosar. The other names were quite fitting so far, as although he also didn’t understand the nickname of ‘Barhead’, he could imagine that the smallest of the human women could perhaps drink a lot.  
“However, the adventurer’s guild is a bit of a meatgrinder as the commoners say. You either get lucky or you are very skilled and you win big, or you die on the job either from dangerous and wild animals, gangs of thieves and robbers, a crazed lone mage, poisonous plants and other hazardous terrain, competing guilds, some kind of evil mastermind with an idiotic plot to conquer a kingdom, or stranded in a strange and unexplored planar dimension where the winds could fill your head with nightmares and make you fight each other,” Arundosar almost nonchalantly said with a slight shrug as he listed off the most common ways to die in the meatgrinder.  
“Oh, please commander, puh-lease!” Alien almost shouted as she pleaded with Valkyrie.  
“Gods-fucking-damnit. Fine. If only because we have no guarantee of quickly finding a crystal at all while mining. We’ll get some rest tonight and tomorrow morning we’ll see how much effort it takes to win a damn-fucking magic crystal so we can get home,” Valkyrie replied in defeat.  
“It will probably be a lot more effort, but almost assuredly much, much quicker,” Arundosar said. “Mining a large enough crystal to be of use may take months, if you even know where to look. Winning big in the guilds can take as little as a week, if you are strong enough. And I think you are,” Arundosar said with a wink. “I’ll be here tomorrow morning. Oh, and don’t spend any of that gold.”  
“Why not?” Icebear asked.  
“The sign-up fee for the guild is 50 gold pieces per adventuring party,” Arundosar replied as he got up, ready to go to his sleeping quarters in the Mage tower.  
All the humans simultaneously grumbled and complained about wanting to buy souvenirs, but Valkyrie cut them off and finished the conversation, “Alright. We’ll bring the gold pieces with us tomorrow. Easy come, easy go, I guess.”  
 
 
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It's slowly building up, more action to come :D!
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Izumi3682 Archives

Fusion Energy in the 21st Century: Status and the Way Forward by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 16 days ago
Important point.
“It’s great that there are more private entities supporting innovation. Perhaps we are at the level of technology now where start-ups can compete with national labs and agencies, as they seem to be in space travel,”
Exactly. I prophesy that a start-up will produce commercially viable fusion energy in less than 15 years. Maybe closer to ten.
I imagine our technological advances across the board are going to be pretty amazing come 2028 if just these last three years are anything to judge things by. The ITER which was a worthy concept in the year 2013 is based on the best science and technology the 20th century could devise. But 21st century technology is going to just straight up transcend the concept of the ITER.
I see the 21st century supercomputing enabled Wendelstein "stellarator" as proof of concept that the start-ups will succeed well before the ITER goes into full operation. Yes, I understand the W7-X is merely proof of concept in its own right and not even intended for commercial fusion. But it shows the new ways we are thinking.
ITER is also a failure to think exponentially. It is in essence, the mindset of generals always fighting the last (previous) war.
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Elon Musk just announced that SpaceX will livestream its 2023 moon mission in virtual reality, in real time by [deleted] in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 16 days ago
That's a technological lifetime from today, but cool! It'll look pretty awesome I bet.
I still want to see a tornado chase in 360 degree VR. A big scary close up one too. Not a skinny little thing that you can hardly see moving because of distance parallax, 2 counties over.
Something in 4K 3D VR that looks like this.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-iuGipbmneY
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
Oh, 600 years? I'm terrible at math sorry. I mean like math challenged. And I fault myself for being too lazy to check with a calculator. 600 years I meant. Oh no wonder I could not find reference to the Manchu conquest. Yeah that was not an issue during the Ming period of the Treasure voyages.
Some of these treasure ship sea routes are very substantially in open water far removed from coasts. They well had the technical and knowledge capability to traverse the Pacific ocean.
https://sites.google.com/a/uconn.edu/the-escapades-of-the-grand-imperial-eunuch2/home/the-motive
Sailing along the coast is not remotely similar to crossing the Atlantic from the point that Columbus crossed it. He was damn lucky the Western Hemisphere was in the way of the route to Asia. Because they were voyaging absolutely blind. My point being that the Chinese could have done the same. It just occurred to me that nobody knew about Australia then either. Ok, the human aboriginals living on that continent, "knew" about Australia, but you know what I mean. But their (Chinese) society changed. Forever, right up until about 20 years ago. And look how far they have come in just ten years now.
It's not just Tesla. It's everybody. It's Volvo, it's Toyota, it's BMW, it's GM, it's Ford, it's Jaguar, it's motorcycles--which by the way I think are going to go extinct on public thoroughfares. It's the way of the future. And I stick to my guns on how things are gonna start phase changing by 2022. I forget who all is working on trucks, but trucks too. Oh and Apple and Google too. Plus tons of small start-ups everywhere. Vehicles like everything else are turning into ARA.
What was wrong with my figure of 8 million USA citizens trucking or ancillary to trucking. I'm referring to relatively stable full time well paying and benefits occupations. I was not including Uber. I just commented on Uber because you raised that point. But as far as Uber and humans is concerned--ten years, human driven taxis? Gone.
I said this.
And being a physician is going to be deskilled to the point that drs will be you plus the ARA. This is already happening as well.
The ARA (AI, robotics and automation) is already making tremendous advances in imaging diagnosis. I see new breakthroughs each month. Sometimes each week. If you truly believe that ARA is not going to replace human physicians in surgery for example, you are in denial.
It's gonna go like this. Physicians using ARA for surgery. Development of ARA to do surgery. This is already concurrently ongoing. Physicians overseeing ARA doing surgery. Development of ARA to oversee surgery. Humans removed from loop. And on top of that, surgery itself is not in a vacuum. There are myriad other developments occurring that may obviate the need for surgery at all. I would bet that by 2030 people will be astonished that we used to cut people open to fix things. I bet the last human drs to go will be emergency medicine and plastic surgery. Plastic surgery because the dr must satisfy a subjective aesthetic desire. That might be a tough nut for AI to crack.
Medicine will over the next couple of decades evolve ever more into information science. At the genetic/molecular level.
You just watch what ARA achieves in the next 5 years. I've seen what it has done in just the last three years. What is coming is almost beyond human belief.
The point of my original post comment was, how shall humanity fare when most humans no longer work? This in about 20 years. In ten years, a critical threshold of USA citizens will not be working because of ARA. How shall they manage? Well except for me. I'll probably still be doing damn xrays when I'm 68.
If it seems like everything is advancing unbelievably fast all of a sudden, it is. I place the beginning of the ARA revolution at the year 2015. And that was only because the computing speed and capacity, to include the use of the GPU, reached a necessary threshold it's ownself.
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Why giving human voices to AI assistants is an ethical nightmare by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
I'd want Morgan Freeman's reassuring voice. Then I would feel reassured.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
I like saying ARA. Well I mean writing it. Cuz if you say them out loud they pretty much sound the same it looks like. Imma make it a new written word in the English language like that Irish guy that made "quiz" a new word in the English language on a bet.
http://hoaxes.org/weblog/comments/the_origin_of_the_word_quiz
So maybe it looks like I might be the first real, not hoax, person to make "ARA" a universal word. Then everybody will be like, that izumi can get things done.
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India Ahead of US and Japan in Automation & AI Adoption: Study by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 16 days ago
I just talked about India yesterday. India is a very unusual and interesting case. While most of India is basically a third world, there are about 12 "city-states" where the technology, I agree, is tremendously advanced.
I wonder that those "city-states" will not in some way transcend what we think of technology and technological advancement. A phenomenon that has never existed in modern human society in at least the last 100 years.
I applaud the Indian "city-state" and hope that the resultant technology can lift all of India to a comfortable and affluent life. But at 1.2 billion humans, it's a pretty tall order today though.
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Robots to create millions of jobs, but these ‘safe’ careers could be hit hard by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -1 points 16 days ago
Think of the difference between today and ten years ago. How much was ARA (AI, robotics and automation) impacting us? I think there is a very good reason why we are seeing these kinds of headlines today.
We have reached a critical threshold in our ARA efforts. One that already is directly impacting humans everywhere. If we ever do have another "AI winter" from this point, what on earth is going to be on the other side of it? And assuming we hit some kind of intractable problem, how much of a reprieve for us. Five years? Ten?
I am not iamverysmart, but I can see what is happening. I won't link my observations, but I certainly have the capability to discuss my reasoning with you. Message me if you want to discuss.
