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Preview of the Commonwealth Turf Stakes and more

Gulfstream Park West
Race: 4 (1:26 PM EST Post)
Sunshine Millions Classic Preview
Art G Is Back is 0 for 6 on the turf and 4 for 6 on the dirt, so he’ll clearly be returning to his favorite surface in this spot. If you ignore the two turf races in his last five starts, you’ll see three straight, convincing (dirt) wins. Gray colt by Exchange Rate is tactical and draws a good post here…..looks best……………..The almost white, very popular, veteran Mr. Jordan has been beaten by a combined 36 lengths in his last two starts. Having said that, this guy must be considered being he is 5 for 5 on this oval and has been on the board in 9 of 11 starts at this distance…………….Richard the Great came back running off a 13 month layoff when he wired a field of $35,000 claimers by a colossal margin last time out. Seven year old by Distorted Humor steps up and stretches out here but the question is, does he “bounce” of such a humongous effort or does he improve further? Your call from there.

Aqueduct Racetrack
Race: 8 (3:20 PM EST Post)
Artie Schiller Stakes
I found this race tough to figure as 7 or 8 of them have chance. What was not tough to figure is, with several early burners in here, the pace figures to be wicked fast. That said, logically, I looked at the late runners and came up with Frontier Market, who has been first or second in 10 of 11 careers starts. The six year old by Lemon Drop Kid was flying low, late and just missed in his last, the rail post is winning at a 28% clip early in this meet and arguably the best rider in the country gets the leg up…………….Narrow margin over Caribou Club who also does his best running late, has 9 career wins (second most in the field) and finished in front of my top choice last time out……………..Dr. Edgar has good speed, drops in class and cuts back in distance here. This six year old son of Lookin’ at Lucky’s last race was first rate as he set the pace vs. much better and was still hanging around in deep stretch. Also note, although being run down late in that last race, he did get the final furlong in a very good :12.1…could easily outrun this rating………………..….Honorable Mentions. Linda Rice appears to have the extremely popular Voodoo Song back in top form based off his last two races. Although he loves this distance, I only put him this far down because he’s in against opens and his last several races vs. open company were ….meh….not so great………...........Gidu see Dr. Edgar as this $457,000 son of Frankel, who remains one of the best I’ve ever seen, as he has good speed and tumbles in class quite a bit……………….Golden Brown had won 3 of his prior 4 before chasing the talented Coal Front in his last. Gelding by Offlee Wild is 3 for 6 on the turf and could be a menace in this spot at what will most likely be some hefty odds………………….Curlin’s Honor is a $1,500,000 son of Curlin who invades from Canada after being “right there” at the wire in Grade: 2 and Grade: 3 races in his last couple of races, so this should be a drop in class for him as well.

Churchill Downs
Race: 10 (5:36 PM EST Post)
Commonwealth Turf Stakes
Spectacular Gem has crossed the finish line first in 3 of his 4 turf starts, including back to back Stakes races. Obscurely bred, good looking colt appears to be in career form right now as well………………Tracksmith has yet to run a bad race in 2019 including making a big, late run at my top choice last time out. Figures bang up here…………….Tiz Plus has won 5 of his last 6 including winning a three pronged stretch battle last time out. Steps up but in his current form, he could be a menace late…………………Honorable Mentions: Faraway Kitten finished within shouting distance of my top choice last time out, is 3 for 4 at this distance sports a 12-5-0-3 overall record……………Pirate’s Punch has improved leap and bounds since the 4th of July but tries turf for the first time here. What’s rule #1 in Horse Racing Betting 101? That right…..“Never bet a horse who is trying something for the first time”. Of course, his trainer being 0 for 10 with turf debut runners doesn’t help either.
By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [email protected] 2019- Record: 76-222 = 34% 2018- Record: 107-261= 41% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A 2010- Record: 24-74= 33%
Little Bets N’ Pieces
**** Thunder Snow, the first horse ever to win back-to-back Dubai World Cups, has been retired from racing.
Breeding plans are still in the works for the globetrotting, fan favorite.