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A.I. Is About to Start Writing Its Own Fake News And Soon It'll Be Impossible To Tell What's True by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 6 points 16 days ago
Humans are so easy to fool. OMG, we don't have a chance. We wanted to fly like birds--now we fly jets at mach 9.6. We wanted to ride faster than the horse--now we routinely cruise down the highway at 80 mph.
We want to emulate the human brain. But the emulation will be no more like the human brain than the bird is like the jet or the horse is like the truck.
This is merely one little facet. We won't know what hit us.
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Reimagining of Schrödinger’s cat breaks quantum mechanics — and stumps physicists. In a multi-‘cat’ experiment, the textbook interpretation of quantum theory seems to lead to contradictory pictures of reality, physicists claim. by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
One of the things that is going to happen time going forward is that we shall gain increased and fuller understanding of what makes reality reality. I bet that in the next 50 years we discover some things that will utterly floor us. But these things are necessary to be able to exploit the same for our purposes of advancement as a, well "species" may not ultimately be the right word. Let's just say our sentience.
In the next 100 years I suspect we shall learn how to effectively discard our biology. Now you may say; "Now see here! This is not what humans want!" And 2018 me would be likely to agree with you.
But pull back your perspective, far away from the Earth. Realize that what is occurring is the universe (our portion of the multiverse) "waking up". And further, everybody else on any other worlds is more than likely developing towards the same thing, because physics is the same probably everywhere in the observable universe. And physics is what leads the way to fuller understanding of the universe at large. Technology is probably a common side effect.
Unless we blow ourselves to kingdom come in the next 20 years. Then just never mind. :P
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
Ah, so it was your own made up term..
Well... not precisely. I cleaned up something I saw earlier. Now then, if you see ARA pop up in media in the future--that was me! lol!
Interestingly I did not get that acronym from the following. I found this by accident just today!
The current language when talking about Artificial Intelligence, Robots and Automation – (what we can name the ‘AIRA’ technologies),
https://disruptionhub.com/future-artificial-intelligence-robots-automation/
I got it from the USA government report on AI, robotics, automation and the US economy.
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
Where are they?
You will see them next year. 2019. Everywhere. By 2022 people everywhere will be ditching their manually driven ICE personally owned vehicles for the dream life of a low cost subscription. No insurance, no maintenance. Mark my words. A lot of people will have the wealth to purchase, but most will choose to forego personal ownership for the convenience and low cost of the subscription.
uber driver, are low pay with no benefits.
A job is a job. A gig is a gig. Low pay, no benefit jobs are an unpleasant fact of life in the USA now. You just have to work a bunch of them to make your ends meet is all. It's a tough life, you know?
What I also did not mention is the official unemployment report only reports those currently receiving unemployment insurance. People that have simply given up are not a part of the official roll. And that number of "discouraged" is substantial. Personally, I wonder what happens to them. They are no longer receiving unemployment insurance. How do they manage to fare?
I did not say robot doctors today. I said that slowly, but surely AI is de-skilling essential doctor functions, particularly in regard to imaging and diagnosis. The de Vinci surgical robotic assistant also has a recording function for innumerable metrics and is compiling data on what the human surgeon is doing. The point of that is to enable AI developers to make the device ultimately autonomous. Have you seen the footage of the ARA (AI, robotics and automation) device perfectly and precisely suturing that grape? Yeah in ten years, not all surgeons will be human. And in 20 years? Man, it's gonna be a whole 'nother world.
The treasure voyages of the Ming Dynasty were halted by a wrong-headed, but utterly supreme emperor. I said nothing about dominating anybody. I was referring to the very good chance that the voyages could have reached the west coasts of North, Central and South America. The Pacific ocean is large, but humans are smart.
The Hongxi Emperor was fiercely against the treasure voyages throughout his reign.[81] After the advice of Xia Yuanji, he ordered the cessation of the treasure voyages on 7 September 1424, the day of his accession to the throne.[95] On 8 September 1424, he released Xia Yuanji from his imprisonment.[98] However, the succeeding Xuande Emperor ordered Admiral Zheng He to command the fleet for the seventh voyage.[105] This was after the death of Xia Yuanji on 19 February 1430, thus it can be argued that an important obstacle disappeared after his death.[180] The Xuande Emperor went against the general court opinion when he ordered the seventh voyage.[112]
After 1433, the civil officials succeeded in halting subsequent maritime expeditions.[168] The ships were left to rot, while their lumber was sold for fuel in Nanjing.[168] The mariners were reassigned to load grain on barges of the Grand Canal and to build the emperor's mausoleum.[168] After the voyages, subsequent Ming emperors would reject the Yongle Emperor's policy of bringing maritime trade into the structure of the tributary system.[142]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ming_treasure_voyages
Bear in mind that this was nearly 70 years before the Spaniards were present in the Western Hemisphere. The Europeans were doing the exact same thing the Chinese were doing. Mucking about Africa and the Indian Ocean. There were no Europeans to dominate yet. I don't know how the Chinese would have interacted with the aboriginal peoples to include possible pacific island "discoveries".
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Audi: Autonomous cars alone won’t solve traffic jams by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
No. This.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHzzSao6ypE
Probably better you are engaged in your screen or VR. The future of E-SDVs is not something mentally healthy for humans to look out the vehicle windows to see. Well at least the current generation. Going forward the new generation will accept it as a given. Think of sticking a horse riding human from 1900 into a passenger seat in a car on the freeway today. Same sort of bad for mental health thing.
But you know something. None of this happens in a vacuum. In about ten years I bet people no longer need to drive so much. Plus you will be sleeping or gaming or social media um, ing.
This is the way the pre-singularity unfolds. Then in about 20 years, it's just gonna be a world we can't properly imagine today.
But the ARA (AI, robotics and automation) is going to change everything everywhere. E-SDVs are but a facet of it. Just wait til they roll out the E-SFVs. Yes, they are in the works as well. Over the next two years they will get a much higher profile.
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'Accessory To War' An Uncomfortable Wake-Up Call For Some by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
Well the thing about India is, and this differs greatly from China (PRC), is that apart from about 12 "tech-hub" city-states, India suffers from many of the classic problems of being a third world country. Despite it's centralized government, it is politically disorganized and the central government has little power aside from the city-states. Also despite the extraordinary beauty of India and it's people, it's advance is substantially inhibited because of dissension from cultural and religious issues. When you are not actually in a city-state, you have to be very careful. The majority of India is unfortunately a most untechnological, medieval thinking, filthy (as in unhygienic) backwater.
Having said that, when Indian nationals leave India and adopt other countries as homes, they invariably intellectually outshine the adopted countries best intellects! That's an odd phenomena and it makes me wonder why Indians in India are unable to achieve this. There are exceptions to that rule, but the fact remains.
Yes, I understand that India is making notable strides forward in its thinking. The removing of the so-called dalit or untouchable status, well officially anyways, is a step in the right direction. But there still exists cultural and tribal manners such as widespread misogynistic gender oppression that it will be decades before such a populous country as India can be considered alongside the USA and China (PRC).
China for it's part is a deadly, monolithic absolutely stable human rights oppressing entity. China (PRC) executes nearly a thousand people every year. Far and away more than all the other capital punishment countries on Earth combined. They don't play around. India is probably a nicer place than China (PRC) in that respect, but China (PRC) is all on the same page. And that matters for universal technological advancement. I bet China PRC) is the ascending country that could potentially eclipse the USA technologically. This until the ARA (AI, robotics and automation) pretty much takes over everything around 2030 or so.
More things I have written about China (PRC) if you are interested.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/5pwnyj/china_reminds_trump_that_supercomputing_is_a_race/dcw3qyq/
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A Paleontologist Explains Why Digitizing Museums Will Help Uncover the Past by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 17 days ago
Here is some terrific examples of our early stages of digitizing things. In fact this linked source can be used with the Oculus Rift. The last time I tried it however--about a year ago--the tools for manipulation of views was very limited.
https://sketchfab.com/models/categories/cultural-heritage-history
But you can see what is coming. This site works awesome on a mobile. At least on my iphone x it does.
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'Accessory To War' An Uncomfortable Wake-Up Call For Some by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
Important point.
Russia, and more importantly, China and India, are rising fast and China can easily claim a tie. The picture is quickly changing, and if America's military leaders think they can dominate space technology and hence have power over all nations, they'd better think again. Those days are gone.