**** Blue Prize, the upset winner of the Breeders’ Cup Distaff last weekend, sold for an eye popping $5 million at the Fasig-Tipton Kentucky sales earlier this week.

**** Lil Indy, the dam of multiple Grade:1 winner Maximum Security, sold to Summer Wind Equine for $1.85 million.
A 12-year-old daughter of Anasheed, Lil Indy was consigned by Lane's End as Hip 13. She is believed to be in foal to Quality Road

**** Yoshida has been retired and will stand the upcoming breeding season at WinStar Farm. He will stand for $20,000.
“Yoshida proved to be a versatile racehorse, winning prestigious Grade: 1 races on dirt and turf,” said Sean Tugel, director of bloodstock services and assistant racing manager at WinStar. “He is out of a very fast Grade 1-winning mare and brings back the Sunday Silence/Halo blood to America through his sire Heart’s Cry. He is an outstanding physical that possesses heart as a racehorse that everyone is looking to breed into their foals.”

**** Two-time Grade 1 winner Paradise Woods has officially been retired from racing. The 5-year-old daughter of Union Rags finished last of 11 in the aforementioned Breeders' Cup Distaff.
Trainer John Shirreffs mentioned she will be sent to Lane's End Farm to begin a broodmare career.
Paradise Woods retires with earnings of $1,123,890 and a record of 5-3-3 from 18 career starts.
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Previews of the United Nations; Ohio Derby and more

Thistledown
Race: 9 (5:10 PM EST Post)
Ohio Derby
Global Campaign was super impressive while winning the Peter Pan at Belmont last time out, his third win in four career tries. This half brother to the mega talented Bolt d’Oro stalked fast fractions (:46 & 1:10) before taking command of that race and finishing nine furlongs in a smoking 1:46.3. The son of Curlin got the last furlong in a strong :12.1 that day and had a legitimate excuse (“grabbed a quarter”) in his one and only loss…………..Narrow margin over fast closing, third place Preakness finisher Owendale. This very handsome son of Into Mischief was a ridiculous seven wide on the turn in the middle jewel of the Triple Crown yet was only beaten by 1 ½ lengths to War of Will. Tack on the visually impressive, monster move on the far turn in winning the Lexington Stakes two back and the bullet work last week (5F- :59.2) and you should have a colt who merits a ton of respect in this spot…………………..It’s pretty clear that the stretch running Long Range Toddy didn’t care for the slop in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby (both Grade:1’s) his last two times out. If you draw lines through both of those races, you’ll see that this colt by Take Charge Indy is as consistent as the day is long as his 7-4-1-1 record would indicate. This Steve Asmussen trainee should like this distance, drops in class and should get a fast track, where he does his best running, come Saturday............................Honorable Mentions: Bethlehem Road is 3 for 3 at Parx, including a minor Stakes win, and is proven at a distance of ground. That said, he’ll be taking an enormous class hike and the :32.4 seconds is took him to run the approximately last 2 ½ furlongs in his last won’t cut it in this spot…………………….Math Wizard is versatile but has speed and draws the rail, so I expect him to come out running here. Although he disappointed as the favorite in a weaker field than this last time out, note the “sneaky” good fourth at 64-1 in the Wood Memorial two starts back and his work patterns/times since May couldn’t be much better…………………….Dare Day has the distinction of being the only horse in this field with a race over the track. This obscurely bred gelding annihilated Ohio state bred maidens and Ohio state bred first level allowances foes in his first two starts as well. His speed figures say he’s not completely out of it but the 15-1 morning line odds are probably about right.

Monmouth Park
Race: 7 (3:33 PM EST Post)
Eatontown Stakes

Although this race drew just six it is a very well matched field as I’m seeing four or five with a good chance to win it. That said, I’ll gingerly take Valedictorian, who although disappointed last time out, rarely throws in a “clunker” as her 20 of 27 on the board finishes, including 11 wins, would indicate. Note, she is 3 for 4 on the Monmouth turf course and also note the supersonic (:22.3) final quarter mile she ran two races back………………………… Inflexibility is a $340,000 daughter of the late Scat Daddy who probably needed her race at Pimlico on May 18 as she was coming off an over 200 day layoff. This five year old mare was 1 for 6 last year but you should take notice of the company she was keeping as they included Champion Sistercharlie, Santa Monica and A Raving Beauty. She will meet no such rivals here and she should be tighter in this race…………………..My Sistersledge made up 13 lengths in the last 6 ½ furlongs in a minor Stakes race on this very turf course last time out. Although it was against lesser caliber foes, note that race was her first start in 216 days. Five year old mare was 4 for 8 last year, so she likes winning and she also should be tighter for this……………Honorable Mentions: Maid to Remember shipped in from overseas and rallied from dead last after completely missing the break in her U.S. debut to just miss beating an allowance field……..quietly looms a threat in this spot………………The owners paid $5,000 for Dynatail and thus far she’s earned almost 100 times that amount including winning three of her last four. Big step up in class here however.

Race: 10 (5:00 PM EST Post)
Philip Iselin Stakes

Although every single one of them was at Charles Town, Runnin’toluvya has all “1’s” down his entire past performance page. This obscurely bred gelding has won an eye popping 10 in a row, from six to nine furlongs, and 13 of 17 in his career overall. This speedy gray doesn’t necessarily have to have the lead either as he can “sit the trip” as well. Hard to go against a horse who all he does is win and beat his main competition fair and square two races back, even if he is “venturing out” of his comfort zone……………………..Try as he may, Diamond King could not get past my top pick down the lane two starts back. This son of Quality Road always fires his best shot as his 10 of 13 on the board finishes, including five wins state. He goes first time blinkers here, so it’ll be interesting to see how he reacts to that……………………….. It’s a good thing I can use his number to bet him because I have no idea how to pronounce Monongahela correctly. Albeit, he is 0 for his last 11 races, he’s run very well in most of them with speed figures that either match or exceed the top two in here. Looks best of the rest and could actually better this rating……………………….Bal Harbour is another who always “shows up”. Note how this son of the sleek looking First Samurai missed the break in his last but was less than three lengths behind Diamond King at the finish. Outside shot here, especially with a clean break.

Race: 11 (5:28 PM EST Post)
United Nations
After winning three of his last four, Focus Group disappointed as the roughly 5/2 favorite in the Grade: 1 Man o’ War last time out. “I can't really explain why he ran so bad (in the Man o' War)," trainer Chad Brown said. "He's been training well. He was in between horses in the back of the pack and got frustrated during the race. Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. couldn't get him to settle back there and he wore himself out. He's trained really well since then and I hope we can draw line through it and he can return to his previous form."….exactly Mr. Brown, I’m going to draw a line through that race and, although this is a very competitive spot, I’m coming right back with him here……………………Flip a coin for the place and show spot as Zulu Alpha and Bigger Picture, who are both multiple Graded Stakes winners, are both 2 for 4 this year and took turns beating each other the last two times they met……………………..Honorable Mentions: Channel Cat had legitimate excuses (first start in eight months and then chased Bricks and Mortar in a quickly run Grade: 1) in his first two start this year. Four year old son of English Channel should have no excuses for a good performance in this spot and gets the third start off the layoff angle……………………The globetrotting Monarchs Glen, a son of European super star Frankel, could quietly be sitting on a huge effort. Although he was off the board in his first two U.S. starts against lesser foes, note the final times in both of those races were strong and he was making up ground late in both. Bottom line here is this long shot possibility will be on a couple of my trifecta tickets.