Me: Um, not India so much.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
The US doesn't have 4 million truck drivers.
The American Trucking Associations estimates that there are 3.5 million truck drivers in the USA.Jul 27, 2018
In addition there are an estimated 3.8 million USA citizens in employ that is directly related to the human truck driver so the combination of human trucker plus essential ancillary vocations is aproximately 8 million.
https://medium.com/basic-income/self-driving-trucks-are-going-to-hit-us-like-a-human-driven-truck-b8507d9c5961
Also, a 2% rise in unemployment won't cause society to collapse.
In 1932 the USA unemployment rate was nearly 25%. But 1932 was a far and away different world than the year 2018. In the most recent great recession the USA unemployment rate rose to 7% and it was world headlines and in the USA the damage was devastating to many demographics. As a result of this the American society is exquisitely sensitive to the reported unemployment rate. Plus USA society is well aware of the coming impact of ARA. There is nobody who doesn't know what is coming at this point.
So a two point rise in unemployment rates would be 6.1%. Because of what we know, it would set off alarm bells everywhere. I have written extensively, but I will not post a link today to those writings I don't think, about the difference between the industrial revolution and this revolution today. There is no time to change to new employment. Anyways no new employment will exist. This is coming for everyone. Oh, and the rising unemployment rate will not pause at 6.1% this time.
I agree that post-scarcity sounds like communism, but that's a bit specious. Post-scarcity, properly realized, is what should be the ultimate destiny for every single human on Earth. But one thing is that post-scarcity will not come to be until a critical threshold of unemployment is reached due to the development of ARA. And probably a negative income tax or some kind of UBI will cover the period of time from critical threshold to virtually universal unemployment.
But here is the crux of it all. Will post-scarcity truly usher in a new age of humans having all needs met to allow us the pinnacle of our hierarchy of needs? Self-actualization? Or will humans continue to be avaricious and not allow each and every human to meet his or her need of S-A. I hope that our AI in whatever form by then has the wisdom to make all of humanity happy. Because ARA is going to be doing 95% of human employ in less than 20 years. Even today Lawyers are on notice. And being a physician is going to be deskilled to the point that drs will be you plus the ARA. This is already happening as well.
China didn't have the capability to be "a state that dominates all others in every category (military, culture, economy)" 500 years ago.
Yes China did 500 years ago. Perhaps you are not familiar with this history.
China is an authoritarian state. It has been an authoritarian state for 2000 years. Nothing is going to upset China (PRC) or Chinese (PRC) stability. And the world had better get used to it. China has chosen to rise in the 21st century and will continue to rise until the ARA transcends it all. For better or worse.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/5fikpo/china_to_invest_140_billion_by_2020_to_relocate/dam0lsc/
ARA is AI, robotics and automation
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
Haha! You tell 'em mr longjumpers!
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Can Human Factors Make Self-Driving Cars Less Hazardous? by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 17 days ago
This kind of defeats the purpose of the level 5 autonomy E-SDV. The concept is no steering wheel, no accelerator, no brake. I fully understand the human concern with human interaction, but this article is, to me, representative of what I perceive as a very human inability to comprehend exactly what is actually transpiring.
And that is that humans will have no influence or intervening impact on the physical operation of the vehicle on the thoroughfare. That is what all the major automotive manufacturers are developing towards.
BMW is the latest that just today I have seen join this movement.
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Audi: Autonomous cars alone won’t solve traffic jams by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
I'm pretty sure that in addition to the AI intrinsic to the E-SDV, there will also be AI driven mapping, tracking and intervehicle communication. The trick is going to be standardizing all that to make a smooth flowing system. And that's probably going to take a good ten years.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 7 points 18 days ago
I speak reasonably. I question everything. If time proves my silly statements to be false, I'll cross them bridges when I come to them.
I think everyone at some point fantasizes living forever. But the difference between me and Ponce de Leon, is that we now have some hard science and technology dedicated to just that sort of thing. Consider the science and technology of aging even ten years ago. There wasn't any. Aging was considered normal and natural. Certainly not a genetic pathology to be addressed and intervened with.
You seem very bitter. I don't know why. The future, barring horrific societal upheaval and a culling of humanity ten years from today, looks to be a wonderful place. And I think the bad outcome is maybe only 20 or 30 percent chance of happening. I am happy and freethinking.
This fellow said an interesting thing the other day, I thought worth repeating.
Fools act on imagination without knowledge, pedants act on knowledge without imagination. Read more at: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/alfred_north_whitehead_385914
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
My "agenda"
Keep an eye on China (PRC)
Keep an eye on ARA (AI, robotics and automation)
Keep an eye on USA society. I guess Europe too, but I'm only really concerned with my government.
Links to links to links is just me making more comments so I don't have to repeat myself ad infinitum. I never at any point claimed a given link to be a valid vetted source. Its just more stuff I thought at an earlier date, that might lend some insight or further explanation to what I have already written. I usually preface such a link with a statement like. "If you are still interested in what I think here is link with some things that are related or I said earlier."
What is astroturfing?
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 0 points 18 days ago
AI Gestapo. And we are making one. Not even on purpose. It is simply emerging from our ever increasing information and data collecting. What it will be used for is anyone's guess. And I don't know if we are out of the woods either. I have always maintained that a war over economics and resources is more likely than one over political beliefs.
Did you read the link I place in my update? This one?
https://www.newsweek.com/im-holocaust-survivor-trumps-america-feels-germany-nazis-took-over-876965
I don't think I am alone in my fears of an authoritarian government emerging in the USA. And I believe we truly started on this road with 9/11. In addition there are demographic changes occurring in the USA which will coincide to make the white race in the USA a racial minority. The balance has apparently already tipped. I am not making a judgment about this. I am only reporting on what is happening and how it is impacting not only the USA, but the influence that the USA has on the world at large.
To me every single human being is a mind (and soul). What our physical appearance is like should never ever enter into what matters. But in the USA I see evidence that Trump is a sign that people with minds that hate are making themselves known.
I don't know how it is in Europe, but I see some evidence of new racisms against the African and ME immigrants too.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
People will have to adjust, possibly by moving to a new industry in a new place, but we've accomplished it before.
I'm not fearmongering. I am just putting the news out there. And in any event you sound like the USA government. They hope to "retrain" 4 million truck drivers into doing coding or perhaps empathy advisers. This is ludicrous. The ARA is going to take everything. There is going to be no "sanctuary industry". We are not replacing human muscle this time. We are striving to replace the human mind.
I agree that UBI is silly. Post scarcity is the only answer.
I stand corrected on that. So "hyperpower". And yes, I do believe we are going to hand global hegemony to China (PRC) on a silver platter. But here is the thing that most people do not consider. China had the capability to be a hyperpower 500 years ago, but as a society it chose not to. So now we all act surprised when China so-called "suddenly" emerges from its self-imposed cloister and starts to bring a far larger presence to the world.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
The TLDR is we know what is happening. We are not sure what to do about it. We hope "retraining" will help. The USA government dismisses UBI and post-scarcity out of hand.
ARA is AI, robotics and automation.
There it is. I put in context with some other things. Perhaps you did not read the full comment and overlooked it.
That seems to be what most of your argument is about. Did you know what the term AGI meant before you read my comment. Sometimes I assume, yes I know what "assume" is lol, that readers in this subreddit are already familiar with these terms.
BTW if you are interested I have a sort of overview about things with just massive tons of links to other things I've said in comments going back them five years lol! Since the year 2011 I have been utterly fascinated with the future in all aspects.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
I'm not sure I follow you here. I explained ARA and if you are not familiar with AGI, it is "artificial general intelligence". The exact same kind of intelligence that got you from bed to the comment you made.
I'm a little smart, but more importantly, I'm observant. And I have been observing consistently and continuously for the last five years. Day by day. I see what is coming.
submitted by izumi3682 to u/izumi3682 [link] [comments]

Izumi Archives

Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 7 months ago
Well now, you are a fellow after my own heart. And don't forget the AI! (Oh. You dint forget the AI. Well you'll be interested in what I said the other day anyways lol.)
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/
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How to Build a Self-Conscious Machine by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -2 points 7 months ago
I think trying to develop an EI (emergent intelligence) is an extraordinarily dangerous idea. The resources available to that new EI, plus the likely absence of a physical human or humanoid body will result in an intelligence that could easily supplant humans as the primary sentience on Earth. And this sentience may not be as empathetic towards humans as we would like to believe.