Race: 12 (5:57 PM EST Post)
Lady’s Secret Stakes
Pink Sands is a $625,000 daughter of super sire Tapit who chased far, far better than these in her last two and wasn’t completely embarrassed by any stretch either time. “Shug” adds blinkers here (a move where he wins at 20% clip with)…logical choice………………….Sun Studio beat an allowance field two back and finished just a length behind Pink Sands in her last…………My Miss Lily has been struggling a bit in three starts this year but will also be taking a “plunge” in class in this spot……………..Honorable Mentions: Thanks to a DQ, Breaking Bread is 3 for 3 this year, including a Stakes win on this oval last time out. Steps up in class but could be a menace………………….Coffee Crush has shown improved early speed in her last three races and switches to “speed” rider Paco Lopez. Of course, the elephant in the room with her is how will she handle the surface (turf to dirt) switch?...........................Alberobello was impressive wiring mid level optionals in NY in her last, but what’s up with this being just her eighth career start half way through her four year old season?

By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2019- Record: 37-110 = 34%
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%

Little Bets N’ Pieces:
**** Two time Grade 1 winner Diversify has been retired from racing after reinjuring a suspensory ligament, trainer Jonathan Thomas said last Sunday. The 6 year old gelding will remain at Belmont Park while retirement plans are finalized.
"He worked yesterday. Cooled out well, came out of the work in good order, but I noticed a little bit of abnormal inflammation in his upper suspensory area," Thomas said. "It's a reoccurrence of an old injury. I'd say at this stage it's minor. (The) horse is sound. It's in the minor stages, but certainly not something you'd want to press on with, especially given what this horse has done."
"He's comfortable and sound and happy," Thomas added. "It's kind of one of those injuries where it's at the very beginning, or the very early stages, and probably the only one around the barn that doesn't know he has it is him."
Diversify retires with a 10-2-0 record from 16 starts and earnings of $1,989,425.
"Rest assured, Mr. Evans and his daughter and his wife (Judith), they've been just an incredible support group for this horse, the ownership," Thomas said, "so I can only imagine that the horse is going to definitely be provided with a very, very good home forever."

**** 2019 Kentucky Derby winner Country House will get at least two months off from training and will likely miss the rest of his 3 year old season, trainer Bill Mott said last Saturday night. The news came in an interview with Jerry Bailey on NBC Sports’ live telecast of the Stephen Foster Handicap at Churchill Downs.
“He just wasn’t as eager to get into his training as he had been,” Mott said “We just felt like he wasn’t moving as well as he should be. We had him checked out again, and I think the determination is that we probably need to give him more time. Right now, we’d have trouble making the Travers or the Breeders’ Cup, and I don’t believe we’d be able to get him back to the races in as good a shape right now as what we would have to have him to run at that very top level. To give him a fair chance and bring him back as a 4 year old, we’re going to give him a little extra time.”

**** 2019 Belmont Stakes winner Sir Winston has been ruled out of a summer campaign due to a minor left front ankle injury.
“He has a minor left front ankle injury and he’s going to do some rehab at the farm. He’s back in Ocala now, he’s going to be off for a little while,” said trainer Mark Casse. “I’m still hopeful we’ll be back in the fall, we’ll play it by ear. The Travers is not going to be an option.”
Casse mentioned the Pegasus World Cup Stakes in January as a possible long term goal.
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Previews of the Malibu and La Brea Stakes' and more

Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, California “comes out running” with their winter meet on Wednesday. The “Great Race Place” will have five Stakes on the card and we will be examining four of them, highlighted by still another one of my favorite races of the year; the Grade: 1 Malibu Stakes, a seven furlong sprint for three year olds and up.
The other races we will be looking at include the Grade: 1 La Brea Stakes for three year old fillies going seven panels, the Grade: 2 Mathis Brothers Mile Stakes (turf) and the San Antonio Stakes at a mile and a sixteenth.
Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Santa Anita Park
Race: 6 (5:15 PM EST Post)
La Brea Stakes
Dream Tree is a $750,000 daughter of Uncle Mo who is 5 for 5 over four different surfaces in her career and a multiple Graded Stakes winner on both coasts. She has the guts of a cat burglar as demonstrated by her two nose victories over the talented Midnight Bisou to begin her career. Additionally, she couldn’t have looked any better when stalking the early pace in the Prioress at Saratoga, before leaving that field in her wake down the lane in her last. This good looking bay filly would have been favored in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint this year but spiked a fever a few days before that race and had to scratch. The only minuscule negative thing I could find was her last three works, albeit strong, weren’t really up to “her” standards….other than that, it’s down the road with this filly…………………………Happy Like a Fool outran her 61-1 odds in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint two starts back. This $1,450,000 filly by Distorted Humor chased a hot pace that day and she held fairly well late while checking in sixth, but was only beaten by 3 ½ lengths. She then came back just three weeks later with a confidence building win over high level optionals in her last and that five furlong work last week (1:01.1) is better than it looks. In drawing the rail here, I expect her to come out running and should be prominent throughout………………………………..Emboldened has won two of her first three career starts and I loved the versatility she showed in those two wins. Filly by Elusive Quality wired maidens in her debut, then, after finishing third as the 2-1 favorite vs. optional NW1X, she came with an enormous late run, over a speed favoring surface, to win a minor Stakes race on this oval last time out. In that race, note how she passed nine horses and made up some 11 ½ lengths in the last three furlongs. Also note, she ran the last four furlongs in an excellent :47.1. Those, readers, are impressive stats. Lastly, I’m not the least bit concerned that this will be her first start since May 12th. I’ll say it again, in my almost 40 years of being involved in this sport in some capacity, I can’t think of a better trainer who can or has gotten a horse ready to run off a long layoff than “Bullet” (works) Bob Baffert………………………Honorable Mentions: Although her trainer is 0 for 13 in Graded Stakes races, Spiced Perfection is consistent (10 of 11 on the board over fast dirt tracks) and in good form right now after winning two of her last three. Her speed figure and final time of her last race in particular suggests to me she is not completely out of this one…………………………I also found it interesting that Hot Autumn has a 2 for 8 career record, but both wins came on this oval and at this distance. Albeit, against optional $40,000 claimers, I loved the way she battled every step of the way on the lead, through torrid early fractions, yet wound up drawing away late and pulverizing the field in her last. Like Spiced Perfection, her final time and speed figure suggests she could be a menace here. 12-1 on the morning line? I’ll take it…..The plan of attack here is my “go to” five horse, triple box.
Race: 7 (5:50 PM EST Post)
Mathis Brothers Mile
I hate to come back with another chalk here, but Dream Tree in the last race and River Boyne in this race look hard to go against. This dark bay three year old took command of the Grade: 1 Hollywood Derby at the quarter pole but was run down late by the supremely talented Raging Bull last time out and had to settle for second. Four key things I saw for him in this spot include a 5 for 5 record over the Santa Anita turf course, a solid half mile work last week (:48.1), he’ll be dropping in class and cutting back in distance, all signal to me a bounce back effort/win is on the horizon…………………………..I’ve been disappointed with Shivermetimbers as I thought he’d be further along in his career than his 3 for 12 record. He will be trying the grass for the first time here and, although I’m going against Horse Racing Betting 101 (never bet a horse who is being asked to do something for the first time), I have four good reasons to do so. One, his breeding suggests he can handle it, two, his one and only turf work (Nov 25- 5F-1:01.1, dogs up) was excellent, three, one