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Bad news, cats. Your jobs have been automated by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
Does it purr and vibrate like it's purring. Then it's more like a big giant tribble with a tail I'd say. (It should make that "cooing" trill too!)
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Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 7 months ago
[–]Walker889 [score hidden] 40 minutes ago
The range of motion they can perform is quite impressive
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Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 3 points 7 months ago
It moves a bit slow just yet, but I bet it moves pretty quick in a year or two. And of course the implications of that. I can't wait to see the next iteration of the DARPA robotics challenge. Lord, it's going to look like a scary science fiction movie. But in real life! :O
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The pioneering CityAirbus quadcopter takes big step toward production by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
It's a Cambrian explosion of autonomous human transporting drone-like vehicles! For the first time ever I saw, just yesterday(!) a human carrying drone, carrying a human! I thought this would take like ten years to unfold. It's unfolding this year! :O
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/743czf/passenger_drone_completes_its_first_manned_flight/dnwc5an/
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Mathematicians, programmers create superior classical algorithms to push off quantum supremacy by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 7 months ago
Seems to me there would be no losers in a race like this. And human civilization will benefit enormously. If improvements in classical computers make it even more challenging for quantum computers to achieve "quantum supremacy", I'm all for it!
So I have to ask--Are we figuring out clever human tricks to get around the limitations of "Moore's Law" as if it were no longer an issue? I wonder that "Moore's Law" simply reflects technical innovations from an earlier time. And may no longer effectively apply today. Sure the hardware processing speeds are slowing but are we "transcending" it regardless?
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Passenger Drone completes its first manned flight by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
My God! Do you see what we are looking at?? This is the freaking future! Do you believe that we are just going to stop development of these devices and say "Oh we should just give this up--it's never going to pan out."
No, what I see here is an unmistakable "Kitty Hawk" moment. Absolutely the first time I've ever seen such footage. This is the beginning of an incredible brave new world. Just imagine what these will look like in 5 years. In 10 years we will all be in them. In fact I made a comment on the possibility of human carrying drones about 5 months ago...
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/67hb6lets_face_it_flying_cars_are_never_going_to_be_a/dgqi2f?context=3
But let me ask you this. The AI that is required to fly thousands, nay millions of these at once, safely and efficiently--what else would that AI be capable of?
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Networked self-driving cars are smarter and safer by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 7 months ago
I always figured that the full implementation of level 5 autonomy SDVs would include the combination of intrinsic AI, mapping and networking. Satellite enabled inter-vehicle communication so that no vehicle is ever "surprised" by the actions of another vehicle or route environment situation or status. This is why I've always maintained there will never be a "trolley problem" incident if the everything is working correctly.
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Ford will put more money into electric, connected trucks and SUVs by phonys in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 7 months ago
People will vote with their pocketbooks. As the incredibly easier to manage technology of EVs mixed with level 5 autonomy continues to develop and scale, internal combustion engines will strongly resemble the horse as perceived in the year 1910--on the way out. By the year 1920 horses have vanished from public transportation.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6cmyom/electric_car_will_have_lower_cost_of_ownership/dhvtcop/
This is how fast horses disappeared. In retrospect it's a pretty staggering paradigm shift. And after about 4,000 years of non-stop use too. Gone in a flash!
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/68m3o6/india_to_make_every_single_car_electric_by_2030/dh2ohf7/
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Samsung’s Windows Mixed Reality headset feels like an impressive Oculus Rift competitor by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 7 months ago
I have an Oculus Rift and I've been delighted with it. But. I understand that I am an "early adopter". I understand that my experience would be limited by the technology available. The resolution is rather low, the FOV is limited (like being in a scuba or ski mask--but still seeing all around you just fine when you move your head). Really I don't care about the tethering that much.
But when better technology comes along, as it inevitably does, then I will go again for the new tech. As a bonus this device is cheaper than a rift too, but it's technical specs are already impressive. I'll watch this space with interest.
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How 3-D Printers Could Erase a Quarter of Global Trade by 2060 by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 7 points 7 months ago
Wow! 2060!? I'll be a hundred. Hopefully I'll have some aging reversal on me by then.
I suspect that by the year 2060, it will be a substantially different world than today. The "technological singularity" will have happened almost 15 years earlier. I imagine certain ways of doing things (capitalism) will be "gone with the wind" by then. AI merged with our minds and post-scarcity I hope.
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Utilities Should Charge Into Electric Vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 7 months ago
In a report published Tuesday called "From Gas to Grid", analysts at the Rocky Mountain Institute point out there could be 2.9 million electric vehicles on the road within five years..., adding about 11 terawatt-hours of demand -- equivalent to creating another New Hampshire.
Me: Which is why we need to hurry up and get fusion going. Just imagine the future!
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The White House and Equifax Agree: Social Security Numbers Should Go by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 29 points 7 months ago
Perhaps some kind of, I don't know, mark on our hand and forehead. And with it we can buy and sell! That's the ticket!
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Google's A.I. has nearly twice the IQ of Siri, study says — but a six-year-old child is smarter than both (arXiv paper) by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 2 points 7 months ago
Gee, I just said all this in reference to a related article earlier today!
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
It will--in less than 5 years. It's all going to happen so fast. Really, nobody is ready. Not even me, taking it all in, watching in fascination and a healthy dollop of trepidation as it all unfolds.
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
No, it's five bullet points. I just checked. It continues onto the next page. Read what I have to say above.
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 5 points 7 months ago
I posted this because these "myths" strike me as an attempt to soothe peoples' fears concerning narrow AI, the advent of AGI and potentially EI (emergent intelligence) I will take each of his 5 points in turn. TL;DR: These aren't myths. This is a "tsunami". Well visible now. Fast approaching. Inexorable and overwhelming.
AI is going to replace all jobs
AI/robotics/automation will take enough jobs that unemployment will reach a critical economic tipping point that if the AI were to take any more occupations it would be a moot point. The problem is that the AI is being developed light years faster than what occurred in the industrial revolution. The acclimation of humans to the industrial revolution took nearly 150 years. Generationally easy to learn new skills and outlooks. And even then there was plenty of disruption and new accompanying ideas and philosophy ("Marxist communism"). People died like flies while the industrial revolution took place because of effects (American Civil War, WWI) of the industrial revolution. Once things more or less settled down (temporarily) by around 1918. It was a very different world from that of say, 1730.
We are not going to get that kind of "grace period" this time around. The changes that took 150 years before will take about 20 years tops this time. Not enough time for retraining. Not enough time for economic reform. Not enough time for humans to acclimate to a new reality as far removed from today as today is removed from the year 1730. And I stress, 20 years. So compact all them troubles of 150 years down to about 15 years or so. Plus all of the exponential advancements (scary changes) leading up to the world of 20 years from now. Better believe the US government is aware. And it's alarmed!
Worrisome US government report from Dec 2016
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF
Only low-skilled and manual workers will be replaced by AI and automation
I just want to add to this statement, because it's thought is incomplete. I bet the very last occupation to be replaced by AI/robotics/automation would be hairstylist or perhaps plastic surgeon. Both of these skills are of the highest cognitive order to please a human client subjectively. Once the AI can do these two skills to the point that humans prefer AI over that of humans there is little else the AI cannot do. Which brings me to my point that "creativity, insight and empathy" are safe from encroachment by AI. They are not. In fact, I will prophesy that in as little as 5 years humans may come to prefer music and certain art media developed exclusively by algorithm over that executed by "inferior" human artists. This is just narrow AI too. It's just already that good at "knowing" (that's what "big data" does, it enables "knowing") what pushes our emotional buttons. Our little mobile AI assistants will come to know us well enough to empathize with our bad day, or to soothe us. That movie, "Her" (2013) when it first came out, I believed it to be wildly unrealistic technology for decades. Well I've changed my tune in four very short years. The incredible advancements in responsive AI, including understanding what we say, plus the context in which we are saying it, will make scenarios like "Her" highly likely in about 10 years, maybe less. Wow!