mile seems to be his best distance and four, Mike Smith sees fit to take the leg up…………………………I don’t have much to say about Gidu, a son of European super horse Frankel who looks to have completely cycled out of form, other than he does have the back class to run well in this spot………………………………Honorable Mentions: I’m not understanding the 30-1 morning line odds on Hardboot, who is acolt by Lucky Pulpit of California Chrome fame. Yes, he’s been running against lesser foes but he has a good late run and has steadily improved through his last five races. Moreover, his last three works have been excellent at San Luis Rey Downs and a grosslyunder rated rider gets the leg up. 15 or 20-1 ok….but 30-1?......just not seeing that………………Combatant is another who has disappointed me as I thought he’d be better than 1 for 13 in his career and 0 for 10 last year. But this good looking son of Scat Daddy’s only two turf tries were decent and he deserves a “mention” here……………………….Sandwiched between two poor efforts in his last three races, Desert Stone gave River Boyne all he could handle at 37-1. He would of course be a threat here should he decide to run back to that effort in this spot, but I just don’t trust him enough…………………..Sejo gets the “dark horse” label in this race as I have no idea of how he’ll run. All I know is he’ll be making his U.S. debut in this spot after winning back to backers in France and, more importantly, he’ll be getting Lasix for the first time, which I’ve seen do wonders for horses before….could easily outrun this rating.
Race: 8 (6:25 PM EST Post)
San Antonio Stakes
Battle of Midway and Dabster put on one hell of a show going stride for stride for the entire duration of the Native Diver last time out with Battle of Midway getting the better of it on the wire. Watching these two slug it out for nine furlongs was one of the best races I saw all year…………….. Although the cut back in distance clearly favors Dabster in this rematch, I’m sticking with Battle of Midway here based on several things I saw on paper and one that my almost 40 years of experience eyes tell me. First, although firing blanks in the breeding shed, it took Battle of Midway three races to get back into form and back into form he is. There is no question the 2017 Breeders Cup Mile winner is peaking right now. I was concerned after such a strenuous, toe to toe, knock down, drag out “fight” in the Native Diver that he could bounce here, but after looking at what I would deem a textbook work pattern since, which included an impressive four published breezes, that concern quickly diminished. This $410,000 son of Smart Strike is 4 for 6 on this oval and a perfect 2 for 2 at this distance. As far as what I my eyes tell me, although a neck separated him and Dabster last time out, I noticed that this horse was inching away from that rival in deep stretch, In other words, Dabster had ever opportunity to get by him last time and just couldn’t………………………….The $1 million Fasig-Tipton yearling purchase Dabster gave Battle of Midway all he could handle in the Native Diver last time out but came up just a little short. Like I said, the cut back of a half furlong should favor him as should the fact that trainer Bob Baffert appears to have “tightened the screws” on him as he’s had four published breezes since the Native Diver as well. Those last two works (Dec 16- 5F- :59 flat and Dec 21- 4F- :46.4) were sizzling and he looks “revved up” for this rematch…..one that I can’t wait to see……………………………Beach View is intriguing to me. This five year old by the late, great, Giant’s Causeway has done most of his “damage” on the turf, but his Grade: 3 Cougar II (dirt) win two starts back was first rate as he was visually impressive opening up on the field down the lane to win by almost 5. I thought he ran great the last time out as well. He was only being beaten by 1 ½ lengths in the Hollywood Turf Cup as he had severe traffic issues the entire length of the stretch. I’m not concerned that he switched back to the dirt here, he can clearly handle that. My bigger concern is the distance. He’s never tried 8 ½ furlongs before and he clearly is at his best at marathon distances…………………………..Honorable Mentions: After a trainer change from Chad Brown to John Sadler, Gift Box comes over from the East Coast with a very consistent record; on the board in 10 of 13 tries. This gray son of Twirling Candy will be making his first start in 272 days but has done nothing but record strong, stamina building works since Halloween…….I won’t be surprised if he gives a good account of himself here………………………Air Strike just missed as the 5/2 favorite in the $250,000 Zia Park Derby last time out and won one of his two prior wins on this surface. This colt by Street Sense appears to be steadily improving and his trainer (Phil D’Amato) is winning at a towering 29% when his horses were beaten favorites last time out.
Race: 9 (7:00PM EST Post)
Malibu Stakes