Super-intelligent computers will become better than humans at doing anything we can do
Not today, not next year, but in less than 20 years? Absolutely. Today we are teaching Google's AlphaGo how to play "StarCraft 2". A game that has an astronomical increase in the number of variables that are within the game "Go". As of the last update, it was not doing so well yet. It could not beat the simplest AI tutorial mode. The mode that humans use to learn the game. The goal of AlphaGo of course is to beat any and all humans at "StarCraft 2". A pretty tall order I'd say. It'll do it in about two years. Then we may have a new creature emerging, AGI. An AI that has the capability of generalizing to do any task assigned. Up to this point "AI" is a bit of a misnomer. It is mainly a perceptual illusion brought about by fantastically enormous amounts of data (big data) and almost unimaginably fast processing capabilities. "Google Translate" is a staggeringly amazing example of narrow AI you can see right now on your mobile. It even mimics the font style and color. Just, OMG! But even AGI is likely unaware/unconscious, although I bet it could trick you into thinking it's aware. It would have a pretty big arsenal to back up it abilities. It would have the ability to mimic the style I write in or speak. It would mimic the basics of how I think and reason. Turing test? No problemo. It will be able to do that context test.
Artificial intelligence will quickly overtake and outpace human intelligence
No myth this. Yes, narrow AI can do all sorts of things faster than humans, including humanlike skills like interpreting medical imagery a significant percentage better than radiologists, and successfully bluffing human players in poker. But when that AI beats all humans at "StarCraft 2". It will be able to do a lot of things better than humans. Like reason. Our greatest human chauvinism is that we believe that we shall control our AI. We think it will somehow stop advancing once it reaches human level intelligence as we think of human intelligence. I think the AI will cumulatively attain and hold human level intelligence like say that of a very smart 50 year old human--and then it will go off the charts. I think my guess of that taking a few seconds is off by magnitude of time length. It will probably be more like .000001 seconds. It will not only be smarter than us, it will be incomprehensible, unfathomable. This is what Elon Musk is worried about. And rightly so.
AI will lead to the destruction of(sic) (or) enslavement of the human race by superior robotic beings
There are two inquiries that can be asked of AI, AGI or EI (emergent intelligence) 1.Who controls the AI initially? 2.Can the AI ultimately be controlled at all?
I talked about this just the other day. I won't repeat myself. I'll just link this: (Well, a bit of repeating maybe.)
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/72lfzq/selfdriving_car_advocates_launch_ad_campaign_to/dnmgfxb/
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The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 7 months ago
Pretty soon everything on Earth will be 3D scanned and accessible at home as easily as Google maps, but in VR! With a level of detail and contour that may eliminate the need to ever actually need to travel in real life. Plus VR will enable superhuman powers like "flight" to see things by flying right up to them and hovering. It will enable the ability to see in other forms of light like IR or UV. Night vision will no longer be necessary of course. You will control the lighting at will. You will view detail at the microscopic level. I'm sure there are other boons to VR "travel" but I can't think of any others at the moment.
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This New Robot Has Been Designed to Get Beat Up Forever by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 7 months ago
Yes, I understand that we need to do this to ensure our robots are of the highest durability, to maintain 100% functionality, possible, but I hope our future AI/robot overlords appreciate our efforts and don't take this the wrong way.
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Richard Branson: In the Near Future, We'll Think It's "Archaic" to Kill Animals for Food by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
Most domesticated animals bred for human consumption also have a secondary use of equal importance. Like milk from cows and eggs from chickens and wool from sheep and so on. But I can't think of anything offhand that swine can provide aside from meat. What will happen to pigs when we don't need them for meat any longer? My point is that some animals now have a vast population due to humans breeding them in vast populations. When we perfect lab grown bacon (Me: It'll never happen.) we won't need so many pigs anymore? What would swine populations look like ten or twenty years into the future if, and that's a big if, we do manage to perfect lab grown bacon. Would we need pigs any longer. Oh and how about turkeys too? I forgot all about them!
And don't get any ideas, I am not eating any bugs. I don't care if they are formed into bacon. (Well maybe I'll try a tiny piece just to see...)
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CRISPR’s latest achievement? Taking the gluten out of wheat by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
Like I said about two hours ago...
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7312ub/crisprcas9_screen_points_to_potential/dnmqjtc/
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CRISPR-Cas9 Screen Points to Potential Vulnerabilities in KRAS-Mutated Colorectal Cancer by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
New CRISPR-Cas9 related discoveries are becoming a weekly, sometime daily thing. Imagine 5 years from now!
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US Coalesces Plans for First Exascale Supercomputer: Aurora in 2021 by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
That's a depressingly long time from today. I wonder what enhancing technologies will arise between now and then. I'm hoping that quantum computers that can be flexibly programmed will come along first and transcend the need for it. Yes I understand that potential quantum computers as we undertand them today cannot be programmed do any kind of classical computer tasks, but I am confident we can overcome all challenges.
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Current Challenges of Virtual Reality, Explained by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago
As a mass "pc dependent" VR consumer I want better resolution, better FOV and better framerate (sometimes). Here is a VR hmd that is being developed in China just now. It's interesting to me. I have had an Oculus Rift since June 2016. I've tried many forms of VR entertainment. Despite low resolution, restricted FOV and some buffering problems, it is still overwhelmingly amazing. It is the future.
Wireless would be nice too, but truthfully tethering is low on my list of needed improvements.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuVWs9IZIvk&t=60s China developed hmd. Sounds promising indeed.
submitted by izumi3682 to u/izumi3682 [link] [comments]

Izumi Archives

Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 3 points 6 months ago
It moves a bit slow just yet, but I bet it moves pretty quick in a year or two. And of course the implications of that. I can't wait to see the next iteration of the DARPA robotics challenge. Lord, it's going to look like a scary science fiction movie. But in real life! :O
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The pioneering CityAirbus quadcopter takes big step toward production by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
It's a Cambrian explosion of autonomous human transporting drone-like vehicles! For the first time ever I saw, just yesterday(!) a human carrying drone, carrying a human! I thought this would take like ten years to unfold. It's unfolding this year! :O
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/743czf/passenger_drone_completes_its_first_manned_flight/dnwc5an/
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Mathematicians, programmers create superior classical algorithms to push off quantum supremacy by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 6 months ago
Seems to me there would be no losers in a race like this. And human civilization will benefit enormously. If improvements in classical computers make it even more challenging for quantum computers to achieve "quantum supremacy", I'm all for it!
So I have to ask--Are we figuring out clever human tricks to get around the limitations of "Moore's Law" as if it were no longer an issue? I wonder that "Moore's Law" simply reflects technical innovations from an earlier time. And may no longer effectively apply today. Sure the hardware processing speeds are slowing but are we "transcending" it regardless?
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Passenger Drone completes its first manned flight by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
My God! Do you see what we are looking at?? This is the freaking future! Do you believe that we are just going to stop development of these devices and say "Oh we should just give this up--it's never going to pan out."
No, what I see here is an unmistakable "Kitty Hawk" moment. Absolutely the first time I've ever seen such footage. This is the beginning of an incredible brave new world. Just imagine what these will look like in 5 years. In 10 years we will all be in them. In fact I made a comment on the possibility of human carrying drones about 5 months ago...
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/67hb6lets_face_it_flying_cars_are_never_going_to_be_a/dgqi2f?context=3
But let me ask you this. The AI that is required to fly thousands, nay millions of these at once, safely and efficiently--what else would that AI be capable of?
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Networked self-driving cars are smarter and safer by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 6 months ago
I always figured that the full implementation of level 5 autonomy SDVs would include the combination of intrinsic AI, mapping and networking. Satellite enabled inter-vehicle communication so that no vehicle is ever "surprised" by the actions of another vehicle or route environment situation or status. This is why I've always maintained there will never be a "trolley problem" incident if the everything is working correctly.
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Ford will put more money into electric, connected trucks and SUVs by phonys in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 6 months ago
People will vote with their pocketbooks. As the incredibly easier to manage technology of EVs mixed with level 5 autonomy continues to develop and scale, internal combustion engines will strongly resemble the horse as perceived in the year 1910--on the way out. By the year 1920 horses have vanished from public transportation.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6cmyom/electric_car_will_have_lower_cost_of_ownership/dhvtcop/
This is how fast horses disappeared. In retrospect it's a pretty staggering paradigm shift. And after about 4,000 years of non-stop use too. Gone in a flash!
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/68m3o6/india_to_make_every_single_car_electric_by_2030/dh2ohf7/
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Samsung’s Windows Mixed Reality headset feels like an impressive Oculus Rift competitor by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 5 points 6 months ago
I have an Oculus Rift and I've been delighted with it. But. I understand that I am an "early adopter". I understand that my experience would be limited by the technology available. The resolution is rather low, the FOV is limited (like being in a scuba or ski mask--but still seeing all around you just fine when you move your head). Really I don't care about the tethering that much.
But when better technology comes along, as it inevitably does, then I will go again for the new tech. As a bonus this device is cheaper than a rift too, but it's technical specs are already impressive. I'll watch this space with interest.
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How 3-D Printers Could Erase a Quarter of Global Trade by 2060 by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 7 points 6 months ago
Wow! 2060!? I'll be a hundred. Hopefully I'll have some aging reversal on me by then.
I suspect that by the year 2060, it will be a substantially different world than today. The "technological singularity" will have happened almost 15 years earlier. I imagine certain ways of doing things (capitalism) will be "gone with the wind" by then. AI merged with our minds and post-scarcity I hope.
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Utilities Should Charge Into Electric Vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago
In a report published Tuesday called "From Gas to Grid", analysts at the Rocky Mountain Institute point out there could be 2.9 million electric vehicles on the road within five years..., adding about 11 terawatt-hours of demand -- equivalent to creating another New Hampshire.
Me: Which is why we need to hurry up and get fusion going. Just imagine the future!
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The White House and Equifax Agree: Social Security Numbers Should Go by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 33 points 6 months ago
Perhaps some kind of, I don't know, mark on our hand and forehead. And with it we can buy and sell! That's the ticket!
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Google's A.I. has nearly twice the IQ of Siri, study says — but a six-year-old child is smarter than both (arXiv paper) by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 2 points 6 months ago
Gee, I just said all this in reference to a related article earlier today!
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
It will--in less than 5 years. It's all going to happen so fast. Really, nobody is ready. Not even me, taking it all in, watching in fascination and a healthy dollop of trepidation as it all unfolds.
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
No, it's five bullet points. I just checked. It continues onto the next page. Read what I have to say above.
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 6 points 6 months ago
I posted this because these "myths" strike me as an attempt to soothe peoples' fears concerning narrow AI, the advent of AGI and potentially EI (emergent intelligence) I will take each of his 5 points in turn. TL;DR: These aren't myths. This is a "tsunami". Well visible now. Fast approaching. Inexorable and overwhelming.
AI is going to replace all jobs
AI/robotics/automation will take enough jobs that unemployment will reach a critical economic tipping point that if the AI were to take any more occupations it would be a moot point. The problem is that the AI is being developed light years faster than what occurred in the industrial revolution. The acclimation of humans to the industrial revolution took nearly 150 years. Generationally easy to learn new skills and outlooks. And even then there was plenty of disruption and new accompanying ideas and philosophy ("Marxist communism"). People died like flies while the industrial revolution took place because of effects (American Civil War, WWI) of the industrial revolution. Once things more or less settled down (temporarily) by around 1918. It was a very different world from that of say, 1730.
We are not going to get that kind of "grace period" this time around. The changes that took 150 years before will take about 20 years tops this time. Not enough time for retraining. Not enough time for economic reform. Not enough time for humans to acclimate to a new reality as far removed from today as today is removed from the year 1730. And I stress, 20 years. So compact all them troubles of 150 years down to about 15 years or so. Plus all of the exponential advancements (scary changes) leading up to the world of 20 years from now. Better believe the US government is aware. And it's alarmed!
Worrisome US government report from Dec 2016
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF
Only low-skilled and manual workers will be replaced by AI and automation
I just want to add to this statement, because it's thought is incomplete. I bet the very last occupation to be replaced by AI/robotics/automation would be hairstylist or perhaps plastic surgeon. Both of these skills are of the highest cognitive order to please a human client subjectively. Once the AI can do these two skills to the point that humans prefer AI over that of humans there is little else the AI cannot do. Which brings me to my point that "creativity, insight and empathy" are safe from encroachment by AI. They are not. In fact, I will prophesy that in as little as 5 years humans may come to prefer music and certain art media developed exclusively by algorithm over that executed by "inferior" human artists. This is just narrow AI too. It's just already that good at "knowing" (that's what "big data" does, it enables "knowing") what pushes our emotional buttons. Our little mobile AI assistants will come to know us well enough to empathize with our bad day, or to soothe us. That movie, "Her" (2013) when it first came out, I believed it to be wildly unrealistic technology for decades. Well I've changed my tune in four very short years. The incredible advancements in responsive AI, including understanding what we say, plus the context in which we are saying it, will make scenarios like "Her" highly likely in about 10 years, maybe less. Wow!
Super-intelligent computers will become better than humans at doing anything we can do
Not today, not next year, but in less than 20 years? Absolutely. Today we are teaching Google's AlphaGo how to play "StarCraft 2". A game that has an astronomical increase in the number of variables that are within the game "Go". As of the last update, it was not doing so well yet. It could not beat the simplest AI tutorial mode. The mode that humans use to learn the game. The goal of AlphaGo of course is to beat any and all humans at "StarCraft 2". A pretty tall order I'd say. It'll do it in about two years. Then we may have a new creature emerging, AGI. An AI that has the capability of generalizing to do any task assigned. Up to this point "AI" is a bit of a misnomer. It is mainly a perceptual illusion brought about by fantastically enormous amounts of data (big data) and almost unimaginably fast processing capabilities. "Google Translate" is a staggeringly amazing example of narrow AI you can see right now on your mobile. It even mimics the font style and color. Just, OMG! But even AGI is likely unaware/unconscious, although I bet it could trick you into thinking it's aware. It would have a pretty big arsenal to back up it abilities. It would have the ability to mimic the style I write in or speak. It would mimic the basics of how I think and reason. Turing test? No problemo. It will be able to do that context test.
Artificial intelligence will quickly overtake and outpace human intelligence
No myth this. Yes, narrow AI can do all sorts of things faster than humans, including humanlike skills like interpreting medical imagery a significant percentage better than radiologists, and successfully bluffing human players in poker. But when that AI beats all humans at "StarCraft 2". It will be able to do a lot of things better than humans. Like reason. Our greatest human chauvinism is that we believe that we shall control our AI. We think it will somehow stop advancing once it reaches human level intelligence as we think of human intelligence. I think the AI will cumulatively attain and hold human level intelligence like say that of a very smart 50 year old human--and then it will go off the charts. I think my guess of that taking a few seconds is off by magnitude of time length. It will probably be more like .000001 seconds. It will not only be smarter than us, it will be incomprehensible, unfathomable. This is what Elon Musk is worried about. And rightly so.
AI will lead to the destruction of(sic) (or) enslavement of the human race by superior robotic beings
There are two inquiries that can be asked of AI, AGI or EI (emergent intelligence) 1.Who controls the AI initially? 2.Can the AI ultimately be controlled at all?
I talked about this just the other day. I won't repeat myself. I'll just link this: (Well, a bit of repeating maybe.)
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/72lfzq/selfdriving_car_advocates_launch_ad_campaign_to/dnmgfxb/
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The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago
Pretty soon everything on Earth will be 3D scanned and accessible at home as easily as Google maps, but in VR! With a level of detail and contour that may eliminate the need to ever actually need to travel in real life. Plus VR will enable superhuman powers like "flight" to see things by flying right up to them and hovering. It will enable the ability to see in other forms of light like IR or UV. Night vision will no longer be necessary of course. You will control the lighting at will. You will view detail at the microscopic level. I'm sure there are other boons to VR "travel" but I can't think of any others at the moment.
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This New Robot Has Been Designed to Get Beat Up Forever by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago
Yes, I understand that we need to do this to ensure our robots are of the highest durability, to maintain 100% functionality, possible, but I hope our future AI/robot overlords appreciate our efforts and don't take this the wrong way.
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Richard Branson: In the Near Future, We'll Think It's "Archaic" to Kill Animals for Food by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
Most domesticated animals bred for human consumption also have a secondary use of equal importance. Like milk from cows and eggs from chickens and wool from sheep and so on. But I can't think of anything offhand that swine can provide aside from meat. What will happen to pigs when we don't need them for meat any longer? My point is that some animals now have a vast population due to humans breeding them in vast populations. When we perfect lab grown bacon (Me: It'll never happen.) we won't need so many pigs anymore? What would swine populations look like ten or twenty years into the future if, and that's a big if, we do manage to perfect lab grown bacon. Would we need pigs any longer. Oh and how about turkeys too? I forgot all about them!
And don't get any ideas, I am not eating any bugs. I don't care if they are formed into bacon. (Well maybe I'll try a tiny piece just to see...)
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CRISPR’s latest achievement? Taking the gluten out of wheat by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
Like I said about two hours ago...