This year’s Malibu is very deep and one of the more wide editions I’ve seen in yeeeeeeeeeeeeeears. A total of 16 were entered including 5 from the Bob Baffert barn. I guess what I’m trying to say is, this race gave me fits trying to figure out………………That said, I’m gingerly going with McKinzie, who probably didn’t care for the track (Churchill) or the distance (10 furlongs) in the Breeders’ Cup Classic last time out. This handsome son of Street Sense showed brief speed but quickly backed up through the field and finished twelfth, beaten by 31 lengths. However, this soon to be four year old, has worked very well since his Breeders’ Cup debacle. He returns to his favorite surface (he’s finished in front in all three starts over it) and cuts back to one of his “wheelhouse” distances as I believe he is best between seven and nine furlongs………………………In taking McKinzie, the mega talented Copper Bullet scares me to death. This colt by More Than Ready showed big time ability last year, highlighted by taking down the Grade: 2 Saratoga Special, before an injury put him on the sidelines for over 15 months. To say he came back running in his first try since would be the understatement of the year, as this colt dueled on the lead every step of the way, through rapid early fractions, yet was pulling away late to beat an Allowance field at Churchill on Nov. 23rd. The good looking bay stopped the clock in an excellent 1:21.4 for seven furlongs, the same distance as this, that day. If he repeats that effort here, and I suspect he might, he’ll be VERY tough to beat…………………………Although Kanthaka hasn’t started since May 12th, he deserves a look for several reasons. He possesses a strong late run, he is 3 for 4 on this racetrack and 3 for 3 at this distance. I’m not worried about the time off. Based off his work pattern, especially his last three works, his “sorcerer” trainer looks to have him cranked up pretty good……………………Honorable Mentions: There are several due to the depth of this field. Like McKinzie, Axelrod didn’t really show all that much in the Breeders’ Cup Classic but had a legitimate excuse. This good looking colt by Majestic Warrior moved WAY too soon and had very little left in the tank for the stretch drive. That move/decision that day by his rider (Joe Bravo) probably cost him the mount as Johnny V. takes the reins now. Before the Breeders’ Cup Classic, this colt finished right behind McKinzie in the Pennsylvania Derby and won his two prior races to that…....could be a menace here……When Ax Man is right, he is awesome, as is shown by his three of six career starts being wide margined victories. He is another who is coming off a long layoff but he’s been training lights out and cuts back to a distance that should be right up his alley……If the “good” Ax Man shows up in this spot, he could easily better this rating……………………………Identity Politics was charging hard, late to just miss vs. NW1X in New York last time out. He’ll be taking an enormous step up in class here but trainer Chad Brown, who ships this colt 3,000 miles, might be here “for a reason, not the season”….long shot possibility?.........................................When Greyvitos is healthy/right, he too has extraordinary talent. The problem is he’s been on the sidelines multiple times throughout his short career. In fact, he’s had just three lackluster races this year. That said, he has been training well of late, this appears to be his best distance and he might/should improve off his prep race on Dec 2nd.
By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2018- Record: 105-255= 41% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A
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Get the latest Epsom Oaks odds, betting tips, free bet offers for the year’s second UK fillies’ Classic. Find out why our tipster thinks Love will conquer all. Timeform reveal the highest-rated progeny of Frankel. 1. Cracksman (136). Cracksman was a grand type physically, and made plenty of appeal on paper when making a winning debut in a maiden at Newmarket on his sole start as a two-year-old in 2016 - stablemate Stradivarius, who started at a shorter price, finished fourth. Winning margin: In 14 races, the aggregate distance between Frankel and the second-placed horses was 76.25 lengths (610 feet or 185 metres). Biggest price: 7-4 Shortest price: 1-20 Anatomy of a Average winning distance. Frankel - 5.4 lengths Arrogate - 4.6 lengths. More often than not, when Arrogate wins, he does so with authority. That said, had California Chrome performed up to scratch in the Pegasus World Cup, the grey's average winning margin might be a little narrower. He was one of the hottest Newmarket tips for many years, starting odds-on favourite. Frankel stunned onlookers by racing fifteen lengths clear by half-way, eventually winning by six lengths. It was the biggest winning margin in the race since Tudor Minstrel in 1947.

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