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7312ub/crisprcas9_screen_points_to_potential/dnmqjtc/
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CRISPR-Cas9 Screen Points to Potential Vulnerabilities in KRAS-Mutated Colorectal Cancer by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
New CRISPR-Cas9 related discoveries are becoming a weekly, sometime daily thing. Imagine 5 years from now!
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US Coalesces Plans for First Exascale Supercomputer: Aurora in 2021 by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
That's a depressingly long time from today. I wonder what enhancing technologies will arise between now and then. I'm hoping that quantum computers that can be flexibly programmed will come along first and transcend the need for it. Yes I understand that potential quantum computers as we undertand them today cannot be programmed do any kind of classical computer tasks, but I am confident we can overcome all challenges.
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Current Challenges of Virtual Reality, Explained by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
As a mass "pc dependent" VR consumer I want better resolution, better FOV and better framerate (sometimes). Here is a VR hmd that is being developed in China just now. It's interesting to me. I have had an Oculus Rift since June 2016. I've tried many forms of VR entertainment. Despite low resolution, restricted FOV and some buffering problems, it is still overwhelmingly amazing. It is the future.
Wireless would be nice too, but truthfully tethering is low on my list of needed improvements.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuVWs9IZIvk&t=60s China developed hmd. Sounds promising indeed.
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Geoengineering May Be Our Only Hope for Surviving Climate Change by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
If you think trying to guess where a hurricane is going to go in more than 3 days is "tricky", imagine trying to intervene/interfere with immense, utterly vast natural climatic processes operating through poorly understood "chaos theory", already distorted by human factors. Lots of opportunity for "unintended consequences". Best to just try to stop what is doing the distorting and adapt the best we can to what we have already wrought. Fooling with the atmosphere to "fix it" seems risky (Or more likely, totally ineffective, yet unbelievably costly).
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Brain Scanner Mask Is 4x More Effective Than MRIs by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
Wow! Just look at all the obviously 3D printed elements of that contraption. It will be easy to multiply.
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Look Out, Wall Street -€” the Robot Revolution Has Begun by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
However, there will still be a market for human qualities like trust and empathy.
I'm not so sure about that. It will be difficult for humans to override logical algorithms when it comes to risk. For the most part the humans that remain will never come into any contact with humans that need like a loan for example. True facelessness and true despair and rage.
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US military working on constant connections and updates between all ships, planes and vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
This give me great confidence that such inter-communication between SDVs will not be so difficult to implement. No "trolley problems" ever.
Hopefully this doesn't also more easily facilitate "Skynet".
submitted by izumi3682 to u/izumi3682 [link] [comments]

Izumi Archives

Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 3 points 6 months ago
It moves a bit slow just yet, but I bet it moves pretty quick in a year or two. And of course the implications of that. I can't wait to see the next iteration of the DARPA robotics challenge. Lord, it's going to look like a scary science fiction movie. But in real life! :O
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The pioneering CityAirbus quadcopter takes big step toward production by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
It's a Cambrian explosion of autonomous human transporting drone-like vehicles! For the first time ever I saw, just yesterday(!) a human carrying drone, carrying a human! I thought this would take like ten years to unfold. It's unfolding this year! :O
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/743czf/passenger_drone_completes_its_first_manned_flight/dnwc5an/
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Mathematicians, programmers create superior classical algorithms to push off quantum supremacy by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 6 months ago
Seems to me there would be no losers in a race like this. And human civilization will benefit enormously. If improvements in classical computers make it even more challenging for quantum computers to achieve "quantum supremacy", I'm all for it!
So I have to ask--Are we figuring out clever human tricks to get around the limitations of "Moore's Law" as if it were no longer an issue? I wonder that "Moore's Law" simply reflects technical innovations from an earlier time. And may no longer effectively apply today. Sure the hardware processing speeds are slowing but are we "transcending" it regardless?
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Passenger Drone completes its first manned flight by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
My God! Do you see what we are looking at?? This is the freaking future! Do you believe that we are just going to stop development of these devices and say "Oh we should just give this up--it's never going to pan out."
No, what I see here is an unmistakable "Kitty Hawk" moment. Absolutely the first time I've ever seen such footage. This is the beginning of an incredible brave new world. Just imagine what these will look like in 5 years. In 10 years we will all be in them. In fact I made a comment on the possibility of human carrying drones about 5 months ago...
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/67hb6lets_face_it_flying_cars_are_never_going_to_be_a/dgqi2f?context=3
But let me ask you this. The AI that is required to fly thousands, nay millions of these at once, safely and efficiently--what else would that AI be capable of?
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Networked self-driving cars are smarter and safer by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago
I always figured that the full implementation of level 5 autonomy SDVs would include the combination of intrinsic AI, mapping and networking. Satellite enabled inter-vehicle communication so that no vehicle is ever "surprised" by the actions of another vehicle or route environment situation or status. This is why I've always maintained there will never be a "trolley problem" incident if the everything is working correctly.
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Ford will put more money into electric, connected trucks and SUVs by phonys in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 6 months ago
People will vote with their pocketbooks. As the incredibly easier to manage technology of EVs mixed with level 5 autonomy continues to develop and scale, internal combustion engines will strongly resemble the horse as perceived in the year 1910--on the way out. By the year 1920 horses have vanished from public transportation.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6cmyom/electric_car_will_have_lower_cost_of_ownership/dhvtcop/
This is how fast horses disappeared. In retrospect it's a pretty staggering paradigm shift. And after about 4,000 years of non-stop use too. Gone in a flash!
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/68m3o6/india_to_make_every_single_car_electric_by_2030/dh2ohf7/
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Samsung’s Windows Mixed Reality headset feels like an impressive Oculus Rift competitor by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago
I have an Oculus Rift and I've been delighted with it. But. I understand that I am an "early adopter". I understand that my experience would be limited by the technology available. The resolution is rather low, the FOV is limited (like being in a scuba or ski mask--but still seeing all around you just fine when you move your head). Really I don't care about the tethering that much.
But when better technology comes along, as it inevitably does, then I will go again for the new tech. As a bonus this device is cheaper than a rift too, but it's technical specs are already impressive. I'll watch this space with interest.
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How 3-D Printers Could Erase a Quarter of Global Trade by 2060 by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 8 points 6 months ago
Wow! 2060!? I'll be a hundred. Hopefully I'll have some aging reversal on me by then.
I suspect that by the year 2060, it will be a substantially different world than today. The "technological singularity" will have happened almost 15 years earlier. I imagine certain ways of doing things (capitalism) will be "gone with the wind" by then. AI merged with our minds and post-scarcity I hope.
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Utilities Should Charge Into Electric Vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago
In a report published Tuesday called "From Gas to Grid", analysts at the Rocky Mountain Institute point out there could be 2.9 million electric vehicles on the road within five years..., adding about 11 terawatt-hours of demand -- equivalent to creating another New Hampshire.
Me: Which is why we need to hurry up and get fusion going. Just imagine the future!
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The White House and Equifax Agree: Social Security Numbers Should Go by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 31 points 6 months ago
Perhaps some kind of, I don't know, mark on our hand and forehead. And with it we can buy and sell! That's the ticket!
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Google's A.I. has nearly twice the IQ of Siri, study says — but a six-year-old child is smarter than both (arXiv paper) by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 2 points 6 months ago
Gee, I just said all this in reference to a related article earlier today!
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
It will--in less than 5 years. It's all going to happen so fast. Really, nobody is ready. Not even me, taking it all in, watching in fascination and a healthy dollop of trepidation as it all unfolds.
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
No, it's five bullet points. I just checked. It continues onto the next page. Read what I have to say above.
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5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago
I posted this because these "myths" strike me as an attempt to soothe peoples' fears concerning narrow AI, the advent of AGI and potentially EI (emergent intelligence) I will take each of his 5 points in turn. TL;DR: These aren't myths. This is a "tsunami". Well visible now. Fast approaching. Inexorable and overwhelming.
AI is going to replace all jobs
AI/robotics/automation will take enough jobs that unemployment will reach a critical economic tipping point that if the AI were to take any more occupations it would be a moot point. The problem is that the AI is being developed light years faster than what occurred in the industrial revolution. The acclimation of humans to the industrial revolution took nearly 150 years. Generationally easy to learn new skills and outlooks. And even then there was plenty of disruption and new accompanying ideas and philosophy ("Marxist communism"). People died like flies while the industrial revolution took place because of effects (American Civil War, WWI) of the industrial revolution. Once things more or less settled down (temporarily) by around 1918. It was a very different world from that of say, 1730.
We are not going to get that kind of "grace period" this time around. The changes that took 150 years before will take about 20 years tops this time. Not enough time for retraining. Not enough time for economic reform. Not enough time for humans to acclimate to a new reality as far removed from today as today is removed from the year 1730. And I stress, 20 years. So compact all them troubles of 150 years down to about 15 years or so. Plus all of the exponential advancements (scary changes) leading up to the world of 20 years from now. Better believe the US government is aware. And it's alarmed!
Worrisome US government report from Dec 2016
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF
Only low-skilled and manual workers will be replaced by AI and automation
I just want to add to this statement, because it's thought is incomplete. I bet the very last occupation to be replaced by AI/robotics/automation would be hairstylist or perhaps plastic surgeon. Both of these skills are of the highest cognitive order to please a human client subjectively. Once the AI can do these two skills to the point that humans prefer AI over that of humans there is little else the AI cannot do. Which brings me to my point that "creativity, insight and empathy" are safe from encroachment by AI. They are not. In fact, I will prophesy that in as little as 5 years humans may come to prefer music and certain art media developed exclusively by algorithm over that executed by "inferior" human artists. This is just narrow AI too. It's just already that good at "knowing" (that's what "big data" does, it enables "knowing") what pushes our emotional buttons. Our little mobile AI assistants will come to know us well enough to empathize with our bad day, or to soothe us. That movie, "Her" (2013) when it first came out, I believed it to be wildly unrealistic technology for decades. Well I've changed my tune in four very short years. The incredible advancements in responsive AI, including understanding what we say, plus the context in which we are saying it, will make scenarios like "Her" highly likely in about 10 years, maybe less. Wow!
Super-intelligent computers will become better than humans at doing anything we can do
Not today, not next year, but in less than 20 years? Absolutely. Today we are teaching Google's AlphaGo how to play "StarCraft 2". A game that has an astronomical increase in the number of variables that are within the game "Go". As of the last update, it was not doing so well yet. It could not beat the simplest AI tutorial mode. The mode that humans use to learn the game. The goal of AlphaGo of course is to beat any and all humans at "StarCraft 2". A pretty tall order I'd say. It'll do it in about two years. Then we may have a new creature emerging, AGI. An AI that has the capability of generalizing to do any task assigned. Up to this point "AI" is a bit of a misnomer. It is mainly a perceptual illusion brought about by fantastically enormous amounts of data (big data) and almost unimaginably fast processing capabilities. "Google Translate" is a staggeringly amazing example of narrow AI you can see right now on your mobile. It even mimics the font style and color. Just, OMG! But even AGI is likely unaware/unconscious, although I bet it could trick you into thinking it's aware. It would have a pretty big arsenal to back up it abilities. It would have the ability to mimic the style I write in or speak. It would mimic the basics of how I think and reason. Turing test? No problemo. It will be able to do that context test.
Artificial intelligence will quickly overtake and outpace human intelligence
No myth this. Yes, narrow AI can do all sorts of things faster than humans, including humanlike skills like interpreting medical imagery a significant percentage better than radiologists, and successfully bluffing human players in poker. But when that AI beats all humans at "StarCraft 2". It will be able to do a lot of things better than humans. Like reason. Our greatest human chauvinism is that we believe that we shall control our AI. We think it will somehow stop advancing once it reaches human level intelligence as we think of human intelligence. I think the AI will cumulatively attain and hold human level intelligence like say that of a very smart 50 year old human--and then it will go off the charts. I think my guess of that taking a few seconds is off by magnitude of time length. It will probably be more like .000001 seconds. It will not only be smarter than us, it will be incomprehensible, unfathomable. This is what Elon Musk is worried about. And rightly so.
AI will lead to the destruction of(sic) (or) enslavement of the human race by superior robotic beings
There are two inquiries that can be asked of AI, AGI or EI (emergent intelligence) 1.Who controls the AI initially? 2.Can the AI ultimately be controlled at all?
I talked about this just the other day. I won't repeat myself. I'll just link this: (Well, a bit of repeating maybe.)
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/72lfzq/selfdriving_car_advocates_launch_ad_campaign_to/dnmgfxb/
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The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago
Pretty soon everything on Earth will be 3D scanned and accessible at home as easily as Google maps, but in VR! With a level of detail and contour that may eliminate the need to ever actually need to travel in real life. Plus VR will enable superhuman powers like "flight" to see things by flying right up to them and hovering. It will enable the ability to see in other forms of light like IR or UV. Night vision will no longer be necessary of course. You will control the lighting at will. You will view detail at the microscopic level. I'm sure there are other boons to VR "travel" but I can't think of any others at the moment.
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This New Robot Has Been Designed to Get Beat Up Forever by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago
Yes, I understand that we need to do this to ensure our robots are of the highest durability, to maintain 100% functionality, possible, but I hope our future AI/robot overlords appreciate our efforts and don't take this the wrong way.
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Richard Branson: In the Near Future, We'll Think It's "Archaic" to Kill Animals for Food by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
Most domesticated animals bred for human consumption also have a secondary use of equal importance. Like milk from cows and eggs from chickens and wool from sheep and so on. But I can't think of anything offhand that swine can provide aside from meat. What will happen to pigs when we don't need them for meat any longer? My point is that some animals now have a vast population due to humans breeding them in vast populations. When we perfect lab grown bacon (Me: It'll never happen.) we won't need so many pigs anymore? What would swine populations look like ten or twenty years into the future if, and that's a big if, we do manage to perfect lab grown bacon. Would we need pigs any longer. Oh and how about turkeys too? I forgot all about them!
And don't get any ideas, I am not eating any bugs. I don't care if they are formed into bacon. (Well maybe I'll try a tiny piece just to see...)
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CRISPR’s latest achievement? Taking the gluten out of wheat by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
Like I said about two hours ago...
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7312ub/crisprcas9_screen_points_to_potential/dnmqjtc/
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CRISPR-Cas9 Screen Points to Potential Vulnerabilities in KRAS-Mutated Colorectal Cancer by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
New CRISPR-Cas9 related discoveries are becoming a weekly, sometime daily thing. Imagine 5 years from now!
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US Coalesces Plans for First Exascale Supercomputer: Aurora in 2021 by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
That's a depressingly long time from today. I wonder what enhancing technologies will arise between now and then. I'm hoping that quantum computers that can be flexibly programmed will come along first and transcend the need for it. Yes I understand that potential quantum computers as we undertand them today cannot be programmed do any kind of classical computer tasks, but I am confident we can overcome all challenges.
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Current Challenges of Virtual Reality, Explained by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
As a mass "pc dependent" VR consumer I want better resolution, better FOV and better framerate (sometimes). Here is a VR hmd that is being developed in China just now. It's interesting to me. I have had an Oculus Rift since June 2016. I've tried many forms of VR entertainment. Despite low resolution, restricted FOV and some buffering problems, it is still overwhelmingly amazing. It is the future.
Wireless would be nice too, but truthfully tethering is low on my list of needed improvements.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuVWs9IZIvk&t=60s China developed hmd. Sounds promising indeed.
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Geoengineering May Be Our Only Hope for Surviving Climate Change by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
If you think trying to guess where a hurricane is going to go in more than 3 days is "tricky", imagine trying to intervene/interfere with immense, utterly vast natural climatic processes operating through poorly understood "chaos theory", already distorted by human factors. Lots of opportunity for "unintended consequences". Best to just try to stop what is doing the distorting and adapt the best we can to what we have already wrought. Fooling with the atmosphere to "fix it" seems risky (Or more likely, totally ineffective, yet unbelievably costly).
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Brain Scanner Mask Is 4x More Effective Than MRIs by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
Wow! Just look at all the obviously 3D printed elements of that contraption. It will be easy to multiply.
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Look Out, Wall Street -€” the Robot Revolution Has Begun by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
However, there will still be a market for human qualities like trust and empathy.
I'm not so sure about that. It will be difficult for humans to override logical algorithms when it comes to risk. For the most part the humans that remain will never come into any contact with humans that need like a loan for example. True facelessness and true despair and rage.
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US military working on constant connections and updates between all ships, planes and vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago
This give me great confidence that such inter-communication between SDVs will not be so difficult to implement. No "trolley problems" ever.
Hopefully this doesn't also more easily facilitate "Skynet".
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